Bleacher Report: New 2-round Mock Draft, major competition for No. 1 pick

The latest Bleacher Report mock draft ranks Rob Dillingham from the University of Kentucky at No. 7.

Editor’s Note: Find more of Jonathan Wasserman’s coverage of the 2024 Draft on Bleacher Report or to read this article on BleacherReport.com, click here.

(B/R) — Conference play has begun and the 2024 NBA draft is still looking at roughly six No. 1 overall candidates.

The number might actually go up, as there is not much difference between the perceived Tier 2 and Tier 1 prospects.

Global names are rising to the top of the board, gaining more momentum. The first NCAA player might not be picked until the 4th, 5th, or 6th selection.

The ongoing theme for this current class remains parity. Scouts are prioritizing prospects with high potential, even if they lack an obvious high-ceiling, and they are going the extra mile this year to discover hidden talents in unanticipated places.

1. Detroit Pistons: Alexandre Sarr

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 4
  • Team/Nationality: Perth Wildcats/French
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 7-foot-1, 216 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jaren Jackson Jr.

In the absence of a clear top prospect in the draft, the focus at No. 1 might lean more towards suitability and requirements than usual. Alexandre Sarr, apart from appearing adept at slotting into the 4 position between Jalen Duren and Ausar Thompson, presents a degree of assurance with his size, agility, and adaptable defensive versatility that other prospects lack.

Even if his progress hits a roadblock early on, his towering height of 7-foot-1 and agile, nimble feet certainly guarantee proficiency in finishing, blocking shots, and switching. However, glimpses of his ability to handle the ball and make shots in open-floor situations also suggest a potential for increased offensive prowess.

The most revealing statistic to date indicates that he has successfully made 10 out of 22 pull-up jumpers. He has also scored 15 three-pointers and has shown adeptness at driving the ball down and attacking closeouts. His ability to protect the rim and move defensively, coupled with his face-up flashes that result in those impressive scoring statistics, have led some scouts to see him as a potential top overall pick.

2. San Antonio Spurs: Nikola Topic

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 2
  • Team/Nationality: KK Crvena Zvezda
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 198 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

With Nikola Topic’s transition from Mega MIS to Red Star, scouts will now have the opportunity to watch the Adriatic League’s most productive teenager compete against tougher opponents in the EuroLeague.

In his two games, we observed mixed results. We noted his passing and vision, finishing adjustments, physical and athletic limitations, as well as questionable defensive skills and awareness.

At this point, it’s more believable that his transition play, slashing, and playmaking abilities will translate well. However, it’s harder to see him as a top-tier NBA scorer due to his inconsistent shooting, slender build, and lack of explosive power.

Playing in the EuroLeague could potentially reveal some of the flaws that are hidden during Adriatic League play, but it also presents an opportunity to bolster his draft prospects against some of the most seasoned professionals abroad.

3. Washington Wizards: Zaccharie Risacher

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 6
  • Team/Nationality: JL Bourg/French
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 204 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Michael Porter Jr.

LNB All-Star Zaccharie Risacher is currently at a 47.3 percent success rate on 91 three-point attempts, further bolstering his reputation as a strong shotmaker. This ability is aiding him in establishing the notion that he could easily fit into the NBA, possessing a high-floor and a valuable speciality skill. This is crucial in a draft that lacks compelling high-ceiling prospects.

If he avoids hitting a wall that suggests a fluke start or random hot streak, his mix of positional size, athleticism, shooting, and perimeter defense should be sufficient to maintain his position in the top five.

While playing for JL Bourg, Risacher has used 86.4 percent of his possessions for spot-ups, transition, off-ball screens, offensive boards, and cuts. As a result, there is limited footage from this year showing Risacher’s on-ball or creative abilities.

This does prompt queries about his archetype and its benefits. However, his improved ball-handling was evident last year in France’s under-21 league, where his average was 4.4 assists. Moreover, it’s challenging to be overly critical considering the other available options.

4. Charlotte Hornets: Cody Williams

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 5
  • School/Team: Colorado
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 190 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jerami Grant

Cody Williams was sidelined due to a wrist injury, coming off back-to-back 21-point performances and a 67.7 true shooting percentage over seven games.

Considering his high efficiency and productivity, coupled with his possession of a highly desired, big-wing archetype, scouts have provisionally ranked him alongside the top projected NCAA picks pending his return.

Williams still has a lot to prove given the small sample size, lower quality competition, and low three-point statistics (6-of-10). His ball handling can be inconsistent, and he doesn’t take many jump shots, which is unusual for a player expected to play on the perimeter.

Even if scouts discover that his shooting and creative skills don’t quite meet the standard for a typical top pick, his size for his position, as well as his slashing and finishing abilities, passing, and defense skills, still offer a reassuring range of versatility.

