Bleacher Report: New 2-round Mock Draft, major competition for No. 1 pick
The latest Bleacher Report mock draft ranks Rob Dillingham from the University of Kentucky at No. 7.
Editor’s Note: Find more of Jonathan Wasserman’s coverage of the 2024 Draft on Bleacher Report or to read this article on BleacherReport.com, click here.
(B/R) — Conference play has begun and the 2024 NBA draft is still looking at roughly six No. 1 overall candidates.
That number could potentially rise, as there isn’t a significant difference between the perceived Tier 2 and Tier 1 prospects.
International names are becoming more prominent at the top of the board. The first NCAA player may not be taken until the 4th, 5th or 6th pick.
The ongoing theme for this current class remains parity. Scouts are prioritizing prospects with high potential but less obvious top-tier talent. This year, they are making an extra effort to uncover hidden talents in unlikely areas.
1. Detroit Pistons: Alexandre Sarr
- Stock status: Up
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 4
- Team/Nationality: Perth Wildcats/French
- Position: PF/C
- Age: 18
- Size: 7-foot-1, 216 lbs
- Pro comparison: Jaren Jackson Jr.
With no clear frontrunner for the best prospect in the draft, team fit and needs may have a more significant impact than usual at the No. 1 spot. Alexandre Sarr seems to have the potential to fill the 4 position between Jalen Duren and Ausar Thompson, and his size, athleticism, and versatile defense skills provide a degree of assurance that other contenders lack.
Even if his growth is halted prematurely, his 7-foot-1 height and swift, nimble feet guarantee successful finishes, shot-blocking, and switching. However, glimpses of his ability to handle the ball in open play and make shots also pave the way for increased offensive potential.
The most revealing statistic to date indicates that he has made 10 out of 22 pull-up jumpers. In addition, he has netted 15 three-pointers and demonstrated effectiveness in driving the ball and attacking closeouts. His ability to protect the rim and move defensively, coupled with his face-up skills that yield those perimeter scoring statistics, lead some scouts to perceive him as a potential No. 1 overall pick.
2. San Antonio Spurs: Nikola Topic
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 2
- Team/Nationality: KK Crvena Zvezda
- Position: PG
- Age: 18
- Size: 6-foot-6, 198 lbs
- Pro comparison: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Nikola Topic’s move from Mega MIS to Red Star will expose him to tougher competition in EuroLeague, providing scouts with the opportunity to observe the most productive teenager in the Adriatic League.
In his two games, the outcomes were varied. We observed his passing and vision, adjustments in finishing, physical and athletic limitations, as well as questionable defensive skills and awareness.
At this point, it’s simpler to accept his transition play, cutting, and playmaking abilities. However, it’s challenging to see him as a top-tier NBA scorer due to his inconsistent shooting, lean physique, and lack of explosive power.
Playing in the EuroLeague could potentially reveal some of the flaws that are hidden during Adriatic League play. However, it also provides an opportunity to bolster his draft prospects against some of the most seasoned professionals overseas.
3. Washington Wizards: Zaccharie Risacher
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 6
- Team/Nationality: JL Bourg/French
- Position: SF
- Age: 18
- Size: 6-foot-8, 204 lbs
- Pro comparison: Michael Porter Jr.
LNB All-Star Zaccharie Risacher is currently at a 47.3 percent success rate with 91 three-point attempts, further solidifying his reputation as a reliable shooter. This is enhancing his appeal as a potential NBA recruit with a secure and valuable speciality skill, particularly in a draft that lacks compelling high-ceiling prospects.
As long as his performance doesn’t suddenly drop, raising suspicions about a lucky start or chance winning streak, his unique mix of size, athleticism, shooting ability, and perimeter defense should be sufficient to maintain his position in the top-five mix.
During his time with JL Bourg, 86.4 percent of his possessions have been derived from spot-ups, transition, off-ball screens, offensive boards and cuts. Consequently, there is not much footage available this year demonstrating Risacher’s capabilities with on-ball or creative plays.
This does prompt inquiries about his archetype and its potential benefits. However, he demonstrated improved ball-handling skills last year in France’s under-21 league, where he averaged 4.4 assists. It’s also challenging to be overly critical considering the other available options.
4. Charlotte Hornets: Cody Williams
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 5
- School/Team: Colorado
- Position: SF
- Age: 19, Freshman
- Size: 6-foot-8, 190 lbs
- Pro comparison: Jerami Grant
Following consecutive 21-point performances and a 67.7 true shooting percentage through seven games, Cody Williams was sidelined due to a wrist injury.
Considering his high efficiency and productivity, along with his ownership of a desired big-wing archetype, scouts have temporarily ranked him alongside the top projected NCAA picks until he comes back.
Despite the small sample size, inferior competition, and his low-volume three-point numbers (6-of-10), Williams still has a lot to prove. His handle can be loose and he doesn’t make a lot of jump shots for someone aiming to be a strong perimeter player.
Even if scouts discover that his shot and creation aren’t as sharp as a traditional top pick, his size, slashing and finishing skills, passing abilities, and defensive prowess still provide a reassuring versatility.
5. Portland Trail Blazers: Matas Buzelis
- Stock: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 1
- School/Team: G League Ignite
- Position: SG/SF
- Age: 19
- Size: 6-foot-8, 209 lbs
- Pro comparison: Franz Wagner
Despite the less than impressive performance by Matas Buzelis at the G League Showcase, scouts seem to be maintaining their patience due to his 6-foot-8 stature, fluid athleticism, versatile shotmaking abilities, and occasional on-ball defensive brilliance.
