Bleacher Report: New 2-round Mock Draft, major competition for No. 1 pick

The latest Bleacher Report mock draft ranks Rob Dillingham from the University of Kentucky at No. 7.

Editor’s Note: Find more of Jonathan Wasserman’s coverage of the 2024 Draft on Bleacher Report or to read this article on BleacherReport.com, click here.


(B/R) — Conference play has begun and the 2024 NBA draft is still looking at roughly six No. 1 overall candidates.

The number might actually rise, as there is barely any distinction between the perceived Tier 2 and Tier 1 prospects.

International players are becoming increasingly popular at the top of the rankings. The first NCAA player might not be selected until the 4th, 5th or 6th pick.

The prevailing theme for the current class continues to be parity. Scouts are prioritizing prospects with high potential but without glaring high-ceiling opportunities. This year, they are making an extra effort to uncover undiscovered talents in unlikely places.


1. Detroit Pistons: Alexandre Sarr

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 4
  • Team/Nationality: Perth Wildcats/French
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 7-foot-1, 216 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jaren Jackson Jr.

The lack of a clear top prospect in the draft could make fit and needs more important than usual for the No. 1 pick. Alexandre Sarr stands out because he could potentially fill the 4 position between Jalen Duren and Ausar Thompson. His size, athleticism, and adaptable defensive versatility offer a degree of certainty that other candidates are not providing.

Even if his progression plateaus prematurely, his towering height of 7-foot-1 and agile feet still guarantee reliable finishing, shot-blocking, and switching. However, glimpses of his ability to handle the ball and make shots in an open-floor situation also suggest potential for greater offensive growth.

So far, the most revealing statistic shows that he has successfully shot 10 out of 22 pull-up jumpers. He’s also managed to sink 15 three-pointers and has shown skill in driving the ball and attacking closeouts. When combined with his ability to protect the rim and move defensively, these face-up moments that generate such impressive scoring stats have some scouts predicting he has the potential to be the first overall pick.


2. San Antonio Spurs: Nikola Topic

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 2
  • Team/Nationality: KK Crvena Zvezda
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 198 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Nikola Topic’s move from Mega MIS to Red Star means scouts will now get to observe the Adriatic League’s most productive teenager facing stronger competition in the EuroLeague.

In his two games, we observed a mixed bag of results. His passing and vision, as well as adjustments in finishing were on display. However, we also noted his physical and athletic limitations, along with questionable defensive tools and awareness.

At this point, his transition play, slashing and playmaking skills seem more plausible to accept. However, it’s hard to envision him as a top-tier NBA scorer due to his inconsistent shooting, slender build, and lack of explosive power.

While EuroLeague might reveal some of the flaws that are hidden during Adriatic League play, it also provides an opportunity for him to bolster his draft prospects against some of the most seasoned professionals abroad.


3. Washington Wizards: Zaccharie Risacher

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 6
  • Team/Nationality: JL Bourg/French
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 204 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Michael Porter Jr.

LNB All-Star Zaccharie Risacher is consistently enhancing his reputation as a sharpshooter, currently holding a 47.3 percent success rate on 91 three-point attempts. This is boosting his image as an ideal NBA candidate, possessing a valued speciality skill and a high-floor. This proves crucial in a draft that lacks compelling high-ceiling prospects.

If he can avoid issues that may question whether his strong start is a fluke or a random hot streak, his blend of positional size, athleticism, shooting, and perimeter defense should be sufficient to maintain his position in the top-five mix.

While playing with JL Bourg, spot-ups, transition, off-ball screens, offensive boards and cuts have accounted for 86.4 percent of his possessions. Therefore, there has been scarce footage this year of Risacher demonstrating his abilities with on-ball or with creation play.

This does question his archetype and its benefits, but he demonstrated improved ball-handling in France’s under-21 league last year, averaging 4.4 assists. Considering the other options, it’s also hard to be overly critical.