5. Portland Trail Blazers: Matas Buzelis

  • Stock: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 1
  • School/Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 209 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Franz Wagner

Even though Matas Buzelis’ performance at the G League Showcase was not impressive, scouts appear to be willing to wait due to his 6-foot-8 stature, fluid athleticism, versatile shotmaking, and occasional on-ball defensive prowess.

Heading into Orlando, he had an excellent stretch and since then, he has slightly bounced back.

Producing more jumpers could alleviate some of Buzelis’ issues, and high school scouting indicates that his shooting percentages are likely to improve. However, he does need to enhance his ability to create in tight spaces and manage contact. Yet, at 19 years old, his versatility and compatibility make him a desirable prospect for teams, who are willing to bet on him boosting his handle and physique.

6. Memphis Grizzlies: Ron Holland

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 3
  • School/Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 204 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Cam Whitmore

Ron Holland’s sales pitch hasn’t changed since he was a top overall candidate. He has an innate ability to attack downhill and quick defensive moves. At 18 years old, he shows signs of ball-handling and shot-making, suggesting he has potential to grow as a scorer and shooter.

However, these signs have not been prevalent enough this season. His three-point shooting is at 21.4 percent, he’s been having more difficulties recently inside the arc, and the ratio of his 61 turnovers to 47 assists underscores his limited playmaking ability and inconsistent decision-making.

The equation still has to factor in natural talent and age, as Holland is expected to provide a team with an increase in transition speed, pressure on the rim, and defensive energy at the very least.

He is simply making it challenging for teams to realistically envision a wing who can offer any creation or dependable shooting in the near future.

7. San Antonio Spurs (via Raptors): Rob Dillingham

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 10
  • School/Team: Kentucky
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 18, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 176 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Kemba Walker

Despite some teams questioning if Rob Dillingham is suited to be a primary ball-handler or combo, they aren’t planning on being overly critical. His creative and shotmaking skills might persuade a top 10 team interested in enhancing its rotation to recruit him.

Despite his physical limitations affecting his performance in completing plays within the arc, he has shown impressive stats with a 44.7 percent rate from the three-point line and an average of 4.5 assists to 1.6 turnovers. His skills in handling, pull-up and floater are likely to aid him in scoring in ball-screen situations. He has also exhibited selfless gameplay, making correct passing decisions.

Dillingham’s 44.1 percent success rate on catch-and-shoot opportunities is a positive indicator of his potential to effectively play alongside another point guard.

8. Chicago Bulls: Ja’kobe Walter

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 7
  • School/Team: Baylor
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 195 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Moses Moody

Ja’Kobe Walter’s top-10 standing seemingly solidifies due to his positional tools and shotmaking versatility, which provide an easy fit and a reliable foundation.

Walter’s skill set is perfectly suited for off-ball scoring in a plug-and-play format, demonstrated by his 40.0 percent success rate on spot-up threes and 9-of-16 shots off screens. Moreover, he has proven to be effective at scoring in ball-screen situations, mainly by aggressively attacking downhill, completing shots despite contact, or gaining opportunities to shoot from the free-throw line.

Standing at 6-foot-5 and equipped with length and strength, he possesses the defensive skills that complement his jumper, forming a low-risk and widely favored archetype.

9. Atlanta Hawks: Reed Sheppard

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 15
  • School/Team: Kentucky
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 187 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Donte DiVincenzo

The scarcity of promising prospects with high potential in this draft will enhance the appreciation for Reed Sheppard’s consistent performance. His strengths like shooting, passing IQ, and defensive instincts, which can be easily transferred to different situations, make him versatile and able to influence games without the necessity to create. This underpins his value.

The metrics and analytics for his efficiency continue to astound. He’s successfully making 60.0 percent of his two-point shots, 56.0 percent of his three-point attempts and 90.0 percent of his free throws. He also boasts 52 assists to 19 turnovers, an outstanding 5.6 percent steal rate, and an uncommonly high 3.9 percent block rate for a guard.

In this draft, there will come a time—potentially in the late lottery—when teams will overlook the inch or two that Sheppard lacks for a traditional 2-guard.

10. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Yves Missi

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 19
  • School/team: Baylor
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 235 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Mark Williams

If Dereck Lively II and Mark Williams can make it to the top 15 in stronger drafts, then teams looking to strengthen their frontcourt depth and rim protection should show lottery interest in Yves Missi in the 2024 drafts.

Missi has been shooting at a rate of 63.6 percent, averaging 4.6 blocks and 13.3 rebounds per 40 minutes. His physicality, athleticism, hand skills, and energy contribute to his performance both as a finisher and a presence in the interior. Observing him successfully prevent Duke’s Kyle Filipowski from creating separation in several possessions has positively influenced his standing with scouts.

11. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Jazz): Tidjane Salaun

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 11
  • Team/Nationality: Cholet/France
  • Position: PF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 212 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Obi Toppin

While some squads might opt for players with a consistent performance, others might take a gamble on potential. The prospects of Tidjane Salaun are becoming increasingly enticing each week. The 18-year-old forward’s recent form is impressive, with a 17-of-25 three-point shooting record in his last six games.

Currently, the attraction towards Salaun is solely based on his athleticism and shot-making abilities. He has not demonstrated significant skills off the dribble, with only 19 assists and five blocks in 26 games.

However, he is also one of the youngest prospects in the draft performing in France’s premier league. His size, agility, and three-point shooting skills make for a fairly transferable catch-score/finish package.

12. Portland Trail Blazers (via Warriors): Kyle Filipowski

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 16
  • School/Team: Duke
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 248 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Moritz Wagner

Kyle Filipowski is still building his reputation around versatility rather than scoring potential, as it remains challenging to identify one signature strength or skill for him.

While he may not be the sharpshooter or smooth mover that Lauri Markkanen is, he does have a variety of skills, even if he doesn’t excel in any particular one. He’s developed into a more robust low-post player. His three-point statistics are fairly similar to last year’s, but he remains a threat in spot-up or pick-and-pop situations. Plus, he’s capable of starting fast breaks with his open-floor handling.

Filipowski, who averages 3.0 assists per game, is demonstrating his ability to influence games in a variety of ways and offer teams a valuable player.

13. New Orleans Pelicans (via Lakers): Isaiah Collier

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 8
  • School/Team: USC
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 210 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Ty Lawson

Isaiah Collier’s early hype is waning due to his sinking shooting percentages, persistent high turnover rate, and the ongoing accumulation of USC losses.

Instead of envisioning him as a franchise point guard to build a team around, it’s increasingly seeming more prudent to consider him as a rotational guard who can assist in putting pressure on the defense and the rim, as well as contribute some opportunistic playmaking.

Despite issues with his shooting and decision-making, his agility, physicality, strong finishes, and occasional brilliant passes could still make him a valuable offensive player in the right NBA position.

14. Phoenix Suns: Ryan Dunn

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 10
  • School/Team: Virginia
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 216 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Herbert Jones

The extent to which scouts should consider Ryan Dunn’s offensive limitations is a subject of debate. Although he may not be suitable for all teams, certain teams may find value in recruiting a defensive specialist and dynamic finisher like him, particularly in the middle of the first round of a purportedly weaker draft.

While it may be unlikely for him to maintain his current defensive playmaking rates, he is on track to be the only NCAA player in history to achieve a block percentage of 10.0 and a steal percentage of 5.0.

However, without a threatening three-point shot, Dunn might struggle to justify his starting minutes at the next level.

15. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Donovan Clingan

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: 13th
  • School/Team: Connecticut
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 7-foot-2, 280 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Jakob Poeltl

Donovan Clingan was out for a month due to a foot strain back in September, and now he is sidelined for another three to four weeks due to a foot injury he sustained in a game against Seton Hall. His durability is likely to be a subject of discussion, especially considering his weight of 280 lbs.

His height, strength, mobility, and anticipation allow him to alter games defensively when he’s healthy. NBA teams will desire these qualities, as well as his capacity to effortlessly finish and execute putbacks.

16. Orlando Magic: Stephon Castle

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 9
  • School/Team: Connecticut
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 215 lbs

Stephon Castle’s ability to establish any rhythm has been impacted by an early-season injury and a talented, deep rotation of Connecticut.

Scouts will need to place greater emphasis on the potential and brief moments of brilliance shown by the 6-foot-6, 215-pound point wing, given his limited role in just 20.9 minutes. They could use this to create a valuable archetype.

He’s averaging 6.2 assists and 1.9 steals every 40 minutes. His passing and defensive skills set him apart from others in his position.

Nevertheless, Castle’s poor shooting (1-of-9 3PT) and significant misses are likely to deter most top 10 teams from showing interest.

17. New York Knicks: Kevin McCullar Jr.

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 15
  • School/Team: Kansas
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 214 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Austin Reaves

Kevin McCullar Jr. may be a sought-after target outside the lottery, despite teams potentially struggling to identify his upside. His desirable passing and defense skills, along with his improving slashing and shotmaking abilities, could make him popular.

Maintaining his current 37.7% three-point and 85.2% free-throw percentages should aid the senior in further establishing the scouts’ trust in his shooting abilities. Even having a shot that’s just threatening or average should suffice for him to play a versatile supporting role, similar to a Swiss Army knife.

18. Cleveland Cavaliers: Tyler Smith

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 32
  • Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: PF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 224 lbs

Tyler Smith has recovered from a poor shooting performance in December, a positive indicator for a player whose three-point shooting skills and touch are garnering NBA attention.

Standing at 6’11, his stroke appears neat, and he has demonstrated his ability to cause significant damage around the basket with his physical skills.