Heading into Orlando, he had an excellent stretch, and since then, he has slightly bounced back.
Producing more jump shots could resolve some of Buzelis’ problems, and his high school scouting reports indicate an expected increase in his shooting percentages. However, he does need to enhance his ability to create opportunities in confined spaces and manage physical contact. Despite these areas for improvement, teams are likely to value his versatility and compatibility at his young age of 19. They are banking on his potential to develop a stronger handle and physique.
6. Memphis Grizzlies: Ron Holland
- Stock status: Down
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 3
- School/Team: G League Ignite
- Position: SF
- Age: 18
- Size: 6-foot-6, 204 lbs
- Pro Comparison: Cam Whitmore
Ron Holland’s sales pitch hasn’t changed since he was a top contender. He still boasts an innate ability to attack with speed and play defense quickly. At 18 years old, signs of ball-handling and shot-making abilities suggest potential for growth as a scorer and shooter.
However, these indications have not been prevalent this season. He’s only making 21.4 percent from the three-point range, his performance within the arc has been more challenging lately, and the 61 turnovers compared to 47 assists underscore his limited playmaking skills and inconsistent decision-making.
Holland’s potential contribution to a team should not be underestimated, as he is likely to enhance speed in transition, pressure on the rim, and defensive energy, at the very least. However, his natural talent and age must also be taken into account.
He’s simply making it challenging for teams to realistically envision a wing who can offer any creation or reliable shooting in the near future.
7. San Antonio Spurs (via Raptors): Rob Dillingham
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 10
- School/Team: Kentucky
- Position: PG/SG
- Age: 18, Freshman
- Size: 6-foot-3, 176 lbs
- Pro Comparison: Kemba Walker
Teams may still be unsure whether Rob Dillingham fits best as a primary ball-handler or combo, but they are not going to dwell on this detail. His creativity and shotmaking could potentially influence a top 10 team looking to boost its rotation.
Despite his physical limitations affecting his performance inside the arc, he manages to score 44.7 percent from three-point range and averages 4.5 assists to 1.6 turnovers. His skills in handling, pull-up, and floater are beneficial for scoring in ball-screen situations. Moreover, he has been playing selflessly, making correct passing decisions.
Dillingham has a 44.1 percent success rate on catch-and-shoot opportunities, indicating his potential to effectively play alongside another point guard off the ball.
8. Chicago Bulls: Ja’kobe Walter
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 7
- School/Team: Baylor
- Position: SG
- Age: 19, Freshman
- Size: 6-foot-5, 195 lbs
- Pro Comparison: Moses Moody
Ja’Kobe Walter’s use of positional tools and versatile shotmaking has seemingly secured his place in the top-10 discussion, offering an easy fit and a solid foundation.
Walter’s skills are ideally suited for off-ball scoring, with a 40.0 percent success rate on spot-up threes and a 9-of-16 record on shots off screens. However, he has also proven to be effective in ball-screen situations, primarily by aggressively attacking downhill, completing plays despite physical contact, or successfully getting to the free-throw line.
Standing at 6-foot-5 and possessing both length and strength, he has the defensive skills necessary to complement a jumper, embodying a low-risk, widely favored archetype.
9. Atlanta Hawks: Reed Sheppard
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 15
- School/Team: Kentucky
- Position: SG
- Age: 19, Freshman
- Size: 6-foot-3, 187 lbs
- Pro comparison: Donte DiVincenzo
The absence of highly promising prospects in this draft may result in teams appreciating Reed Sheppard’s potential. His abilities are underscored by transferable skills like shooting, passing IQ, and defensive instincts, a blend that renders him flexible and able to influence games without the necessity to create.
His efficiency metrics and analytics remain incredibly high. He’s successfully making 60.0 percent of his two-point shots, 56.0 percent of his three-point shots, and 90.0 percent of his free throws. Moreover, he has 52 assists compared to just 19 turnovers, a remarkable steal rate of 5.6 percent and an uncommon block rate of 3.9 percent for a guard.
Eventually, in this draft—perhaps in the later lottery stages—teams will overlook the inch or two that Sheppard lacks for a conventional 2-guard.
10. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Yves Missi
- Stock status: Up
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 19
- School/team: Baylor
- Position: C
- Age: 19, Freshman
- Size: 7-foot-0, 235 lbs
- Pro comparison: Mark Williams
In stronger drafts, Dereck Lively II and Mark Williams have made it to the top 15. Therefore, teams seeking to bolster their frontcourt depth and rim protection should show lottery interest in Yves Missi in 2024.
Missi, who shoots at a rate of 63.6 percent and averages 4.6 blocks and 13.3 rebounds per 40 minutes, possesses the physique, athleticism, hand skills, and energy that enhance his finishing and interior presence. His ability to prevent Kyle Filipowski from Duke from creating separation in several possessions has impressed scouts and increased his value.
11. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Jazz): Tidjane Salaun
- Stock status: Up
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 11
- Team/Nationality: Cholet/France
- Position: PF
- Age: 18
- Size: 6-foot-8, 212 lbs
- Pro comparison: Obi Toppin
While some sports teams may choose to rely on consistent, reliable players, others might want to gamble on potential talent. The potential of Tidjane Salaun is becoming increasingly alluring each week, as the 18-year-old forward has now made 17 out of 25 three-pointers in his last six games.