4. Charlotte Hornets: Cody Williams

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 5
  • School/Team: Colorado
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 190 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jerami Grant

Cody Williams was sidelined due to a wrist injury, following back-to-back 21-point performances and a 67.7 true shooting percentage over seven games.

Given his efficiency and productivity, along with his possession of a highly sought-after, big-wing archetype, scouts have temporarily ranked him alongside the top projected NCAA picks until he comes back.

Williams does have more to prove given the small sample size, lower-tier competition, and low three-point numbers (6-of-10). His ball-handling can be careless at times, and he doesn’t take as many jump shots as expected for a player projected to play on the perimeter.

Even if scouts discover that his shooting and creativity aren’t typical for a top pick, his size for his position, ability to cut through defenses and finish, along with his passing and defense skills, still offer reassuring versatility.


5. Portland Trail Blazers: Matas Buzelis

  • Stock: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 1
  • School/Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 209 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Franz Wagner

Despite Matas Buzelis’ less than impressive performance at the G League Showcase, scouts appear to be remaining patient due to his 6-foot-8 stature, fluid athleticism, versatile shotmaking skills, and occasional on-ball defensive prowess.

He enjoyed a superb run heading into Orlando, and since then, he’s shown a slight rebound.

Producing more jump shots could address some of Buzelis’ challenges, and high school scouting hints that his shooting percentages are likely to improve. He does need to enhance his ability to create in close quarters and manage contact. However, at the age of 19, his versatility, suitability, and potential for improving his ball control and physical strength are aspects that teams are expected to value highly.


6. Memphis Grizzlies: Ron Holland

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 3
  • School/Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 204 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Cam Whitmore

Ron Holland’s sales pitch hasn’t changed since he was a top overall contender. His attack downhill and defensive speed are innate skills, and his ability to handle the ball and make shots at 18 years old suggests potential for growth as a scorer and shooter.

However, this season has not shown enough of those signs. His three-point shooting is only at 21.4 percent, he’s having more difficulty within the arc recently, and the 61 turnovers to 47 assists underscore his limited playmaking skills and inconsistent decision-making.

Holland’s natural talent and age still matter, as he is expected to provide a team with increased speed in transition, pressure on the rim, and defensive energy at the very least.

He’s simply making it challenging for teams to realistically envision a wing player who can provide any creation or dependable shooting in the near future.


7. San Antonio Spurs (via Raptors): Rob Dillingham

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 10
  • School/Team: Kentucky
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 18, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 176 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Kemba Walker

Teams might continue to speculate whether Rob Dillingham will primarily be a ball-handler or a combo, but they won’t be overly critical. His creativity and shot-making skills could potentially convince a top 10 team to add him to their rotation.

Despite his physical limitations affecting his performance within the arc, he has a shooting average of 44.7 percent from the three-point line and averages 4.5 assists compared to 1.6 turnovers. His skills in handling, pull-ups, and floaters should be beneficial in scoring during ball-screen situations. Additionally, his unselfish style of play and accurate passing decisions have been notable.

Dillingham’s 44.1 percent success rate on catch-and-shoot chances, suggests promising potential for him to play alongside another point guard.


8. Chicago Bulls: Ja’kobe Walter

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 7
  • School/Team: Baylor
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 195 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Moses Moody

Ja’Kobe Walter’s shot-making versatility and use of positional tools have seemingly cemented his place in the top-10 discussion due to the solid foundation and easy fit they create.

Walter’s skills are specifically designed for off-ball scoring, especially plug-and-play. He has a 40.0 percent shooting rate on spot-up threes and has scored 9 out of 16 shots off screens. In addition, he has demonstrated effectiveness in scoring during ball-screen situations, primarily by aggressively moving downhill, finishing amidst contact, or getting chances to score at the free-throw line.

Standing at 6-foot-5, he possesses the length and strength needed for defense, coupled with a jumper, making him a low-risk, widely favored archetype.


