Bleacher Report: New 2-round Mock Draft, major competition for No. 1 pick

In the latest Bleacher Report mock draft, Rob Dillingham from the University of Kentucky is ranked No. 7.

Editor’s Note: Find more of Jonathan Wasserman’s coverage of the 2024 Draft on Bleacher Report or to read this article on BleacherReport.com, click here.


(B/R) — Conference play has begun and the 2024 NBA draft is still looking at roughly six No. 1 overall candidates.

The number might actually rise, as there is not much distinction between the perceived Tier 2 and Tier 1 prospects.

International players are becoming increasingly prominent at the top of the list. The first NCAA player might not be selected until the 4th, 5th or 6th pick.

The theme of parity persists in this current class. Scouts are placing high value on prospects with solid potential, though there aren’t many with standout potential. This year, they are making extra effort to discover hidden talents in unexpected areas.


1. Detroit Pistons: Alexandre Sarr

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 4
  • Team/Nationality: Perth Wildcats/French
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 7-foot-1, 216 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jaren Jackson Jr.

If there isn’t a clear top choice in the draft, the team’s needs and the player’s fit could have a higher influence on the No. 1 pick than usual. Alexandre Sarr appears to be a suitable fit for the 4 position between Jalen Duren and Ausar Thompson, based on his size, athleticism, and adaptable defensive skills. These strengths provide a level of assurance that other potential draftees are not able to offer.

Despite the possibility of early stalling in his development, his towering height of 7-foot-1 and nimble feet offer a guarantee in terms of finishing, shot-blocking and switching. However, glimpses of his ability to handle the ball in open-floor and make shots also pave the way for greater offensive potential.

The most striking statistic thus far indicates that he has made 10 out of 22 pull-up jumpers. In addition, he has managed to score 15 three-pointers and has been successful in driving the ball and attacking closeouts. His ability to protect the rim and move defensively, combined with the face-up flashes that yield these perimeter scoring statistics, has led some scouts to see him as a potential No. 1 overall pick.


2. San Antonio Spurs: Nikola Topic

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 2
  • Team/Nationality: KK Crvena Zvezda
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 198 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Nikola Topic’s move from Mega MIS to Red Star will allow scouts to observe the Adriatic League’s most productive teenager face more challenging competition in the EuroLeague.

His performance in the two games yielded mixed results. We observed his passing and vision, adjustments in finishing, physical and athletic limitations, as well as questionable defensive skills and awareness.

At this point, his transition play, slicing through defenses and creating plays seem more convincing. However, it’s more difficult to see him as a top-notch NBA scorer due to his inconsistent shooting, slender build, and lack of dynamism.

Playing in the EuroLeague could potentially reveal some of the flaws that remain hidden in Adriatic League play, but it also provides an opportunity to boost his draft prospects against some of the most seasoned professionals abroad.


3. Washington Wizards: Zaccharie Risacher

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 6
  • Team/Nationality: JL Bourg/French
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 204 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Michael Porter Jr.

LNB All-Star Zaccharie Risacher is continuing to boost his reputation as a reliable shooter, currently achieving a 47.3 percent success rate on 91 three-point attempts. This is enhancing the notion that he would seamlessly fit into the NBA, due to his high-floor and sought-after speciality skill. This is crucial in a draft that lacks convincing high-ceiling prospects.

If he can avoid stumbling upon issues that may indicate a fluke start or random hot streak, his mix of size, athleticism, shooting, and perimeter defense should be enough to maintain his position in the top five, as long as no major obstacles arise.

While playing for JL Bourg, Risacher has used 86.4 percent of his possessions for spot-ups, transitions, off-ball screens, offensive boards, and cuts. As a result, there isn’t much footage this year showing Risacher’s on-ball or creation abilities.

This does indeed prompt inquiries regarding his archetype and potential benefits. However, he demonstrated improved ball-handling skills in the previous year in France’s under-21 league, where he averaged 4.4 assists. Additionally, it’s challenging to be overly critical considering the other available options.


4. Charlotte Hornets: Cody Williams

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 5
  • School/Team: Colorado
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 190 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jerami Grant

After consecutive 21-point performances and a 67.7 true shooting percentage over seven games, Cody Williams was sidelined due to a wrist injury, ending on a high note.

Considering his high level of efficiency and productivity, along with his possession of a sought-after, big-wing archetype, scouts have temporarily ranked him alongside the top projected NCAA picks until he comes back.

Williams still has more to prove due to the small sample size, less challenging competition, and low three-point statistics (6-of-10). His ball handling can be sloppy, and as a predicted perimeter player, he doesn’t take many jump shots.

Even if scouts discover that his shooting and creation skills aren’t as sharp as typically expected for a top pick, his positional size, ability to slash and finish, pass, and defend still offer reassuring versatility.