At present, the appeal of Salaun is solely based on his athleticism and shotmaking skills. His dribbling skills are yet to be seen, and he has only accumulated 19 assists and five blocks in 26 games.
However, he is also one of the youngest prospects in the draft, making a name for himself in France’s premier league. His size, agility, and three-point shooting ability combine to form a package that is likely to translate well into scoring and finishing plays.
12. Portland Trail Blazers (via Warriors): Kyle Filipowski
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 16
- School/Team: Duke
- Position: PF/C
- Age: 20, Sophomore
- Size: 7-foot-0, 248 lbs
- Pro comparison: Moritz Wagner
Although it’s still challenging to identify a single standout strength or skill for Kyle Filipowski, he is making a case for his versatility rather than his scoring potential.
He may not be the shooter or agile player that Lauri Markkanen is, but he still fulfills certain roles, albeit without excelling in any. He’s evolved into a more tenacious player in the low-post. Despite his three-point figures not changing significantly from last year’s, he remains a threat in spot-up or pick-and-pop situations. He also has the ability to kickstart fast breaks with his ability to handle the ball in open court.
Filipowski, who averages 3.0 assists per game, demonstrates his ability to impact games in various ways and prove to teams that a big player can contribute significantly.
13. New Orleans Pelicans (via Lakers): Isaiah Collier
- Stock status: Down
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 8
- School/Team: USC
- Position: PG
- Age: 19, Freshman
- Size: 6-foot-5, 210 lbs
- Pro comparison: Ty Lawson
The initial excitement surrounding Isaiah Collier is diminishing as his shooting percentages decline, his rate of turnovers stays high, and USC’s losses keep accumulating.
Instead of envisioning him as a franchise point guard to build around, it’s becoming increasingly prudent to consider him as a rotational guard who can apply pressure on the defense and rim, and contribute some strategic playmaking.
Despite his issues with shooting and decision-making, his agility, physical aggressiveness, challenging finishes, and occasional good passes could still be beneficial for offense in the appropriate NBA role.
14. Phoenix Suns: Ryan Dunn
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 10
- School/Team: Virginia
- Position: SF/PF
- Age: 20, Sophomore
- Size: 6-foot-8, 216 lbs
- Pro comparison: Herbert Jones
The extent to which scouts should consider Ryan Dunn’s offensive limitations is under debate. While he may not suit every team, specific teams could find value in acquiring a defensive specialist and robust finisher like Dunn in the middle of the first round of a supposedly weaker draft.
Even though it seems unlikely that he can maintain his current defensive playmaking rates, he is on track to be the only NCAA player ever to achieve a block percentage of 10.0 and a steal percentage of 5.0.
However, Dunn might find it challenging to justify starting minutes at the next level without a strong three-point shot.
15. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Donovan Clingan
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: 13th
- School/Team: Connecticut
- Position: C
- Age: 19, Sophomore
- Size: 7-foot-2, 280 lbs
- Pro Comparison: Jakob Poeltl
In September, Donovan Clingan was sidelined for a month due to a foot strain. Now, he’s facing another setback, being out for approximately three to four weeks following a foot injury he sustained during a game against Seton Hall. This has sparked conversations about his durability, especially considering the significant weight (280 lbs) he bears.
When in good health, his height, strength, mobility, and anticipation allow him to significantly impact games defensively. NBA teams will highly value these attributes, as well as his capability to easily finish and execute putbacks.
16. Orlando Magic: Stephon Castle
- Stock status: Down
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 9
- School/Team: Connecticut
- Position: SG
- Age: 19, Freshman
- Size: 6-foot-6, 215 lbs
Stephon Castle’s ability to establish any rhythm has been impacted by an early-season injury and a talented, deep rotation from Connecticut.
Scouts will need to pay more attention to the glimpses of talent and potential value they could develop for the 6-foot-6, 215-pound point wing, considering his role in just 20.9 minutes.
He’s averaging 6.2 assists and 1.9 steals every 40 minutes. His superior passing and defense skills are what set him apart from others in his position.
Nevertheless, Castle’s poor shooting performance (1-of-9 3PT) along with numerous misses may deter most top 10 teams from showing interest in him.
17. New York Knicks: Kevin McCullar Jr.
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 15
- School/Team: Kansas
- Position: SG/SF
- Age: 22, Senior
- Size: 6-foot-7, 214 lbs
- Pro comparison: Austin Reaves
Detecting Kevin McCullar Jr.’s potential may be challenging for teams, but his sought-after passing and defense skills, along with his improving slashing and shot-making, could make him a popular target beyond the lottery.
Maintaining his current 37.7% three-point shot and 85.2% free-throw shot would aid the senior player in bolstering scouts’ trust in his shooting skills. Even having a shot that’s average or threatening should suffice for him to play a versatile, Swiss Army knife-type supporting role.
18. Cleveland Cavaliers: Tyler Smith
- Stock status: Up
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 32
- Team: G League Ignite
- Position: PF
- Age: 19
- Size: 6-foot-11, 224 lbs
Tyler Smith has recovered from a poor shooting performance in December, an encouraging sign for a player whose three-point shooting and touch are attracting NBA attention.
Standing at 6’11, his stroke appears smooth, and he has demonstrated the ability to do considerable damage around the basket using his physical strength.