9. Atlanta Hawks: Reed Sheppard

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 15
  • School/Team: Kentucky
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 187 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Donte DiVincenzo

The scarcity of high-potential prospects in this draft will make teams appreciate Reed Sheppard’s baseline. His value is bolstered by transferable skills like shooting, passing IQ, and defensive instincts. These attributes make him versatile and able to influence games without the necessity for creation.

His efficiency metrics and analytics continue to be exceptionally high. He’s successfully making 60.0 percent of his two-point shots, 56.0 percent of his three-point shots, and 90.0 percent of his free throws. He has achieved 52 assists with only 19 turnovers, an incredible 5.6 percent steal rate, and a remarkable 3.9 percent block rate, which is unusual for a guard.

In this draft, possibly during the late lottery, teams will start to overlook the inch or two that Sheppard lacks for a traditional 2-guard.


10. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Yves Missi

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 19
  • School/team: Baylor
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 235 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Mark Williams

In stronger drafts, Dereck Lively II and Mark Williams have gone top 15. Therefore, teams seeking to bolster their frontcourt depth and rim protection should be interested in Yves Missi in the 2024 lottery.

Missi, who shoots at 63.6 percent and averages 4.6 blocks and 13.3 boards every 40 minutes, possesses the physique, athleticism, skill, and stamina required for his interior presence and finishing. His ability to stifle Duke’s Kyle Filipowski from creating a gap in several possessions has improved his standing among scouts.


11. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Jazz): Tidjane Salaun

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 11
  • Team/Nationality: Cholet/France
  • Position: PF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 212 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Obi Toppin

While certain teams might lean towards players with a consistent performance, others might be inclined to take a gamble on potential. The appeal of Tidjane Salaun’s potential is increasing each week, as the 18-year-old forward has now made 17 out of 25 three-pointers in his recent six games.

At present, the appeal of Salaun is solely based on his athleticism and shotmaking. He has not demonstrated much skill off the dribble, with only 19 assists and five blocks in 26 games.

He is not only one of the youngest prospects in the draft, but also a top performer in France’s premier league. His size, agility, and three-point shooting ability combine to form a catch-and-score/finish package that could easily translate to success in other settings.


12. Portland Trail Blazers (via Warriors): Kyle Filipowski

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 16
  • School/Team: Duke
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 248 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Moritz Wagner

Although it’s challenging to identify a definitive strength or skill for Kyle Filipowski, he is developing a reputation for his versatility instead of his scoring potential.

While he may not possess the shooting abilities or fluid movements of Lauri Markkanen, he does tick off certain skills even if he isn’t a master in any. He has evolved into a formidable low-post player. Despite his three-point figures not showing much difference from the previous year, he remains a threat as a spot-up or pick-and-pop player. Also, he can start fast breaks with his open-floor handling skills.

Filipowski, with an average of 3.0 assists per game, is demonstrating his ability to be a versatile impact player for teams.


13. New Orleans Pelicans (via Lakers): Isaiah Collier

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 8
  • School/Team: USC
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 210 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Ty Lawson

The initial excitement surrounding Isaiah Collier is dwindling as his shooting percentages continue to decrease, his turnover rate stays high, and USC’s losses keep accumulating.

Instead of envisioning him as a franchise point guard to build the team around, it’s increasingly seeming smarter to see him as a rotational guard who can apply pressure on the defense and rim, and contribute with some strategic playmaking.

Despite issues with his shooting and decision-making, his agility, strong drives, resilient finishes, and occasional passing brilliance could still result in a successful offense given the appropriate NBA role.


14. Phoenix Suns: Ryan Dunn

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 10
  • School/Team: Virginia
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 216 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Herbert Jones

Discussions are ongoing regarding the extent to which scouts should consider Ryan Dunn’s offensive limitations. While he may not be a suitable choice for all, some teams may see value in acquiring a defensive expert and a powerful finisher like him in the middle of the first round of a purportedly weaker draft.