5. Portland Trail Blazers: Matas Buzelis

  • Stock: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 1
  • School/Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 209 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Franz Wagner

Despite Matas Buzelis’ disappointing performance at the G League Showcase, his 6-foot-8 stature, agility, diverse shotmaking skills and impressive on-ball defense appear to be convincing scouts to retain their patience.

He experienced a great stretch leading up to Orlando, and he has somewhat rebounded since then.

Producing more jumpers could address some of Buzelis’ problems, and high school scouting indicates that his shooting percentages are likely to improve. He does, however, need to enhance his ability to create in confined spaces and manage contact. But given that he’s only 19, teams are expected to value his versatility and suitability, and wager on him improving his grip and physique.


6. Memphis Grizzlies: Ron Holland

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 3
  • School/Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 204 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Cam Whitmore

Ron Holland’s sales pitch is still as strong as when he was a top contender, showcasing his natural ability to attack with speed and defensive agility. His signs of ball-handling and shotmaking skills at the tender age of 18, indicates potential for growth as a scorer and shooter.

However, this season hasn’t shown enough of those signs. His three-point shooting is at 21.4 percent and he’s been struggling more within the arc recently. Furthermore, his 61 turnovers compared to 47 assists underscore his limited playmaking ability and inconsistent decision-making.

Holland is expected to provide a team with enhanced speed in transition, pressure on the rim, and defensive energy, at a minimum. However, his natural talent and age are also important factors to consider.

He’s simply making it challenging for teams to realistically envision a wing who can offer any creativity or dependable shooting in the near future.


7. San Antonio Spurs (via Raptors): Rob Dillingham

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 10
  • School/Team: Kentucky
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 18, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 176 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Kemba Walker

Teams might still be uncertain about whether Rob Dillingham can play as a main ball-handler or combo, but they are not going to be overly critical. If a top 10 team is simply looking to enhance its rotation with his creativity and shotmaking skills, he could potentially convince them.

Despite his physical limitations affecting his ability to finish plays within the arc, he’s shooting at a rate of 44.7 percent from the three-point line and averages 4.5 assists to 1.6 turnovers. His skills in handling, pull-ups, and floaters should be beneficial in scoring during ball-screen situations. Additionally, he has been playing selflessly and making accurate passing decisions.

Dillingham has a 44.1 percent success rate on catch-and-shoot opportunities, indicating good potential for him to play alongside another point guard.


8. Chicago Bulls: Ja’kobe Walter

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 7
  • School/Team: Baylor
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 195 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Moses Moody

Ja’Kobe Walter’s spot in the top-10 discussion seems secure, thanks to his positional tools and versatility in shotmaking, which provide a solid foundation and easy fit.

Walter’s skills are finely tuned for scoring off-ball in a plug-and-play style, notable in his 40.0 percent success rate with spot-up three-pointers and hitting 9 out of 16 shots off screens. However, he has also demonstrated proficiency in ball-screen scenarios, primarily through aggressive downhill attacks, completing shots despite contact, and earning opportunities for free throws.

Standing at 6-foot-5, his length and strength provide him with the defensive skills to complement a jumper, forming a low-risk, widely favored archetype.


9. Atlanta Hawks: Reed Sheppard

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 15
  • School/Team: Kentucky
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 187 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Donte DiVincenzo

The scarcity of promising prospects with high potential in this draft will result in teams appreciating the basic skill set of Reed Sheppard. His foundation is bolstered by transferable strengths like shooting, intelligent passing, and defensive instincts. This combination makes him flexible and able to influence games without the necessity of initiating plays.

His performance in terms of efficiency and analytics remains impressive. His conversion rates are exceptional, with a 60.0 percent success rate for two-point shots, 56.0 percent for three-point shots, and 90.0 percent for free throws. Furthermore, he has 52 assists as compared to 19 turnovers, an extraordinary steal percentage of 5.6, and a block percentage of 3.9, which is unusual for a guard.

At a certain stage in this draft, potentially in the late lottery, teams will overlook the inch or two Sheppard lacks for a conventional 2-guard.


10. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Yves Missi

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 19
  • School/team: Baylor
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 235 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Mark Williams

If Dereck Lively II and Mark Williams could make the top 15 in stronger drafts, then Yves Missi should definitely pique the interest of teams in the 2024 lottery. Teams looking to bolster their frontcourt depth and rim protection should certainly consider him.

With an impressive record of 63.6 percent shooting, averaging 4.6 blocks and 13.3 rebounds per 40 minutes, Missi not only boasts an athletic body and quick hands but also has the energy required for his successful finishes and strong interior presence. His ability to stop Duke’s Kyle Filipowski from gaining advantage in several possessions has further increased his standing among scouts.


11. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Jazz): Tidjane Salaun

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 11
  • Team/Nationality: Cholet/France
  • Position: PF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 212 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Obi Toppin

While certain teams might opt for reliable role players, some may be more inclined to gamble on potential. The allure of Tidjane Salaun is growing each week, especially considering the 18-year-old forward’s recent success, hitting 17 out of 25 three-pointers in his last six games.

Currently, Salaun’s appeal is solely based on his athleticism and ability to make shots. He hasn’t demonstrated much skill off the dribble, and in 26 games, he has only made 19 assists and five blocks.

However, he is also one of the youngest prospects in the draft performing in France’s premier league. His size, mobility, and three-point shooting ability contribute to a fairly translatable catch-and-score or finish package.


12. Portland Trail Blazers (via Warriors): Kyle Filipowski

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 16
  • School/Team: Duke
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 248 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Moritz Wagner

Kyle Filipowski continues to develop his versatility, making it his key attribute, though pinpointing one signature strength or skill remains challenging. His focus is less on scoring potential.

While he may not possess the shooting skills or fluidity of Lauri Markkanen, he does fulfill certain criteria, even if he doesn’t excel in them all. He has toughened up as a low-post player. His three-point statistics may not have significantly improved from last year, but he remains a threat when it comes to spot-up or pick-and-pop plays. He also has the ability to trigger fast breaks with his control in open-floor situations.

Filipowski, who averages 3.0 assists per game, exhibits versatility by impacting games in several ways as a valuable team player.


13. New Orleans Pelicans (via Lakers): Isaiah Collier

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 8
  • School/Team: USC
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 210 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Ty Lawson

The initial excitement surrounding Isaiah Collier is waning due to his decreasing shooting percentages, consistent high turnover rate, and ongoing losses for USC.

Instead of envisioning him as a franchise point guard to build a team around, it’s becoming more prudent to see him as a rotational guard who can add pressure on the defense and rim, while contributing some opportunistic playmaking.

Despite issues with his shooting and decision-making, his agility, forceful drives, strong finishes, and occasional impressive passes could still make him a valuable offensive player in the right NBA position.


14. Phoenix Suns: Ryan Dunn

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 10
  • School/Team: Virginia
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 216 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Herbert Jones

The extent to which scouts should consider Ryan Dunn’s offensive limitations is a subject of discussion. While he may not be suitable for all teams, some could find value in acquiring a defensive expert and powerful finisher like him in the middle of the first round of a perceived less competitive draft.

Although it seems unlikely that he can maintain his current defensive playmaking rates, he is on track to become the only NCAA player on record to achieve a 10.0 block percentage and 5.0 steal percentage.

However, it may be challenging for Dunn to justify starting minutes at the next level without a strong three-point shot.


15. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Donovan Clingan

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: 13th
  • School/Team: Connecticut
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 7-foot-2, 280 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Jakob Poeltl

In September, Donovan Clingan was sidelined for a month due to a foot strain. Now, he’s facing another three to four weeks out following a foot injury sustained in a game against Seton Hall. This situation will likely spark conversations about his durability, especially considering his heavy weight of 280 lbs.

When fit, his height, strength, mobility, and anticipation allow him to be a game-changer on defense. His ability to effortlessly finish and putback is also a highly sought-after trait by NBA teams.


16. Orlando Magic: Stephon Castle

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 9
  • School/Team: Connecticut
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 215 lbs

Stephon Castle’s ability to establish any rhythm has been impacted by an early-season injury and a talented, deep rotation in Connecticut.

Considering his performance in just 20.9 minutes, scouts will need to place more emphasis on his potential and the valuable model they could develop for the 6-foot-6, 215-pound point wing.

He’s averaging 6.2 assists and 1.9 steals every 40 minutes. His passing and defense, which set him apart from others in his position, are his strongest attributes.

However, Castle’s poor shooting performance (1-of-9 3PT) and significant misses are likely to deter most top 10 teams from showing interest in him.


17. New York Knicks: Kevin McCullar Jr.

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 15
  • School/Team: Kansas
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 214 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Austin Reaves

Detecting Kevin McCullar Jr.’s potential may be challenging for teams, but his sought-after defense and passing skills, along with his increasingly better slashing and shotmaking, could make him a favored target beyond the lottery.

If the senior can maintain his current three-point percentage of 37.7 and free-throw percentage of 85.2, it should boost scouts’ confidence in his shooting skills. Having a shot that’s either average or threatening should suffice for him to play a versatile Swiss Army knife role.


18. Cleveland Cavaliers: Tyler Smith

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 32
  • Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: PF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 224 lbs

Tyler Smith has recovered from a poor shooting performance in December, a positive indication for a player whose three-point shooting and touch are attracting NBA attention.