Smith’s lack of creation and defensive upside leaves him with little room for error in his shotmaking. However, if he can maintain his current 38.7 percent from three-point range, it could pique the interest of teams looking for a stretch, pick-and-pop 4 in the first round.
19. New York Knicks (via Mavs): Tristan da Silva
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 22
- School/Team: Colorado
- Position: SF/PF
- Age: 22, Senior
- Size: 6-foot-9, 220 lbs
- Pro comparison: Jake LaRavia
Tristan da Silva’s athletic constraints should not downplay his shotmaking skills. Teams ought to recognize him as a ready-to-use stretch 4 who has the ability to also execute swift pull-ups and motion shots.
In addition to having a persuasive jump shot, he also makes up for his limited burst with a gentle touch on his runners. His intelligence also results in making good decisions with his passing.
20. Indiana Pacers: Ulrich Chomche
- Stock status: Up
- Former mock draft position: No longer available
- School/Team: NBA Academy Africa/Cameroon
- Position: PF/C
- Age: 18
- Size: 6-foot-11, 225 lbs
Ulrich Chomche has had an impressive December, delivering standout performances at both the Sunrise Prep Showcase and the G League Showcase for NBA Academy Africa.
NBA teams should recognize the exceptional defensive potential that comes with his 6-foot-11 stature, 7-foot-4 wingspan, rim verticality, and movement and recovery skills. Although his offensive skills are still developing, he has shown surprising aptitude in three-point shooting, one-on-one post/short corner moves, and passes, including those off live dribbles.
Given that Chomche hasn’t faced any high-level competition, it’s reasonable for teams to have reservations about considering him in June. Also, it seems he is open to the possibility of participating in college basketball in the 2024-25 season.
However, his birthday falls on December 30, which just makes him eligible for the 2024 draft. Additionally, this draft is the kind in which teams might be prone to taking a risk earlier for potential growth.
Chomche could be a name to keep an eye on once the predraft process starts, depending on the feedback he receives and his determination to start his NBA journey right away.
Considering his age, physical capabilities, guaranteed defensive versatility, and some attractive offensive glimpses, he would undoubtedly attract first-round consideration.
21. Miami Heat: Dalton Knecht
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 20
- School/Team: Tennessee
- Position: SF
- Age: 22, Senior
- Size: 6-foot-6, 204 lbs
- Pro comparison: Max Strus
Dalton Knecht’s recent dip in performance through decisive victories isn’t likely to cause any concerns. Scouts remain confident in the shooting abilities of the 6-foot-6 wing player, who has already demonstrated strong, efficient scoring in games against North Carolina (37 points, 13-17), Illinois (21 points, 7-14), Purdue (16 points, 6-13) and Wisconsin (24 points, 8-15).
Although he may not contribute significantly to creation, he possesses the physical capabilities and skills for scoring off-ball through his movement shotmaking (48.3 percent) and cutting (9-of-9).
22. New Orleans Pelicans: Kel’el Ware
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 20
- School/Team: Indiana
- Position: C
- Age: 19, Sophomore
- Size: 7-foot-0, 242 lbs
- Pro Comparison: Jarrett Allen
Kel’el Ware’s habit of falling into difficult jumpers or fading into the background too frequently seems inconsistent with his evident talent. However, his height of 7 feet, effortless jumping ability, and adeptness in shot-making have convinced scouts to overlook these occasional lapses in activity.
The individual, whose height is 7-foot, is averaging 14.6 points, utilizing his exceptional finishing skills for lobs and putbacks, as well as scoring against defenders in the post with his elevated release and precise touch.
Indiana doesn’t have much confidence in him as a spot-up or pick-and-pop shooter to spread out the floor. However, Ware should have another opportunity to demonstrate some concealed range during predraft workouts.
23. Atlanta Hawks (via Kings): Bobi Klintman
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 23
- Team/Nationality: Cairns Taipans/Swedish
- Position: SF/PF
- Age: 20
- Size: 6-foot-8, 225 lbs
- Pro Comparison: De’Andre Hunter
The inconsistency in Bobi Klintman’s performance throughout the season can be attributed to his new role in a pro league team where he primarily plays as a spot-up.
His archetype as a 6-foot-8 combo forward who has demonstrated glimpses of shooting, touch shots, and live-dribble passing will attract NBA teams.
Klintman’s physical prowess and skills offer versatile potential, albeit with some risk due to the possibility that he may lack a marketable strength.
24. OKC Thunder (via Clippers): Melvin Ajinca
- Stock status: Up
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 36
- Team/nationality: Saint-Quentin/France
- Position: SG/SF
- Age: 19
- Size: 6-foot-7
Teams ranked in the 20s and 30s will focus on Melvin Ajinca’s shooting skills and versatility, which he has consistently demonstrated from the U19 World Cup to the LNB Pro A in France.
He is 19 years old and has already scored 34 three-pointers in 18 games, playing 23 minutes each. Standing at 6-foot-7, he possesses a robust frame suitable for either wing position.
He simply hasn’t demonstrated much more, and his alarmingly low assist and steal rates may raise red flags for analytics departments.
25. Denver Nuggets: Ajay Mitchell
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 25
- School/Team: Santa Barbara
- Position: PG
- Age: 21, Junior
- Size: 6-foot-5, 190 lbs
Ajay Mitchell recently erupted with 39 points, marking the fourth instance in 10 games this season where he has scored at least 25 points.