Although it seems improbable that he will maintain his current rate of defensive playmaking, he is on track to be the only NCAA player in history to record a block percentage of 10.0 and a steal percentage of 5.0.

However, it may be challenging for Dunn to justify starting minutes at the next level without a formidable three-point shot.


15. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Donovan Clingan

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: 13th
  • School/Team: Connecticut
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 7-foot-2, 280 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Jakob Poeltl

Donovan Clingan was sidelined for a month in September due to a foot strain and now, following a foot injury he sustained against Seton Hall, he’s expected to be out for an additional three to four weeks. His durability has come into question, especially considering the significant weight (280 lbs) he maintains.

His health allows him to alter the dynamics of games on defense through his height, strength, agility, and foresight. This, along with his knack for simple finishes and putbacks, is what NBA teams will be seeking.


16. Orlando Magic: Stephon Castle

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 9
  • School/Team: Connecticut
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 215 lbs

Stephon Castle’s ability to establish any rhythm has been impacted by an early-season injury and a talented, deep rotation of Connecticut.

Scouts will need to place more emphasis on his potential and brief moments of brilliance, considering his role in just 20.9 minutes. They could develop a valuable model for the 6-foot-6, 215-pound point wing.

He’s averaging 6.2 assists and 1.9 steals every 40 minutes. His superior passing and defense skills have distinguished him from others in his position.

However, Castle’s poor shooting performance (1-of-9 3PT) and frequent misses are likely to deter most top 10 teams from showing interest.


17. New York Knicks: Kevin McCullar Jr.

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 15
  • School/Team: Kansas
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 214 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Austin Reaves

Kevin McCullar Jr. may be a highly sought-after target outside the lottery due to his much-desired passing and defense skills, coupled with his improving slashing and shotmaking. Teams, however, might struggle to identify his potential upside.

Maintaining his current 37.7 three-point percentage and 85.2 free-throw percentage should assist the senior in continuing to boost scouts’ trust in his shooting ability. Even an average or threatening shot should be sufficient for him to fulfill a versatile Swiss Army knife role in support.


18. Cleveland Cavaliers: Tyler Smith

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 32
  • Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: PF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 224 lbs

Tyler Smith has recovered from a poor shooting performance in December, a positive indication for a player whose three-point shooting and touch are attracting NBA attention.

Standing at 6’11, his stroke seems flawless, and he has demonstrated that he can wreak havoc near the basket using his physical abilities.

Smith’s room for error in his shotmaking will be limited due to his underdeveloped creation and defensive capabilities. However, if he maintains his current three-point shooting average of 38.7 percent, he could attract first-round attention from teams looking for a stretch, pick-and-pop 4.


19. New York Knicks (via Mavs): Tristan da Silva

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 22
  • School/Team: Colorado
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-9, 220 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jake LaRavia

Tristan da Silva’s athletic limitations should not undermine his shot-making prowess. He should be seen by teams as a versatile stretch 4 who can also execute quick pull-ups and movement shots.

In addition to having a persuasive jump shot, he makes up for his limited burst with a gentle touch on his runners. His high IQ also leads to sound decision-making in his passing.


20. Indiana Pacers: Ulrich Chomche

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous position in mock draft: Not selected
  • School/Team: NBA Academy Africa/Cameroon
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 225 lbs

Ulrich Chomche had an exceptional December, delivering standout performances at both the Sunrise Prep Showcase and the G League Showcase for NBA Academy Africa.

NBA teams ought to recognize the exceptional defensive advantage associated with his 6-foot-11 stature, 7-foot-4 wingspan, rim verticality, and ability to move and recover. His offensive skills are still developing, but he has displayed unexpected prowess in three-point shooting, individual maneuvers from the post/short corners, and passing, which includes some off live dribbles.

Teams’ reluctance to consider Chomche in June could be justified, given that he has not faced any high-level competition. It seems that he is open to the idea of playing college basketball in 2024-25.