Smith will need to be highly accurate with his shots, due to his limited creative and defensive capacities. However, if he maintains his existing three-point average of 38.7%, he may pique the interest of teams who envision him as a stretch four who excels at pick-and-pop plays in the first round.

19. New York Knicks (via Mavs): Tristan da Silva

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 22
  • School/Team: Colorado
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-9, 220 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jake LaRavia

Tristan da Silva’s athletic constraints should not overshadow his exceptional shotmaking skills. Teams should recognize him as a flexible stretch 4 who also has the ability to execute quick pull-ups and movement shots.

Apart from having a compelling jump shot, he also makes up for his lack of speed with a gentle touch on his runners. Furthermore, his intelligence results in sound decision-making when it comes to passing.

20. Indiana Pacers: Ulrich Chomche

  • Stock status: Up
  • Former mock draft position: Unavailable
  • School/Team: NBA Academy Africa/Cameroon
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 225 lbs

Ulrich Chomche has had an outstanding December, displaying remarkable performances at both the Sunrise Prep Showcase and G League Showcase for NBA Academy Africa.

NBA teams should identify the significant defensive potential linked to his height of 6-foot-11, wingspan of 7-foot-4, rim verticality, movement, and recovery skills. Even though his offensive skills are still unrefined, he has shown unexpected proficiency in three-point shooting, individual moves from the post/short corners, and passes, some of which are off live dribbles.

It’s not surprising that teams might be reluctant to consider Chomche in June, given his lack of experience against top-tier competition. It also seems as if he might be considering the prospect of playing college basketball during the 2024-25 season.

He also celebrates his birthday on December 30, which just qualifies him for the 2024 draft. This draft is known for being one where teams are often prepared to take earlier risks based on potential.

Depending on the feedback he receives and his eagerness to immediately embark on his NBA career, Chomche could be a player to keep an eye on as the predraft process starts.

Considering his age, physical abilities, reliable defensive versatility, and some impressive offensive moments, he would certainly attract first-round consideration.

21. Miami Heat: Dalton Knecht

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 20
  • School/Team: Tennessee
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 204 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Max Strus

Despite recent blowout wins having seen a slump in Dalton Knecht’s performance, there is likely no cause for concern. Scouts are confident in the shooting ability of the 6-foot-6 wing. He has already demonstrated his powerful and efficient scoring abilities against North Carolina (37 points, 13-17), Illinois (21 points, 7-14), Purdue (16 points, 6-13), and Wisconsin (24 points, 8-15).

Though he may not contribute significantly to creating opportunities, his physical abilities and skills make him a valuable asset for off-ball scoring. His movement shot-making is impressive, with a success rate of 48.3 percent and he has never failed in cutting, with a perfect 9-of-9 record.

22. New Orleans Pelicans: Kel’el Ware

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 20
  • School/Team: Indiana
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 242 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Jarrett Allen

Kel’el Ware, despite his evident talent, frequently defaults to difficult jump shots or fades into obscurity. However, scouts are swayed by his 7-foot-0 stature, effortless jumps, and shotmaking abilities to overlook his occasional inactivity.

The 7-foot tall player is averaging 14.6 points by utilizing his exceptional skills in finishing lobs and putbacks. He also scores on his defenders in the post through his high release and touch.

Indiana doesn’t have much confidence in him to create space on the floor as a spot-up or pick-and-pop shooter. However, predraft workouts could provide Ware with another opportunity to reveal some unseen potential.

23. Atlanta Hawks (via Kings): Bobi Klintman

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 23
  • Team/Nationality: Cairns Taipans/Swedish
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 20
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 225 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: De’Andre Hunter

Bobi Klintman’s performance has fluctuated throughout the season. However, this inconsistency can be justified as he has been playing a significant spot-up role for a new team in a professional league.

His 6-foot-8 combo forward archetype, which includes glimpses of shooting, touch shots, and live-dribble passing, will attract NBA teams.

The notion that Klintman lacks a solid strength does carry some risk. However, his physical abilities and skills offer an attractive range of versatility.

24. OKC Thunder (via Clippers): Melvin Ajinca

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 36
  • Team/nationality: Saint-Quentin/France
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-7

Teams ranked in the 20s and 30s will aim for Melvin Ajinca’s shooting skills and versatility, which he has demonstrated consistently from the U19 World Cup to LNB Pro A in France.

At the age of 19, he has made 34 three-pointers in 18 games, playing for 23 minutes each. Standing at 6-foot-7, he boasts a robust physique suitable for any wing position.

He simply hasn’t demonstrated much more, and analytics departments might perceive his alarmingly low assist and steal rates as red flags.

25. Denver Nuggets: Ajay Mitchell

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 25
  • School/Team: Santa Barbara
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 190 lbs

Ajay Mitchell has scored at least 25 points for the fourth time in 10 games this season, with his recent surge being a whopping 39 points.