At a height of 6’11, his stroke appears smooth, and he has demonstrated that he can cause considerable damage around the basket using his physical abilities.

Smith’s shooting skills will need to be near perfect due to his limited creative and defensive abilities. However, if he maintains his current 38.7 percent three-pointer rate, he could attract interest from first-round teams seeking a versatile, pick-and-pop 4-position player.


19. New York Knicks (via Mavs): Tristan da Silva

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 22
  • School/Team: Colorado
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-9, 220 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jake LaRavia

Tristan da Silva’s athletic limitations should not diminish his shotmaking skills. Teams should recognize him as a versatile stretch 4 player who can seamlessly integrate and also possess the ability to shoot quickly off pull-ups and movement.

In addition to having a persuasive jump shot, his lack of speed is balanced by a gentle touch on his runners. His intelligence also leads to wise decision-making in his passing.


20. Indiana Pacers: Ulrich Chomche

  • Stock status: Up
  • Former mock draft position: Not listed
  • School/Team: NBA Academy Africa/Cameroon
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 225 lbs

Ulrich Chomche has had an outstanding December, delivering exceptional performances at the Sunrise Prep Showcase and G League Showcase for NBA Academy Africa.

NBA teams should identify the immense defensive potential associated with his 6-foot-11 height, 7-foot-4 wingspan, and vertical ability at the rim, as well as his movement and recovery skills. Although his offensive skills are still developing, he has shown unexpected aptitude in three-point shooting, individual moves from the post/short corners, and passing, including some off live dribbles.

Given that Chomche hasn’t faced any top-tier competition, it’s reasonable for teams to have reservations about considering him in June. Additionally, it seems he is open to the possibility of playing college basketball in the 2024-25 season.

However, his December 30 birthday just meets the cut-off for the 2024 draft. This kind of draft might encourage teams to take earlier risks based on potential.

Chomche could be a name to keep an eye on once the predraft process starts, depending on the feedback he receives and his determination to kick off his NBA journey immediately.

Considering his age, physical abilities, reliable defensive flexibility, and promising offensive flashes, he would undoubtedly attract consideration in the first round.


21. Miami Heat: Dalton Knecht

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 20
  • School/Team: Tennessee
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 204 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Max Strus

Despite a recent slump in Dalton Knecht’s performance during blowout wins, it’s unlikely to be causing any concern. Scouts trust the 6-foot-6 wing’s shooting ability, and he has already demonstrated strong, effective scoring in games against North Carolina (37 points, 13-17), Illinois (21 points, 7-14), Purdue (16 points, 6-13), and Wisconsin (24 points, 8-15).

Although his creative contribution may be limited, he possesses the physical capabilities and skills required for off-ball scoring. He demonstrates this with his movement shot-making (48.3 percent) and flawless cutting (9-of-9).


22. New Orleans Pelicans: Kel’el Ware

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 20
  • School/Team: Indiana
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 242 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Jarrett Allen

Kel’el Ware often fades into the background or takes difficult jump shots, despite his obvious talent. Nonetheless, his 7-foot-0 stature, easy jumping ability, and shooting skills have convinced scouts to overlook his occasional lack of activity.

The player, who stands at seven feet, is currently averaging 14.6 points. He effectively uses his exceptional finishing skills for lobs and putbacks, and scores on post defenders with his high release and precision.

Indiana doesn’t have much faith in him when it comes to spacing the floor as a spot-up or pick-and-pop shooter. However, predraft workouts could provide Ware with another opportunity to demonstrate some concealed range.


23. Atlanta Hawks (via Kings): Bobi Klintman

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 23
  • Team/Nationality: Cairns Taipans/Swedish
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 20
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 225 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: De’Andre Hunter

The inconsistency in Bobi Klintman’s performance throughout the season is understandable, considering he is playing a major spot-up role for a new team in a professional league.

His archetype as a 6-foot-8 combo forward who has shown glimpses of shooting skills, touch shots, and live-dribble passing will attract NBA teams.

The notion that he lacks a reliable strength carries some risk, but Klintman’s physical abilities and skill set offer an attractive versatility.


24. OKC Thunder (via Clippers): Melvin Ajinca

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 36
  • Team/nationality: Saint-Quentin/France
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-7

Melvin Ajinca’s shooting versatility and shotmaking, which he demonstrated from the U19 World Cup to LNB Pro A in France, will be targeted by teams in the 20s and 30s.

He’s made 34 three-pointers in 18 games, playing 23 minutes each, at the age of 19. Also, with a height of 6-foot-7, he possesses a solid build suitable for any wing position.

He simply hasn’t demonstrated much more, and the low rates of assists and steals may raise red flags for analytics departments.