He also has a birthday on December 30, barely making him eligible for the 2024 draft. This type of draft is where teams might be willing to take a risk on upside earlier.

Chomche could be a name to watch as the predraft process begins, depending on the feedback he receives and his determination to start his NBA journey immediately.

Considering his age, physical abilities, guaranteed defensive adaptability and some promising offensive glimpses, he would certainly attract first-round consideration.


21. Miami Heat: Dalton Knecht

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 20
  • School/Team: Tennessee
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 204 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Max Strus

A recent decline in Dalton Knecht’s performance through sweeping victories is probably not causing any concern. Scouts have faith in the 6-foot-6 wing’s shooting abilities, and he’s already demonstrated his proficient scoring skills in games against North Carolina (37 points, 13-17), Illinois (21 points, 7-14), Purdue (16 points, 6-13), and Wisconsin (24 points, 8-15).

Though he doesn’t provide much creativity, he possesses the physical attributes and skills necessary for scoring off the ball through his movement shot-making (48.3 percent) and cutting (9-of-9).


22. New Orleans Pelicans: Kel’el Ware

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 20
  • School/Team: Indiana
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 242 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Jarrett Allen

Despite Kel’el Ware’s tendency to fade into the background or take difficult shots, his undeniable talent is obvious. His 7-foot stature, effortless jumping, and shooting skills have convinced scouts to overlook his occasional lapses in activity.

The player who stands at 7 feet is averaging 14.6 points. He is utilizing his excellent finishing skills for lobs and putbacks, and outscoring defenders in the post with his high release and touch.

Indiana isn’t confident in his ability to create space on the floor as a spot-up or pick-and-pop shooter. However, predraft workouts will provide Ware with another opportunity to exhibit some undiscovered range.


23. Atlanta Hawks (via Kings): Bobi Klintman

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 23
  • Team/Nationality: Cairns Taipans/Swedish
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 20
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 225 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: De’Andre Hunter

The inconsistency in Bobi Klintman’s performance throughout the season is understandable, given his heavy role as a spot-up player for a new team in a professional league.

NBA teams will be attracted to his model as a 6-foot-8 combo forward who has shown glimpses of shooting, touch shots, and live-dribble passing.

The notion that Klintman lacks a solid strength carries some risk. However, his physical abilities and skill set offer an attractive versatility.


24. OKC Thunder (via Clippers): Melvin Ajinca

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 36
  • Team/nationality: Saint-Quentin/France
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-7

Teams placed in the 20s and 30s will aim for Melvin Ajinca’s shooting skills and versatility, which he has shown consistently from the U19 World Cup to the LNB Pro A in France.

He’s 19 years old, has scored 34 three-pointers in 18 games, and has played 23 minutes. Standing at 6-foot-7, his strong frame makes him a good fit for either wing position.

He simply hasn’t demonstrated much more and his frighteningly low assist and steal rates may raise red flags for analytics departments.


25. Denver Nuggets: Ajay Mitchell

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 25
  • School/Team: Santa Barbara
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 190 lbs

Ajay Mitchell has scored at least 25 points for the fourth time in 10 games this season, with his most recent scoring spree being 39 points.

He’s assuming control without relying heavily on three-pointers, which could concern scouts who think he’ll require a strong jump shot in the future. However, his average of 20.9 points on only 2.2 three-point attempts showcases his proficiency in utilizing speed variation, body control, finishing modifications, and touch.

Considering the recent increase in successful NBA guards who are performing well without superior athleticism, it’s not far-fetched to believe a team might use a first-round pick to wager on his consistent production, deliberate ball-handling, and difficult shot-making skills being successful at the next level.