While his lack of three-pointers may concern scouts who think he’ll need to improve his jump shot for the next level, he’s still dominating. Despite only averaging 2.2 three-point attempts, his scoring average of 20.9 points demonstrates his proficiency in utilizing speed changes, body control, finishing adjustments, and touch.

Considering the recent rise in successful NBA guards who excel without exceptional athleticism, it’s plausible that a team would use a first-round pick to gamble on his productivity, meticulous ball-handling, and difficult shot-making skills translating to the next level.

26. Philadelphia 76ers: Jared McCain

  • Stock status: Up
  • Former position in mock draft: Not listed
  • School/Team: Duke
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 197 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Landry Shamet

Jared McCain is now shooting 46.9 percent from three, raising his profile for the 2024 first-round discussion. He also boasts a 50.0 percent success rate on catch-and-shoot threes and a 43.8 percent rate on two-point dribble jumpers. His ability to handle the ball and transition into pull-ups inside the arc is noteworthy.

It’s clear he has limitations: he doesn’t have the burst or strength for fast breaks, clean finishes or drawing fouls. However, NBA teams will eventually recognize him as a specialist in making shots, who can also handle the ball and make wise decisions.

27. Indiana Pacers (via Thunder): Hunter Sallis

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 55
  • School/team: Wake Forest
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 185 lbs

Hunter Sallis continues to impress with his three-level shotmaking and athletic finishing, consistently scoring over 20 points in his last three games. This performance could persuade scouts that his scoring ability is transferable.

He’s proven to be an effective slasher and one of the country’s most efficient pull-up shooters with a 48.3 percent accuracy. Additionally, he’s a decent three-point threat, landing 2.0 per game at a 36.1 percent success rate.

His lack of playmaking ability limits his versatility and margin for error, making it crucial for him to be comfortable playing off the ball.

28. Milwaukee Bucks: D.J. Wagner

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 18
  • School/Team: Kentucky
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 18, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 192 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Collin Sexton

Questions regarding D.J. Wagner’s physique, athletic prowess, playmaking instinct, and range had led to some initial skepticism. He was expected to prove himself through his performance. However, his statistics now stand at only 11.9 points and 3.5 assists, with a poor 49.5 percent true shooting rate.

Wagner’s inconsistent contributions can be attributed to Kentucky’s stacked backcourt, where he has been notably less effective compared to fellow Wildcats’ backcourt members Rob Dillingham, Reed Sheppard, and Antonio Reaves.

Wagner continues to demonstrate a unique ability to create drives and apply rim pressure with his handling skills, speed off the dribble, and talent for identifying paths to the basket. His potential to excel in a bench-spark role that appreciates his straight-line scoring ability combined with the potential to enhance shotmaking and preparatory passes should attract interest.

29. Minnesota Timberwolves: Trevon Brazile

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 24
  • School/Team: Arkansas
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 220 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Thomas Bryant

When Trevon Brazile starts to make three-point shots, he becomes less captivating. However, the statistics still show a steady improvement in his shooting, an impressive progression for an explosive 6-foot-10 high jumper.

Even though he may not be climbing up the boards, he’s still maintaining his position in the first-round discussion.

30. Boston Celtics: Tyrese Proctor

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 29
  • School/Team: Duke
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 183 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Shake Milton

Since returning from injury, Tyrese Proctor has shown efficiency in his two games as a substitute. Despite a decrease in his ability to create opportunities, outmaneuver opponents, and apply pressure to the rim, his shot-making skills and intelligent passing could still earn him crucial playing time.

His draft stock will ultimately depend on his ability to consistently knock down threes, given his athletic limitations.

31. Toronto Raptors (via Pistons): Oso Ighodaro

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 26
  • School/team: Marquette
  • Position: C
  • Age: 21, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 225 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jaylin Williams

Teams may find Oso Ighodaro’s skill in handling and passing as a 5 to be the most valuable. He also poses a threat as a scorer with his unique touch and push shots. Remarkably, he has already made a surprising 25 out of 41 one-handed shots around the key – an impressive statistic for a 6-foot-11 player.

Ighodaro, lacking significant rim protection or floor spacing abilities, is likely to serve as a specialty center. His unique skill set can provide a team with a different perspective at this position.

32. San Antonio Spurs: Wooga Poplar

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 27
  • School/team: Miami
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 197 lbs

Wooga Poplar may miss some games due to an ankle injury, but scouts are still keenly watching him. He has ample time to take advantage of their attention.

His athleticism is always noticeable as he completes 77.4 percent of his finishes. Furthermore, his shotmaking abilities have improved significantly. He is presently scoring 44.0 percent off the catch and 42.9 percent on pull-ups.

The clear criticism of Poplar is that for a guard, he lacks in creation and playmaking abilities. Additionally, he is too small to defend against most forwards.