25. Denver Nuggets: Ajay Mitchell

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 25
  • School/Team: Santa Barbara
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 190 lbs

Ajay Mitchell’s recent scoring of 39 points marked the fourth instance in 10 games this season where he has scored 25 points or more.

While his lack of three-point shots might concern scouts who think he’ll need to improve his jumper for the next level, he is still dominating the game. Despite only averaging 2.2 three-point attempts, he manages to score an average of 20.9 points. This showcases his skill in utilizing speed changes, body control, finishing adjustments and touch effectively.

Considering the recent surge in successful NBA guards who are performing well despite not having superior athleticism, it’s plausible that a team would utilize a first-round pick, banking on his production, systematic ball-handling, and challenging shot making abilities to translate well to the next level.


26. Philadelphia 76ers: Jared McCain

  • Stock status: Up
  • Former mock draft position: Unavailable
  • School/Team: Duke
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 197 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Landry Shamet

Jared McCain is now shooting 46.9 percent from three, effectively propelling himself into the first-round discussions for 2024. Not only is he impressive with a 50.0 percent success rate on catch-and-shoot threes, but he also demonstrates his ability to create separation and pull-ups inside the arc by shooting 43.8 percent on two-point dribble jumpers.

It is clear that he has limitations: he lacks the burst and strength required for bypassing obstacles, finishing tasks, or drawing fouls. Ultimately, NBA teams will see him as a specialist in making shots who also has the ability to move the ball and make wise decisions.


27. Indiana Pacers (via Thunder): Hunter Sallis

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 55
  • School/team: Wake Forest
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 185 lbs

Hunter Sallis continues to impress with his three-level shotmaking and athletic finishing, after securing three consecutive 20-point games. His consistent scoring could potentially persuade scouts that his performance can be translated to higher levels.

He has proven to be a successful slasher, ranking as one of the nation’s top pull-up shooters with an efficiency rate of 48.3 percent. Additionally, he poses a credible threat from the three-point line, averaging 2.0 hits per game at a rate of 36.1 percent.

His lack of playmaking skills reduces his versatility and margin for error, making it crucial for him to be comfortable playing off the ball.


28. Milwaukee Bucks: D.J. Wagner

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 18
  • School/Team: Kentucky
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 18, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 192 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Collin Sexton

D.J. Wagner had to overcome early doubts about his physique, athleticism, playmaking skills, and range. However, he is now averaging 11.9 points and 3.5 assists with a disappointing 49.5 percent true shooting, despite the initial skepticism about his abilities.

Wagner’s varying contributions can be attributed to the talent-packed backcourt of Kentucky, though he has evidently been the least impactful among the Wildcats’ backcourt team, which includes Rob Dillingham, Reed Sheppard, and Antonio Reaves.

Wagner’s adeptness at creating drives and rim pressure through his handling skills, quick dribbling, and ability to spot lanes to the basket remains impressive. His potential to excel in a bench-spark role, which values his direct scoring and the potential to enhance shotmaking and set-up passes, should pique interest.


29. Minnesota Timberwolves: Trevon Brazile

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 24
  • School/Team: Arkansas
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 220 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Thomas Bryant

When Trevon Brazile starts making three-pointers, it becomes less fascinating. However, the stats still hint at a steady improvement in shooting, a significant progress for an explosive leaper who stands at 6-foot-10.

Although he may not be advancing up the boards, he is still maintaining his position in the first-round discussion.


30. Boston Celtics: Tyrese Proctor

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 29
  • School/Team: Duke
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 183 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Shake Milton

Since returning from injury, Tyrese Proctor has shown efficiency in his two games off the bench. Despite his lack of explosive speed that may hinder him from outplaying opponents or applying pressure at the rim, his exceptional shotmaking and passing intelligence could secure him more playtime.

Considering his athletic constraints, his draft stock will ultimately depend on his consistent ability to make three-point shots.


31. Toronto Raptors (via Pistons): Oso Ighodaro

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 26
  • School/team: Marquette
  • Position: C
  • Age: 21, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 225 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jaylin Williams

Oso Ighodaro’s ability to handle and pass as a 5 could be highly valued by teams. His distinctive touch and push shots make him a potential threat as a scorer. Impressively, he has already made a remarkable 25 out of 41 one-handed shots around the key, an exceptional number for a 6-foot-11 player.

Ighodaro is likely to be utilized more as a specialty center due to his inability to provide significant rim protection or floor spacing. His unique skills could offer a team a different perspective at the position.


32. San Antonio Spurs: Wooga Poplar

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 27
  • School/team: Miami
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 197 lbs

Wooga Poplar will miss games due to an ankle injury, but he remains solidly on the radar of scouts. There is still ample time for him to take advantage of this attention.