26. Philadelphia 76ers: Jared McCain

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous position in mock draft: Not listed
  • School/Team: Duke
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 197 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Landry Shamet

Jared McCain is shooting his way into the first-round discussion for 2024, now with a whopping 46.9 percent from three. His on-point performance with catch-and-shoot threes sits at 50.0 percent and he’s also at 43.8 percent with two-point dribble jumpers. His ability to dribble the ball and separate into pull-ups inside the arc is evident.

It’s clear to see his limitations: he doesn’t have the strength or energy to get past others, finish plays, or draw fouls. Ultimately, NBA teams will see him as a specialist in shotmaking who also has the ability to effectively move the ball and make wise decisions.


27. Indiana Pacers (via Thunder): Hunter Sallis

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 55
  • School/team: Wake Forest
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 185 lbs

Hunter Sallis, recently achieving three consecutive 20-point games, consistently demonstrates three-level shotmaking and athletic finishing. This could convince scouts that his scoring ability has the potential to translate well into higher levels.

He has been successful as a slasher, ranking as one of the country’s most efficient pull-up shooters with a 48.3 percent success rate. He also poses a considerable threat as a three-point shooter, managing to hit 2.0 per game at a decent 36.1 percent rate.

His lack of playmaking ability diminishes his versatility and room for error, making it crucial that he is comfortable playing without the ball.


28. Milwaukee Bucks: D.J. Wagner

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 18
  • School/Team: Kentucky
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 18, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 192 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Collin Sexton

D.J. Wagner faced early doubts due to concerns about his physique, athletic skills, game-making instincts, and range. He was expected to prove himself by showcasing his performance. However, he is currently averaging only 11.9 points and 3.5 assists with a disappointing true shooting percentage of 49.5%.

Wagner’s inconsistent contributions are partly due to the packed backcourt of Kentucky, although he’s noticeably the least efficient among the Wildcats’ backcourt players, including Rob Dillingham, Reed Sheppard and Antonio Reaves.

Wagner continues to demonstrate a unique talent for generating drives and rim pressure through his handling skills, quickness in dribbling, and his ability to find routes to the basket. His potential to excel in a bench-spark role that appreciates his straight-line scoring and potential to contribute additional shot-making and set-up passes should attract interest.


29. Minnesota Timberwolves: Trevon Brazile

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 24
  • School/Team: Arkansas
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 220 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Thomas Bryant

When Trevon Brazile starts sinking threes, he may seem less fascinating. However, the stats show a steady increase in his shooting performance, which is a significant progression for a dynamic 6-foot-10 jumper.

Although he may not be advancing on boards, he’s maintaining his position in the first-round discussion.


30. Boston Celtics: Tyrese Proctor

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 29
  • School/Team: Duke
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 183 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Shake Milton

Since returning from injury, Tyrese Proctor has shown efficiency in his two games as a substitute. Even if his lack of speed hinders him from outmaneuvering opponents and exerting pressure on the basket, his shooting skills and intelligent passing could earn him additional game time.

His draft stock will ultimately depend on his ability to consistently knock down threes, given his athletic limitations.


31. Toronto Raptors (via Pistons): Oso Ighodaro

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 26
  • School/team: Marquette
  • Position: C
  • Age: 21, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 225 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jaylin Williams

Oso Ighodaro’s skills in handling and passing as a 5 could be highly valued by teams. He also possesses the potential to be a threat as a scorer due to his distinctive touch and push shots. Remarkably, he has already made an impressive 25 out of 41 one-handed shots around the key, a significant statistic for a player who stands 6-foot-11.

Ighodaro, who lacks significant rim protection and floor spacing abilities, is likely to serve as a specialty center. He could provide a team with a different perspective due to his unique skill set for the position.


32. San Antonio Spurs: Wooga Poplar

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 27
  • School/team: Miami
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 197 lbs

Wooga Poplar’s ankle injury may cause him to miss some games, but scouts have him firmly in their sights and he has ample time to take advantage of their attention.

His athleticism is always evident, as he successfully completes 77.4 percent of his finishes. However, his shotmaking skills have significantly improved, currently standing at 44.0 percent from catch-and-shoot situations and 42.9 percent from pull-up shots.