33. Detroit Pistons (via Wizards): Justin Edwards

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 28
  • School/team: Kentucky
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 203 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Olivier Maxence-Prosper

Justin Edwards has performed efficiently and somewhat productively. However, he hasn’t demonstrated any specific skill that appears beneficial or dependable for advancement.

His size, athleticism, defensive potential, and some ability to make shots will afford him ample time. However, at this point, he lacks enough on-ball creation or off-ball shooting skills to assure NBA teams that he could fit into their offensive strategies.

34. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hornets): Izan Almansa

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 39
  • Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 230 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jabari Walker

Izan Almansa recently completed a season with a high score of 24 points, showcasing his gentle handling and impeccable timing near the hoop. His game, while not particularly thrilling, has proven effective, primarily in his role as a play-finisher.

Teams might consider previous instances of face-up drives and three-pointers in FIBA games, indicating that there could be undiscovered versatility in his gameplay.

35. Milwaukee Bucks (via Blazers): Adem Bona

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 34
  • School/team: UCLA
  • Position: C
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 245 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Isaiah Jackson

Despite his improved post scoring this season, Adem Bona’s athleticism and motor continue to be his key selling points. His defensive potential has been particularly evident in the last two games against UCLA and Oregon State, where he amassed a total of eight blocks and four steals.

His ability to finish and block shots near the basket will be highly desired by NBA teams. However, his extremely high turnover percentage of 21.1, questionable decision-making, and average of 5.1 fouls per 40 minutes indicate that he may not be ready for full-time play in the next level.

36. Minnesota Timberwolves (via Grizzlies): Devin Carter

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 36
  • School/team: Providence:
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 195 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jose Alvarado

Scouts are noticing Devin Carter for his distinctive, bothersome defense and better shooting skills. He’s attracting comparisons to Jose Alvarado due to his relentless pressure on the ball and high energy level. Additionally, he is now shooting at 39.7 percent from the three-point line on an average of 6.5 attempts per game.

In the second round, teams will be less concerned about his creation or decision-making. Instead, they will appreciate his ability to trouble opposing ball-handlers, successfully make open shots, and provide sporadic high-scoring moments once his confidence begins to build.

37. Los Angeles Clippers (via Raptors): Jaxson Robinson

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 46
  • School/team: BYU
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 21, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 190 lbs

Jaxson Robinson’s three-point scores and high percentages have made BYU games a focal point of attention. His impressive performance on the court, coupled with his 6-foot-7 stature and skillful shot, supports his statistics. In addition, he has also demonstrated some unexpected strengths in transition offense, self-creation, and finesse around the key.

Scouts will need to see a significant amount of both accuracy and versatile shot-making to believe that he has first-round value, given that his performance in three years of college did not significantly indicate professional potential.

38. Boston Celtics (via Bulls): Mantas Rubstavicius

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 52
  • Team/nationality: New Zealand Breakers, Lithuanian
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 196 lbs
  • Age: 21

Since being included in the starting lineup of the New Zealand Breakers four games ago, Mantas Rubstavicius, who has been averaging 17.3 points, has emerged as a player to watch out for in the forthcoming draft.

He has a solid wing size for his position and has excellent three-point shooting with a 14-of-29 record. He also converts his spot-up drives and transition finishes at a high rate.

39. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hawks): Baba Miller

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 26
  • School/team: Florida State
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 204 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jonathan Isaac

Despite the appealing glimpses and archetype of Baba Miller, his ongoing secondary role as a sophomore is making it challenging for scouts to envision him as a contributor in the NBA.

The skill set of the 6-foot-11 wing should maintain interest. He manages well in space, completes effectively, and shows some defensive flexibility with his size and mobility.

However, the absence of aggression, limited creativity, low-volume shooting and a 42.9 free-throw percentage for a second-year player like Miller might make it challenging for a team to justify using a first-round pick on him.

40. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Aaron Bradshaw

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 37
  • School/team: Kentucky
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 7-foot-1, 226 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Mohamed Bamba

After an initial eye test, Aaron Bradshaw appears to be a competent shooter and effective in the paint, though he lacks passing skills, advanced post moves and superior athletic abilities.

The concept of a 7-foot-1 player who could potentially expand the playing field, defend by blocking shots, and secure offensive rebounds remains intriguing. However, his high center of gravity appears to hinder him near the basket, and it’s too premature to consider his jump shot as a dependable tool.

After a few weeks of conference play, scouts will gain a more accurate assessment of Bradshaw. The recent games have been dominated by Kentucky, with their freshmen center playing a minor offensive role.

41. New York Knicks (via Jazz): PJ Hall

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 56
  • School/team: Clemson
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 21
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 238 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jeremiah Robinson-Earl

PJ Hall, while still a dominant post-up player, appears more explosive and confident in shooting three-pointers this year.

Scouts will consider him more seriously in 2024 as a potential stretch 4 or 5, given his increased rates in dunking, blocking, three-point shooting, and assisting.