His athleticism consistently stands out with a 77.4 percent finish conversion rate. However, his shooting has improved significantly too, recording a current 44.0 percent success rate off the catch and 42.9 percent on pull-ups.

The evident criticism of Poplar is the insufficient creation and playmaking for a guard who will be too undersized to defend most forwards.


33. Detroit Pistons (via Wizards): Justin Edwards

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 28
  • School/team: Kentucky
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 203 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Olivier Maxence-Prosper

Justin Edwards has been proficient and somewhat productive, but he hasn’t displayed any specific skill that appears beneficial or dependable for the succeeding level.

His size, athleticism, defensive potential, and some scoring ability will earn him some time. However, at this point, he doesn’t demonstrate sufficient on-ball creativity or off-ball shooting skills to assure NBA teams that he can fit into their offensive strategies.


34. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hornets): Izan Almansa

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 39
  • Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 230 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jabari Walker

Izan Almansa recently concluded a season where he made a personal best of 24 points, showcasing his delicate handling and timing near the hoop. His game might not be overly thrilling, as he has primarily been employed and proven successful as a player who completes plays.

Teams might consider previous instances of face-up drives and threes in FIBA games, implying that there may be undiscovered versatility in his game.


35. Milwaukee Bucks (via Blazers): Adem Bona

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 34
  • School/team: UCLA
  • Position: C
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 245 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Isaiah Jackson

Adem Bona continues to impress with his athleticism and motor, even as he improves his post scoring this season. His defensive capabilities have been particularly notable in the last two games against UCLA and Oregon State, where he amassed eight blocks and four steals.

His skills in finishing and shot-blocking around the basket are highly desirable to NBA teams. However, his extremely high turnover percentage of 21.1, questionable decision-making skills, and average of 5.1 fouls every 40 minutes indicate that he may not be ready for full-time play at the professional level.


36. Minnesota Timberwolves (via Grizzlies): Devin Carter

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 36
  • School/team: Providence:
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 195 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jose Alvarado

Scouts are paying attention to Devin Carter due to his distinctive, tenacious defense and enhanced shooting skills. His relentless pressure on the ball and high intensity has drawn significant comparisons to Jose Alvarado. Furthermore, he’s also improved his three-point attempts per game to 6.5, with a success rate of 39.7 percent.

In the second round, teams won’t be as concerned about his ability to create or make decisions. Instead, they’ll appreciate his skill in challenging opposing ball-handlers, consistently making open shots, and occasionally scoring in streaks when his confidence begins to surge.


37. Los Angeles Clippers (via Raptors): Jaxson Robinson

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 46
  • School/team: BYU
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 21, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 190 lbs

Jaxson Robinson’s three-point skills and percentages have drawn attention to BYU games. His impressive statistics are supported by an equally impressive physical presence, thanks to his 6-foot-7 stature and shooting technique. Furthermore, he has also showcased additional offensive skills in transition play, self-creation, and touch around the key.

Scouts will need to witness considerable evidence of both accuracy and diverse shotmaking skills before they believe there is first-round value in him. This comes after his three years in college where he didn’t show much promise as a professional prospect.


38. Boston Celtics (via Bulls): Mantas Rubstavicius

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 52
  • Team/nationality: New Zealand Breakers, Lithuanian
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 196 lbs
  • Age: 21

Since being placed in the starting lineup for the New Zealand Breakers four games ago, Mantas Rubstavicius has been averaging 17.3 points, making him a player to watch for in the upcoming draft.

He’s shooting 14-of-29 from three with a solid positional wing size and is converting his spot-up drives and transition finishes at an impressive rate.


39. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hawks): Baba Miller

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 26
  • School/team: Florida State
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 204 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jonathan Isaac

Despite the enticing flashes and archetype of Baba Miller, his continued backseat role as a sophomore is making it challenging for scouts to envision him as a contributor in the NBA.

The skill set of the 6-foot-11 wing should maintain interest. He shows proficiency in open space, completes effectively, and displays some defensive versatility with his size and mobility.

However, Miller’s second-year performance, marked by lack of aggression, limited creativity, low-volume shooting, and a 42.9% free-throw percentage, may deter teams from using a first-round pick on him.


40. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Aaron Bradshaw

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 37
  • School/team: Kentucky
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 7-foot-1, 226 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Mohamed Bamba

Upon first observation, Aaron Bradshaw appears to be a proficient shooter and effective inside player, yet he seems to lack passing skills, advanced post moves, or superior athletic abilities.

The concept of a 7-foot-1 player who could potentially expand the court, block shots and seize offensive rebounds continues to fuel interest. However, his high center of gravity appears to be a disadvantage near the basket, and it’s premature to consider his jump shot a dependable tool.

After a few weeks of conference play, scouts will gain a better understanding of Bradshaw. The recent games have been dominated by Kentucky, where its freshman center has played a minor offensive role.