The clear criticism of Poplar is that for a guard, he lacks creativity and playmaking skills, and he’s too small to defend against most forwards.


33. Detroit Pistons (via Wizards): Justin Edwards

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 28
  • School/team: Kentucky
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 203 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Olivier Maxence-Prosper

Justin Edwards has displayed efficiency and moderate productivity, but he hasn’t demonstrated any particular skill that appears beneficial or dependable for advancing to the next level.

His size, athleticism, defensive capabilities, and some ability to make shots will grant him some leeway. However, at this point, he doesn’t demonstrate sufficient on-ball creation or off-ball shooting skills to assure NBA teams of his offensive fit.


34. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hornets): Izan Almansa

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 39
  • Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 230 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jabari Walker

Izan Almansa recently finished a season with a personal best of 24 points, showcasing his smooth handling and precision near the basket. His game might not be the most thrilling, as he has primarily been utilized and successful as a play-ender.

Teams might consider previous FIBA instances of face-up drives and threes, implying there may be unseen versatility in his game.


35. Milwaukee Bucks (via Blazers): Adem Bona

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 34
  • School/team: UCLA
  • Position: C
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 245 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Isaiah Jackson

Adem Bona’s athleticism and motor continue to be his key selling points, even with his additional post scoring this season. His defensive potential has been particularly evident in the last two games against UCLA and Oregon State, where he managed a total of eight blocks and four steals.

His skills in finishing and blocking shots near the basket will be in high demand among NBA teams. However, his high turnover percentage of 21.1, questionable decision-making skills, and average of 5.1 fouls per 40 minutes imply that he may not be ready for full-time minutes in the professional league.


36. Minnesota Timberwolves (via Grizzlies): Devin Carter

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 36
  • School/team: Providence:
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 195 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jose Alvarado

Scouts are taking notice of Devin Carter due to his unique, tenacious defense and enhanced shooting. He’s earning comparisons to Jose Alvarado for his relentless pressure on the ball and intense playing style. Additionally, he’s increased his three-point attempts per game to 6.5, with a successful rate of 39.7 percent.

In the subsequent round, teams won’t be overly concerned with his creation or decision-making. They’ll appreciate his capacity to trouble rival ball-handlers, land a good number of open shots, and sporadically contribute streak scoring as his confidence begins to surge.


37. Los Angeles Clippers (via Raptors): Jaxson Robinson

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 46
  • School/team: BYU
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 21, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 190 lbs

The attention brought to BYU games is largely due to Jaxson Robinson’s three-point makes and percentages. His impressive statistics are substantiated by a convincing eye-test, which validates his 6-foot-7 stature and shooting form. Additionally, he has showcased some unexpected highlights, including transition offense, self-creation, and finesse around the key.

Scouts will need to see a significant amount of evidence demonstrating both accuracy and versatility in shotmaking before they believe there is first-round value. This is especially important considering he didn’t present much of a professional prospect during his three years in college.


38. Boston Celtics (via Bulls): Mantas Rubstavicius

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 52
  • Team/nationality: New Zealand Breakers, Lithuanian
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 196 lbs
  • Age: 21

Since being added to the starting lineup of the New Zealand Breakers four games ago, Mantas Rubstavicius has been averaging 17.3 points. His performance has made him a player to watch in the upcoming draft.

He’s shooting 14-of-29 from three with a solid positional wing size, and he’s excellently converting his spot-up drives and transition finishes.


39. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hawks): Baba Miller

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 26
  • School/team: Florida State
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 204 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jonathan Isaac

Despite Baba Miller’s appealing glimpses of skill and ideal player model, his continued secondary role in his sophomore year is making it challenging for scouts to envision him as a contributor in the NBA.

The 6-foot-11 wing’s skill set should sustain interest. He demonstrates the ability to handle in open areas, finish effectively, and show some defensive flexibility due to his size and agility.