42. Houston Rockets (via Warriors): Tyler Kolek

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 44
  • School/team: Marquette
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 22, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 195 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Malachi Flynn

NBA teams in search of additional playmaking prowess could set their sights on Tyler Kolek, a pick-and-roll expert possessing an innate sense and intelligence for passing in ball-screen scenarios.

His 43.3 percent accuracy as a catch-and-shoot player gives him the versatility to contribute to off-ball shotmaking. However, his athletic and physical restrictions may impair his ability to create and separate, finish, and defend.

43. San Antonio Spurs (via Lakers): Zach Edey

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 43
  • School/team: Purdue
  • Position: C
  • Age: 21, Senior
  • Size: 7-foot-4, 300 lbs

Most teams still seem more willing to bet on a guard, wing or forward rather than a 300-pound big who lacks shooting and defending skills away from the basket. However, all it needs is one front office to believe in Zach Edey. His dominating performance in college and his 7-foot-4 size could translate into efficient post-offense, impressive finishes, and effective shot-blocking.

Despite the low success rate of players similar to him, his skill level and his ability to play with his back to the basket cannot be denied.

44. Washington Wizards (via Suns): Alex Karaban

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 42
  • School/team: Connecticut
  • Position: PF
  • Age: 21, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 220 lbs

Alex Karaban’s shotmaking ability at 6-foot-8, 220 lbs should secure his draft, but his effectiveness as a cutter and exceptional defense also contribute.

Even though he doesn’t offer much in terms of creation or athletic ability, he meets the requirements for an NBA stretch 4 due to his size, shooting skills and quick footwork that allows him to guard away from the basket.

45. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Dillon Jones

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous position in the mock draft: Not selected
  • School/Team: Weber State
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 235 lbs
  • Pro comparison: David Roddy

Scouts seem unsure about Dillon Jones’ unconventional suitability and adaptability. There are legitimate questions about whether he is sufficiently threatening when he has the ball or if he is a proficient enough shooter to play without it.

However, it is likely that a team in the second round will be attracted by the versatile potential his ball-handling, passing, rebounding, and shot-making skills offer, akin to a Swiss Army knife.

46. Philadelphia 76ers (via Knicks): Trey Alexander

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 38
  • School/team: Creighton
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 190 lbs
  • Pro comparison: E’Twaun Moore

Even though Trey Alexander’s three-point statistics have decreased this year, he has demonstrated progress in crucial aspects such as enhanced rim pressure and additional playmaking.

The enhanced on-ball play offers more versatility, but his NBA income will still largely come from shotmaking. This is under the presumption that his slim build and athletic restrictions would make it challenging for him to consistently outpace and surpass NBA defenders.

His shooting percentages are predicted to rise by March, based on the success he had last year and the visual examination of his performance.

47. LA Clippers (via Cavs): Bronny James

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 51
  • School/team: USC
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 210 lbs
  • Pro comparison: De’Anthony Melton

Bronny James keeps gaining comfort and confidence in attacking in open areas, initiating jump shots, and making screen pass decisions.

It’s clear that there’s a deficiency in explosive speed and ball-handling skills for independent playmaking, but scouts will adjust their expectations to envision more of a linking player rather than a primary guard.

James possesses the appropriate skill set and mindset for a supporting role, considering his proficiency in shooting, high passing IQ, and quick defensive capabilities.

48. Orlando Magic: Matthew Cleveland

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 53
  • School/team: Miami
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 208 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Otto Porter Jr.

Matthew Cleveland’s draft buzz was limited at Florida State due to his poor shooting performance over two seasons.

Following his performance against Clemson on Wednesday night where he netted three threes, his record now stands at 16-of-34 from deep with Miami. His skills in mid-range shot-making and athletic play-finishing have also remained consistent.

Despite his attempts, he still lacks real creativity. His 2.6 three-point attempts somewhat diminish the persuasiveness of his 47.1 three-point percentage. A second-round team truly buying into his improved shooting is essential for him to appear as a competent offensive player at the next level for Cleveland.

49. Boston Celtics (via Mavericks): Kobe Johnson

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 40
  • School/team: USC
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 200 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Kent Bazemore

Kobe Johnson finally emerged from a tough shooting slump by hitting 6 out of 12 threes against Oregon State and California.

Despite still needing to improve his shot, his competent play could suffice to compete for an NBA role, considering his aptitude for passing, defense, and cutting as a 6-foot-6 wing.

50. Indiana Pacers: Judah Mintz

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 45
  • School/team: Syracuse
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 185 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jaden Ivey

Judah Mintz’s appeal lies in his speed in an open-floor game, his ability to put pressure on the rim in half-court situations, his scoring abilities in the paint, and his two-way playmaking skills.

Questions from scouts regarding his limited frame, length, and shooting range are causing concerns about his suitability for the NBA.