41. New York Knicks (via Jazz): PJ Hall

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 56
  • School/team: Clemson
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 21
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 238 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jeremiah Robinson-Earl

PJ Hall, while still a dominant post-up player, appears more explosive and confident in shooting threes this year.

His increased rates in dunking, blocking, three-pointers, and assisting will catch the attention of scouts in 2024, who may consider him a potential stretch 4 or 5.


42. Houston Rockets (via Warriors): Tyler Kolek

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 44
  • School/team: Marquette
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 22, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 195 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Malachi Flynn

NBA teams in need of additional playmaking might consider Tyler Kolek, an expert in pick-and-roll maneuvers who possesses an innate sense and intelligence in passing during ball-screen scenarios.

His ability to catch-and-shoot at a rate of 43.3 percent provides him with some versatility in off-ball shotmaking. However, his athletic and physical limitations could potentially hinder his skills in creating and separating, as well as finishing and defending.


43. San Antonio Spurs (via Lakers): Zach Edey

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 43
  • School/team: Purdue
  • Position: C
  • Age: 21, Senior
  • Size: 7-foot-4, 300 lbs

The majority of teams seem likely to take a risk with a guard, wing or forward rather than a 300-pound big who struggles with shooting or defending away from the basket. However, it only requires one front office to believe in Zach Edey’s impressive college performance and 7-foot-4 size, expecting it will translate into high-percentage post offense, finishing, and shot-blocking.

Players of his type generally have a very low success rate. However, his skill level and his ability to perform with his back to the basket are indisputable.


44. Washington Wizards (via Suns): Alex Karaban

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 42
  • School/team: Connecticut
  • Position: PF
  • Age: 21, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 220 lbs

Alex Karaban’s shotmaking ability at 6-foot-8, 220 lbs should secure his drafting. Additionally, his effectiveness as a cutter and his above-average defensive skills have also been notable.

Although his creation or athletic ability is minimal, he fits the profile of an NBA stretch 4 due to his size, shooting accuracy, and quick footwork when defending away from the basket.


45. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Dillon Jones

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous position in mock draft: Not selected
  • School/Team: Weber State
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 235 lbs
  • Pro comparison: David Roddy

Scouts seem uncertain about Dillon Jones’ unconventional suitability and adaptability. They are questioning whether he’s formidable enough with the ball or if he’s a competent enough shooter to play without it.

However, his versatility in ball-handling, passing, rebounding and shot-making is likely to attract some team in the second round, due to his Swiss Army knife potential.


46. Philadelphia 76ers (via Knicks): Trey Alexander

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 38
  • School/team: Creighton
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 190 lbs
  • Pro comparison: E’Twaun Moore

Even though Trey Alexander’s three-point scores have decreased this year, there has been notable improvement in crucial areas such as increased pressure at the rim and additional playmaking.

Enhanced on-ball play increases versatility, yet his NBA income will likely still depend on shotmaking. This is assuming his lean physique and athletic constraints make it challenging to consistently separate from and outpace NBA defenders.

His shooting percentages are predicted to rise again by March, based on his success from last year and visual evaluations.


47. LA Clippers (via Cavs): Bronny James

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 51
  • School/team: USC
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 210 lbs
  • Pro comparison: De’Anthony Melton

Bronny James persistently appears more relaxed and assured while attacking in space, launching into jumpers and interpreting ball-screen reads.

The absence of explosive speed and skilled ball-handling for self-creation is clear. However, scouts are willing to adjust their expectations and envision more of a supporting player rather than a primary guard.

James possesses the appropriate skill set and mindset for a supporting role, which is evident from his capabilities in shooting, passing IQ, and defensive quickness.


48. Orlando Magic: Matthew Cleveland

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 53
  • School/team: Miami
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 208 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Otto Porter Jr.

Matthew Cleveland’s limited shooting in his two seasons at Florida State prevented him from generating any draft buzz.

After scoring three three-pointers against Clemson on Wednesday night, his record now stands at 16 out of 34 from deep with Miami. His mid-range scoring and athletic performance have also remained consistent.

Despite not offering any significant creation, his 47.1 three-point percentage is less impressive due to only 2.6 three-point attempts. For his improved shooting to be truly convincing and for him to appear as a viable offensive player at the next level, he will need a second-round team to fully invest in him.


49. Boston Celtics (via Mavericks): Kobe Johnson

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 40
  • School/team: USC
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 200 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Kent Bazemore

Kobe Johnson finally managed to overcome a tough shooting slump by successfully hitting 6 out of 12 three-pointers against Oregon State and California.

Despite needing to further convince others about his shot, his proficient passing, defense, and cutting abilities as a 6-foot-6 wing could be sufficient for him to compete for an NBA role, provided he develops a capable shot.