While he is dominating the game without making many three-point shots, which could concern scouts who think he’ll need a good jump shot in the future, his average of 20.9 points on just 2.2 three-point attempts shows his effectiveness in using speed variation, body control, finishing adjustments, and touch.
Considering the increase in successful NBA guards who are performing well without superior athleticism, it’s not far-fetched to believe a team would leverage a first-round pick to gamble on his consistent performance, systematic ball-handling, and challenging shot-making abilities at the next level.
26. Philadelphia 76ers: Jared McCain
- Stock status: Up
- Former mock draft position: Not listed
- School/Team: Duke
- Position: SG
- Age: 19, Freshman
- Size: 6-foot-3, 197 lbs
- Pro comparison: Landry Shamet
Jared McCain’s shooting percentages have increased, making him a potential candidate for the 2024 first-round discussion. His three-point shooting stands at 46.9 percent, but he also excels in catch-and-shoot threes with a 50.0 percent. Additionally, his two-point dribble jumpers are at 43.8 percent, showing his capacity to execute pull-ups inside the arc.
His shortcomings are clear: he doesn’t possess the burst and strength needed to outmaneuver opponents, finish plays, or draw fouls. Ultimately, NBA teams will see him as a specialist in shotmaking, who is also capable of moving the ball effectively and making wise decisions.
27. Indiana Pacers (via Thunder): Hunter Sallis
- Stock status: Up
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 55
- School/team: Wake Forest
- Position: SG
- Age: 20, Junior
- Size: 6-foot-5, 185 lbs
Hunter Sallis continues to impress with his three-level shotmaking and athletic finishing, following three straight games in which he scored 20 points. These skills could help persuade scouts that his scoring abilities can translate well.
He has proven himself as a proficient slasher, ranking among the country’s most effective pull-up shooters with a 48.3 percent efficiency. He also poses a considerable threat as a three-point shooter, hitting 2.0 per game at a rate of 36.1 percent.
His lack of playmaking ability limits his versatility and margin for error, making it crucial for him to be comfortable playing off the ball.
28. Milwaukee Bucks: D.J. Wagner
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 18
- School/Team: Kentucky
- Position: PG/SG
- Age: 18, Freshman
- Size: 6-foot-4, 192 lbs
- Pro comparison: Collin Sexton
D.J. Wagner faced early doubts about his physique, athletic skills, playmaking instincts, and range. Despite these concerns, he was expected to prove his worth. However, he has now fallen to an average of 11.9 points and 3.5 assists, with a disappointing true shooting percentage of 49.5%.
Wagner’s inconsistent contributions can be attributed to Kentucky’s strong backcourt, although he has been the least effective compared to his fellow Wildcats’ backcourt members – Rob Dillingham, Reed Sheppard, and Antonio Reaves.
Wagner continues to demonstrate a unique ability to create drives and pressure on the rim through his ball handling skills, speed off the dribble, and knack for finding lanes to the basket. His potential to excel as a bench spark, contributing his north-south scoring style and the potential to add complementary shot-making and assist passes, should pique interest.
29. Minnesota Timberwolves: Trevon Brazile
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 24
- School/Team: Arkansas
- Position: PF/C
- Age: 20, Sophomore
- Size: 6-foot-10, 220 lbs
- Pro comparison: Thomas Bryant
When Trevon Brazile starts making three-pointers, he becomes less fascinating. However, the statistics still show a steady improvement in his shooting, a significant progression for a powerful 6-foot-10 jumper.
Even though he might not be climbing up the boards, he’s maintaining his position in the first-round discussion.
30. Boston Celtics: Tyrese Proctor
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 29
- School/Team: Duke
- Position: PG
- Age: 19, Sophomore
- Size: 6-foot-5, 183 lbs
- Pro comparison: Shake Milton
Since returning from injury, Tyrese Proctor has demonstrated efficiency in his two games coming off the bench. Even if his ability to create, outmaneuver defenders, and apply pressure on the rim is limited due to a lack of burst, his shot-making skills and passing IQ could still earn him connector minutes.
His draft stock will ultimately hinge on his ability to consistently knock down threes, given his athletic limitations.
31. Toronto Raptors (via Pistons): Oso Ighodaro
- Stock status: Up
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 26
- School/team: Marquette
- Position: C
- Age: 21, Senior
- Size: 6-foot-11, 225 lbs
- Pro comparison: Jaylin Williams
Teams may find Oso Ighodaro’s ability to manage and pass as a 5 the most valuable. He also poses a scoring threat with his unique touch and push shots. Impressively, he has already made 25 out of 41 one-handed shots around the key, a remarkable statistic for a 6-foot-11 player.
Ighodaro is likely to be utilized more as a specialty center due to his unique skill set at the position. This is because he lacks significant rim protection or floor spacing abilities, but can still provide a team with a different style of play.
32. San Antonio Spurs: Wooga Poplar
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 27
- School/team: Miami
- Position: SG
- Age: 20, Junior
- Size: 6-foot-5, 197 lbs
An ankle injury may sideline Wooga Poplar for several games, but he is solidly on the radar of scouts. There’s ample time for him to leverage this attention.
His athleticism is always noticeable, with a conversion rate of 77.4 percent on his finishes. However, his shotmaking skills have improved significantly. He currently has a shooting percentage of 44.0 off the catch and 42.9 on pull-ups.
The clear criticism of Poplar is the absence of creativity and playmaking abilities for a guard who will be too undersized to defend most forwards.