51. Atlanta Hawks (via Heat): Harrison Ingram

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 57
  • School/team: North Carolina
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 235 lbs

Harrison Ingram, who has been invited to the 2022 NBA combine, is now back on scouts’ radar due to his impressive 42.9 percent shooting from the three-point line.

His limited athleticism restricts him within the arc, but his enhanced jump shot and passing skills – which he demonstrated more at Stanford – offer intriguing potential for advancement to the next level.

52. New Orleans Pelicans: Zvonimir Ivisic

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 48
  • School/team: Kentucky
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 20, Freshman
  • Size: 7-foot-2, 234 lbs

Updates remain unavailable regarding whether Zvonimir Ivisic will be approved to play for Kentucky or when that might happen. However, even if he doesn’t play this season, his FIBA stats (11.4 points, 3.4 blocks, 1.6 threes at the U20 European Championship) and workouts should generate enough interest for a team to consider drafting him.

Until that time, he will be simply considered a second-round prospect and project, albeit one who has shown exceptional and alluring skills in ball-handling and shot-making for a 7-foot-2 player.

53. Sacramento Kings: Branden Carlson

  • Stock status: Up
  • Former mock draft position: Not listed
  • School/team: Utah
  • Position: C
  • Age: 24
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 220 lbs

Despite being 24 years old, Branden Carlson is proving to be a potential late draft pick. The 7-foot tall player recently scored 34 points and made seven assists against Washington, improving his shooting record to 20-of-50 from deep.

54. Los Angeles Lakers (via Clippers): Pacome Dadiet

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 57
  • Team/nationality: Ratiopharm Ulm/France
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 187 lbs
  • Last week against Mitteldeutscher, Pacome Dadiet delivered his best performance yet, scoring a season-high of 17 points in just 17 minutes. His shotmaking, slashing, and finishing skills were impressive. His size, suitable for an NBA wing, coupled with a promising jumper that works both off the catch and dribble, are noteworthy.

Despite not reaching 19 until July, if he declares and remains in the draft, he still appears to be more of a draft-and-stash option.

55. Houston Rockets (via OKC): Pelle Larsson

  • Stock status: Up
  • Former mock draft position: Not listed
  • School/Team: Arizona
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 215 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Thomas Bryant

The argument in favor of Pelle Larsson hinges on his positional size, adaptability, and his successful record in slashing, passing, finishing in transition, and making open shots. This year, he has achieved a 45.9 percent success rate on total jumpers.

The argument against him must begin with his 24 three-point attempts across 13 games. Despite being only 22 years old (turning 23 next month), he hasn’t shown much self-assurance in his shooting. This could pose a problem at the next level, especially for someone with limited creative abilities.

56. Indiana Pacers (via Bucks): Trentyn Flowers

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 49
  • Team/nationality: Adelaide 36ers/USA
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 205 lbs

Trentyn Flowers hasn’t made a three-pointer since November 17. Even though there’s ample time for him to recover his form, it won’t be straightforward due to his inconsistent role.

His best opportunity to convince teams of his positional size, athleticism, and shot-making skills will be during pre-draft workouts.

57. Denver Nuggets (via Wolves): Nikola Djurisic

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 54
  • Team: Mega MIS, Serbian/Belgian
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 214 lbs

In Mega’s first game without potential top-five pick Nikola Topic, who has transferred to Crvena Zvezda, Nikola Djurisic stepped up and scored a season-high 18 points.

Even though Djurisic’s shooting has been inconsistent for another year, his shoot-dribble-pass skills for a 19-year-old who stands 6-foot-7 are still worth monitoring and warrant patience.

The upcoming months without Topic will provide him the chance to intensify his efforts and begin convincing scouts again about his scoring and shotmaking abilities.

58. Charlotte Hornets (via Celtics): Reece Beekman

  • Stock status:
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 47
  • School/team: Virginia
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 194 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jevon Carter

Reece Beekman will continue to try out for the role of a defensive specialist, but his performance in finishing inside the arc this year has been significantly more efficient.

However, scouts are eager to see improvement in his shooting, but he has yet to demonstrate any progress in his senior year.

* * *

Jonathan Wasserman is the lead scout and NBA Draft analyst for Bleacher Report. You can follow him on  X, formerly known as Twitter. The views on this page do not necessarily reflect the views of the NBA, its clubs or Warner Brothers Discovery.

Stats courtesy of Synergy Sports and Sports Reference.

Similar Posts

Milwaukee Bucks assign rehabbing Jabari Parker to Wisconsin Herd

By

MILWAUKEE — The Milwaukee Bucks have assigned forward Jabari Parker to the Wisconsin Herd of the NBA G League to continue his rehabilitation process. Parker, who is rehabbing his second knee injury in three years, played 51 games in the 2016-17 season and averaged 20.1 points (2nd on team), 6.2 rebounds (3rd on team), 2.8…