50. Indiana Pacers: Judah Mintz

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 45
  • School/team: Syracuse
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 185 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jaden Ivey

Judah Mintz attracts attention due to his speed in open-floor situations, his ability to pressure the rim in half court scenarios, his scoring in the paint, and his two-way playmaking skills.

Concerns about his limited build, length, and shooting range have scouts questioning his fit for the NBA.


51. Atlanta Hawks (via Heat): Harrison Ingram

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 57
  • School/team: North Carolina
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 235 lbs

Harrison Ingram has caught the attention of scouts again by shooting 42.9 percent from three, following his invitation to the 2022 NBA combine.

His limited athleticism restricts him within the arc, but his enhanced jump shot and passing abilities—demonstrated more at Stanford—offer intriguing potential for advancement to the next level.


52. New Orleans Pelicans: Zvonimir Ivisic

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 48
  • School/team: Kentucky
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 20, Freshman
  • Size: 7-foot-2, 234 lbs

Updates regarding whether Zvonimir Ivisic will be permitted to play for Kentucky are yet to be announced. Regardless of whether he plays this season, his FIBA tape (showing 11.4 points, 3.4 blocks, and 1.6 threes from the U20 European Championship) coupled with his workouts, should generate sufficient interest for a team to consider drafting him.

Until that time, he will only be considered as a second-round prospect and a project. However, he has demonstrated uncommon and attractive ball-handling and shooting abilities for a 7-foot-2 player.


53. Sacramento Kings: Branden Carlson

  • Stock status: Up
  • Former position in the mock draft: Not listed
  • School/team: Utah
  • Position: C
  • Age: 24
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 220 lbs

Despite being 24 years old, Branden Carlson is proving that he deserves some attention in the latter stages of the draft. The towering 7-footer recently scored 34 points and had seven assists against Washington, improving his shooting record to 20-of-50 from long range.


54. Los Angeles Lakers (via Clippers): Pacome Dadiet

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 57
  • Team/nationality: Ratiopharm Ulm/France
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 187 lbs
  • Pacome Dadiet showcased his best shotmaking, slashing and finishing skills last week against Mitteldeutscher, scoring a season-high 17 points in just 17 minutes. His jumper, promising in both off the catch and dribble moves, hints at his NBA wing size.

He still looks more like a draft-and-stash option if he declares and stays in the draft, as he won’t turn 19 until July.


55. Houston Rockets (via OKC): Pelle Larsson

  • Stock status: Up
  • Former mock draft position: Not listed
  • School/Team: Arizona
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 215 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Thomas Bryant

The argument in favor of Pelle Larsson is based on his positional size, versatility, and his accomplishment in slashing, passing, finishing in transition, and making open shots. This year, he has a success rate of 45.9 percent on all jump shots.

The argument against him must begin with his 24 three-point tries in 13 games. Despite being 22 years old (turning 23 next month), he hasn’t shown much assurance in his shooting, which could become an issue at the next level considering his limited creation abilities.


56. Indiana Pacers (via Bucks): Trentyn Flowers

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 49
  • Team/nationality: Adelaide 36ers/USA
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 205 lbs

Trentyn Flowers hasn’t sunk a three-pointer since November 17. Although there’s ample time for him to regain his form, he won’t be consistently playing, which would make his recovery easier.

His best opportunity to impress teams with his positional size, athleticism, and shotmaking skills will be during pre-draft workouts.


57. Denver Nuggets (via Wolves): Nikola Djurisic

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 54
  • Team: Mega MIS, Serbian/Belgian
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 214 lbs

Nikola Djurisic achieved a season-best 18 points in Mega’s initial game without Nikola Topic, a potential top-five pick who moved to Crvena Zvezda.

Despite another year of inconsistent shooting, it’s still valuable to keep an eye on Djurisic and remain patient, considering his abilities to shoot, dribble, and pass, especially impressive for a 19-year-old who stands at 6-foot-7.

Without Topic for the next few months, he will have the chance to become more aggressive and start convincing scouts again of his scoring and shot-making skills.


58. Charlotte Hornets (via Celtics): Reece Beekman

  • Stock status:
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 47
  • School/team: Virginia
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 194 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jevon Carter

Reece Beekman continues to vie for a defensive specialist role, but his efficiency in finishing inside the arc has significantly improved this year.

However, scouts have been hoping to see improvements in his shooting, but he has not demonstrated any progress so far in his senior year.

* * *

Jonathan Wasserman is the lead scout and NBA Draft analyst for Bleacher Report. You can follow him on  X, formerly known as Twitter. The views on this page do not necessarily reflect the views of the NBA, its clubs or Warner Brothers Discovery.

Stats courtesy of Synergy Sports and Sports Reference.

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