33. Detroit Pistons (via Wizards): Justin Edwards
- Stock status: Down
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 28
- School/team: Kentucky
- Position: SF
- Age: 19, Freshman
- Size: 6-foot-8, 203 lbs
- Pro comparison: Olivier Maxence-Prosper
Justin Edwards has been effective and somewhat productive, he just hasn’t demonstrated any specific skill that appears valuable or dependable for the next level.
His size, athleticism, defensive prowess, and some shot-making ability will give him a chance. However, at this point, his lack of on-ball creativity and off-ball shooting skills do not provide enough evidence for NBA teams to believe he will be a good fit offensively.
34. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hornets): Izan Almansa
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 39
- Team: G League Ignite
- Position: PF/C
- Age: 18
- Size: 6-foot-10, 230 lbs
- Pro comparison: Jabari Walker
Izan Almansa recently concluded a season with a personal best of 24 points, showcasing his exceptional timing and delicate touch around the basket. While his gaming style may not be overly thrilling, he’s proven to be very effective, primarily as a player who completes plays.
Teams might consider previous flashes of face-up drives and threes in FIBA games as an indication of potential hidden versatility in his game.
35. Milwaukee Bucks (via Blazers): Adem Bona
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 34
- School/team: UCLA
- Position: C
- Age: 20, Sophomore
- Size: 6-foot-10, 245 lbs
- Pro comparison: Isaiah Jackson
Adem Bona continues to impress with his athleticism and motor, even as he demonstrates additional post scoring this season. His defensive prowess has been particularly notable in the last two games against UCLA and Oregon State, where he accumulated eight blocks and four steals.
His skill in scoring and blocking shots around the basket will be highly desired by NBA teams. However, his high turnover rate of 21.1%, questionable decision-making, and average of 5.1 fouls per 40 minutes imply that he may not be ready for full-time play at the professional level.
36. Minnesota Timberwolves (via Grizzlies): Devin Carter
- Stock status: Up
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 36
- School/team: Providence:
- Position: PG/SG
- Age: 21, Junior
- Size: 6-foot-3, 195 lbs
- Pro comparison: Jose Alvarado
Scouts are paying attention to Devin Carter, thanks to his unique, tenacious defense and enhanced shooting. His relentless ball pressure and high energy level are evoking comparisons to Jose Alvarado. Also noteworthy is his upgraded shooting accuracy, now at 39.7 percent with 6.5 three-point attempts each game.
In the second round, teams won’t focus as much on his creativity or decision-making. They will appreciate his ability to challenge opposing ball-handlers, successfully make open shots, and occasionally show some scoring streaks once he gains confidence.
37. Los Angeles Clippers (via Raptors): Jaxson Robinson
- Stock status: Up
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 46
- School/team: BYU
- Position: SF
- Age: 21, Senior
- Size: 6-foot-7, 190 lbs
Jaxson Robinson’s three-point shots and impressive percentages have drawn attention to the BYU games. His 6-foot-7 size and impressive shooting skills have been backed by solid performance. Moreover, he has showcased additional skills such as transition offense, self-creation, and touch around the key.
Scouts would need to witness a substantial amount of both accuracy and shotmaking versatility in order to believe that there is first-round value. This is particularly important considering that he didn’t appear to be a professional prospect during his three years in college.
38. Boston Celtics (via Bulls): Mantas Rubstavicius
- Stock status: Up
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 52
- Team/nationality: New Zealand Breakers, Lithuanian
- Size: 6-foot-5, 196 lbs
- Age: 21
Since being placed in the starting lineup for the New Zealand Breakers four games ago, Mantas Rubstavicius has been averaging 17.3 points, making him a player to watch in the upcoming draft.
His solid wing size gives him a positional advantage, and his shooting skills are impressive with a 14-of-29 record from the three-point line. He also converts his spot-up drives and transition finishes at an exceptional rate.
39. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hawks): Baba Miller
- Stock status: Down
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 26
- School/team: Florida State
- Position: SF/PF
- Age: 19, Sophomore
- Size: 6-foot-11, 204 lbs
- Pro comparison: Jonathan Isaac
Despite Baba Miller’s appealing highlights and potential, his continued secondary role in his sophomore year is making it challenging for scouts to envision him as a contributor in the NBA.
The 6-foot-11 wing’s skill set should continue to garner interest. His ability to navigate in space, finish effectively, and exhibit defensive versatility with his size and mobility is impressive.
However, Miller’s lack of aggression, limited creativity, low shooting volume, and 42.9 free-throw percentage in his second year make it challenging for a team to consider him for a first-round pick.
40. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Aaron Bradshaw
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 37
- School/team: Kentucky
- Position: C
- Age: 19, Freshman
- Size: 7-foot-1, 226 lbs
- Pro comparison: Mohamed Bamba
Upon first glance, Aaron Bradshaw appears to be a proficient shooter and effective in the paint, but he lacks in passing skills, advanced post moves and superior athletic abilities.
The concept of a 7-foot-1 player who could potentially extend the court, block shots and snatch offensive rebounds keeps fascination stoked. However, his high center of gravity appears to be a disadvantage near the basket, and it is still premature to trust his jump shot as a consistent attack strategy.
After a few weeks of conference play, scouts will gain a clearer understanding of Bradshaw. The recent games have been dominated by Kentucky, with their freshman center playing a minor offensive role.
41. New York Knicks (via Jazz): PJ Hall
- Stock status: Up
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 56
- School/team: Clemson
- Position: PF/C
- Age: 21
- Size: 6-foot-10, 238 lbs
- Pro comparison: Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
Despite remaining a dominant post-up player, PJ Hall appears more dynamic and self-assured when shooting three-pointers this year.
His increased rates in dunking, blocking, three-point shooting, and assisting will cause scouts to regard him more seriously in 2024 as a potential candidate for the stretch 4 or 5 position.
42. Houston Rockets (via Warriors): Tyler Kolek
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 44
- School/team: Marquette
- Position: PG
- Age: 22, Junior
- Size: 6-foot-3, 195 lbs
- Pro comparison: Malachi Flynn
NBA teams in search of additional playmaking skills could consider Tyler Kolek, a specialist in pick-and-roll with inherent understanding and intelligence in passing within ball-screen scenarios.
His ability to catch-and-shoot at 43.3 percent adds some versatility to his game, allowing him to make off-ball shots as well. However, his athletic and physical limitations could negatively impact his ability to create and separate, as well as finish and defend.
43. San Antonio Spurs (via Lakers): Zach Edey
- Stock status: Up
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 43
- School/team: Purdue
- Position: C
- Age: 21, Senior
- Size: 7-foot-4, 300 lbs
Most teams would probably still be more inclined to take a risk on a guard, wing or forward rather than a 300-pound player who struggles with shooting and defending outside of the paint. However, all it would take is one front office believing that Zach Edey’s college performance and towering 7-foot-4 stature could translate into efficient post offense, finishing, and shot-blocking for him to find a place on a team.
Players of his type generally have a low success rate, however, his skill level and his ability to play with his back to the basket are undeniably impressive.
44. Washington Wizards (via Suns): Alex Karaban
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 42
- School/team: Connecticut
- Position: PF
- Age: 21, Sophomore
- Size: 6-foot-8, 220 lbs
Alex Karaban, at 6-foot-8 and 220 lbs, should secure a draft thanks to his shotmaking skills. He has also proven to be an effective cutter and an above-average defender.
Although he may not possess extensive creative or athletic abilities, his size, shooting skills and foot speed make him a suitable candidate for an NBA stretch 4 position, as he can effectively defend away from the basket.
45. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Dillon Jones
- Stock status: Up
- Former mock draft position: Not listed
- School/Team: Weber State
- Position: SG/SF
- Age: 22, Senior
- Size: 6-foot-6, 235 lbs
- Pro comparison: David Roddy
Scouts appear unsure about Dillon Jones’ unconventional suitability and flexibility. Doubts about his efficacy with the ball or suitability as a shooter when not in possession are considered reasonable.
However, in the second round, some team is likely to be attracted by his versatility in ball-handling, passing, rebounding, and shot-making, akin to a Swiss Army knife.
46. Philadelphia 76ers (via Knicks): Trey Alexander
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 38
- School/team: Creighton
- Position: SG
- Age: 20, Junior
- Size: 6-foot-4, 190 lbs
- Pro comparison: E’Twaun Moore
Despite a decrease in Trey Alexander’s three-point figures this year, he has demonstrated progress in critical aspects, particularly with intensified pressure at the rim and additional playmaking.
Improved on-ball play enhances versatility, yet shotmaking is likely to remain his main source of income in the NBA. This is assuming his lean physique and athletic limitations hinder him from consistently breaking away and surpassing NBA defenders.
The success he had last year and observational evidence indicate that his shooting percentages should increase again by March.
47. LA Clippers (via Cavs): Bronny James
- Stock status: Up
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 51
- School/team: USC
- Position: SG
- Age: 19
- Size: 6-foot-4, 210 lbs
- Pro comparison: De’Anthony Melton
Bronny James increasingly appears more at ease and assured as he attacks in space, steps into jumpers, and makes ball-screen reads.
The absence of explosive movement and ball-handling skills for self-play is noticeable, but scouts will adjust their expectations to envision a role more of a facilitator than a primary guard.
James possesses the ideal skill set and mindset for a supporting role, evident from his combination of shooting, passing IQ, and defensive agility.
48. Orlando Magic: Matthew Cleveland
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 53
- School/team: Miami
- Position: SF
- Age: 21, Junior
- Size: 6-foot-7, 208 lbs
- Pro comparison: Otto Porter Jr.
Matthew Cleveland’s limited shooting in his two seasons at Florida State prevented him from creating any draft buzz.
Following his three successful three-point shots against Clemson on Wednesday night, his record with Miami now stands at 16 successful shots out of 34 attempts from the three-point line. His mid-range shooting and athletic finishing ability have also continued to impress.
Despite his efforts, he hasn’t shown any significant creation yet, and the 47.1 three-point percentage becomes less impressive when considering his 2.6 three-point attempts. For him to be seen as a viable offensive player at the next level, he’ll still require a second-round team to truly invest in his improved shooting skills for Cleveland.
49. Boston Celtics (via Mavericks): Kobe Johnson
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 40
- School/team: USC
- Position: SF
- Age: 20, Junior
- Size: 6-foot-6, 200 lbs
- Pro comparison: Kent Bazemore
Kobe Johnson finally overcame a tough shooting slump, managing to make 6 out of 12 three-point shots against Oregon State and California.
Although he still needs to improve his shot, his passing, defense, and cutting abilities could allow him to compete for a role in the NBA, given that he’s a capable 6-foot-6 wing.
50. Indiana Pacers: Judah Mintz
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 45
- School/team: Syracuse
- Position: PG/SG
- Age: 20, Sophomore
- Size: 6-foot-4, 185 lbs
- Pro comparison: Jaden Ivey
The appeal of Judah Mintz is attributed to his speed in open-floor, capability to put pressure on the rim in the half court, scoring in the paint, and his two-way playmaking.
Concerns about his limited build, reach, and shooting range have raised questions among scouts about his suitability for the NBA.
51. Atlanta Hawks (via Heat): Harrison Ingram
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 57
- School/team: North Carolina
- Position: SF
- Age: 21, Junior
- Size: 6-foot-7, 235 lbs
Harrison Ingram, who has been invited to the 2022 NBA combine, is once again attracting the attention of scouts due to his impressive 42.9 percent shooting from three.
His limited athleticism hinders him within the arc, however, his enhanced jump shot and passing skills—which he displayed more at Stanford—offer intriguing possibilities for advancement to the next level.
52. New Orleans Pelicans: Zvonimir Ivisic
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 48
- School/team: Kentucky
- Position: PF/C
- Age: 20, Freshman
- Size: 7-foot-2, 234 lbs
There is still no news on whether Zvonimir Ivisic will be given the green light to play for Kentucky. Even if he isn’t in action this season, his performance in the FIBA (11.4 points, 3.4 blocks, 1.6 threes at the U20 European Championship) and training should be sufficient to pique the interest of a team to draft him.
Until that time, he will just be considered a second-round gamble and project, albeit one who has demonstrated exceptional and alluring ball-handling and shot-making abilities for a 7-foot-2 player.
53. Sacramento Kings: Branden Carlson
- Stock status: Up
- Former mock draft position: Not available
- School/team: Utah
- Position: C
- Age: 24
- Size: 7-foot-0, 220 lbs
Despite being 24 years old, Branden Carlson is proving that he deserves some attention as a late draft pick. The 7-foot player recently scored 34 points and seven assists against Washington, and his shooting record now stands at 20 out of 50 from deep.
54. Los Angeles Lakers (via Clippers): Pacome Dadiet
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 57
- Team/nationality: Ratiopharm Ulm/France
- Position: SF
- Age: 18
- Size: 6-foot-6, 187 lbs
- Last week, Pacome Dadiet displayed his best shotmaking, slashing, and finishing performance against Mitteldeutscher, scoring a season-high of 17 points in just 17 minutes. Having the size of an NBA wing player, his jump shot is also showing potential, whether he’s catching or dribbling.
Even though he won’t turn 19 until July, he still appears more like a draft-and-stash option if he decides to declare and remain in the draft.
55. Houston Rockets (via OKC): Pelle Larsson
- Stock status: Up
- Previous position in mock draft: Not listed
- School/Team: Arizona
- Position: SF
- Age: 22, Senior
- Size: 6-foot-6, 215 lbs
- Pro comparison: Thomas Bryant
The argument in favor of Pelle Larsson is based on his positional size, versatility, and his accomplishments in slashing, passing, finishing in transition, and making open shots. This year, he has a 45.9 percent success rate on total jumpers.
The argument against him begins with his record of 24 three-point attempts across 13 games. Despite being 22 years old (and turning 23 next month), he doesn’t exhibit much confidence in his shooting ability. This could pose a problem at the next level, especially for someone with limited creative skills.
56. Indiana Pacers (via Bucks): Trentyn Flowers
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 49
- Team/nationality: Adelaide 36ers/USA
- Position: SG/SF
- Age: 18
- Size: 6-foot-8, 205 lbs
Trentyn Flowers hasn’t made a three-pointer since November 17. Although there’s ample time for him to regain his form, his inconsistent role won’t make it any easier.
His best opportunity to impress teams with his positional size, athleticism, and shotmaking skills will be during pre-draft workouts.
57. Denver Nuggets (via Wolves): Nikola Djurisic
- Stock status: Steady
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 54
- Team: Mega MIS, Serbian/Belgian
- Position: SG/SF
- Age: 19
- Size: 6-foot-7, 214 lbs
In Mega’s first game without potential top-five pick Nikola Topic, who moved to Crvena Zvezda, Nikola Djurisic stepped up and scored a season-high 18 points.
Even though Djurisic’s shooting has been inconsistent for another year, it’s still valuable to monitor him and remain patient, considering his ability to shoot, dribble, and pass, especially for a 19-year-old who stands 6-foot-7.
The upcoming months without Topic will provide him with a chance to intensify his efforts and begin persuading scouts again about his scoring and shotmaking abilities.
58. Charlotte Hornets (via Celtics): Reece Beekman
- Stock status:
- Previous mock draft spot: No. 47
- School/team: Virginia
- Position: PG
- Age: 22, Senior
- Size: 6-foot-3, 194 lbs
- Pro comparison: Jevon Carter
Reece Beekman continues to try out for the role of a defensive specialist, however, his efficiency in finishing within the arc has greatly improved this year.
However, scouts have been hoping for improved shooting skills from him, but so far in his senior year, he has not demonstrated any progress.
* * *
Jonathan Wasserman is the lead scout and NBA Draft analyst for Bleacher Report. You can follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter. The views on this page do not necessarily reflect the views of the NBA, its clubs or Warner Brothers Discovery.
Stats courtesy of Synergy Sports and Sports Reference.