However, Miller’s lack of aggression, limited creativity, low-volume shooting, and a free-throw percentage of 42.9 in his second year could make it difficult for a team to use a first-round pick on him.


40. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Aaron Bradshaw

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 37
  • School/team: Kentucky
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 7-foot-1, 226 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Mohamed Bamba

Upon first glance, Aaron Bradshaw appears to be a proficient shooter and is effective in the paint, but lacks passing skills, advanced post moves, and above-average athletic abilities.

The concept of a 7-foot-1 player who could possibly extend the court, block shots, and secure offensive rebounds continues to hold appeal. However, his high center of gravity appears to be a disadvantage near the basket, and it’s still premature to consider his jump shot a dependable tool.

After a few weeks of conference play, scouts will gain a better understanding of Bradshaw. The recent games have been dominated by Kentucky, with their freshman center playing a minimal offensive role.


41. New York Knicks (via Jazz): PJ Hall

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 56
  • School/team: Clemson
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 21
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 238 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jeremiah Robinson-Earl

Although PJ Hall still predominantly plays post-up, he appears more dynamic and self-assured in shooting three-pointers this year.

His improved rates in dunking, blocking, three-point shooting, and assisting will make him a more serious consideration for scouts in 2024, potentially as a stretch 4 or 5.


42. Houston Rockets (via Warriors): Tyler Kolek

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 44
  • School/team: Marquette
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 22, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 195 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Malachi Flynn

NBA teams seeking additional playmaking may consider targeting Tyler Kolek, a specialist in pick-and-roll with an innate sense of the game and intelligent passing in ball-screen scenarios.

His 43.3 percent catch-and-shoot ability lends him some flexibility to also provide off-ball shooting. However, his athletic and physical restrictions could impact his abilities to create and separate, as well as finish and defend.


43. San Antonio Spurs (via Lakers): Zach Edey

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 43
  • School/team: Purdue
  • Position: C
  • Age: 21, Senior
  • Size: 7-foot-4, 300 lbs

The majority of teams appear to lean towards taking a chance on a guard, wing, or forward rather than a 300-pound big who struggles with shooting or defending away from the basket. However, it only takes one front office to believe that Zach Edey’s impressive performance in college and his 7-foot-4 stature could translate into effective post offense, efficient finishing, and shot-blocking.

Players of his archetype often have a low success rate, but one cannot deny his skill and finesse when his back is to the basket.


44. Washington Wizards (via Suns): Alex Karaban

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 42
  • School/team: Connecticut
  • Position: PF
  • Age: 21, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 220 lbs

Alex Karaban’s shotmaking abilities at 6-foot-8, 220 lbs should secure his draft, but his effectiveness as a cutter and exceptional defense skills also contribute.

Although he may not offer much in terms of creation or athletic ability, he fits the profile of an NBA stretch 4 due to his size, shooting skills, and agility in guarding away from the basket.


45. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Dillon Jones

  • Stock status: Up
  • Former mock draft position: Not listed
  • School/Team: Weber State
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 235 lbs
  • Pro comparison: David Roddy

Dillon Jones’ unconventional suitability and adaptability seem to be causing some confusion among scouts. There are legitimate inquiries about his proficiency on the ball and whether he is a sufficiently skilled shooter to play off it.

However, his versatile skills in ball-handling, passing, rebounding, and shot-making are likely to entice some team in the second round, given his Swiss Army knife potential.


46. Philadelphia 76ers (via Knicks): Trey Alexander

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 38
  • School/team: Creighton
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 190 lbs
  • Pro comparison: E’Twaun Moore

Even though Trey Alexander’s three-point numbers have reduced this year, he has demonstrated progress in crucial aspects such as increased rim pressure and additional playmaking.

The enhanced on-ball play offers greater versatility, however, his ability to make shots will continue to be his main strength in the NBA. This is assuming that his slender build and athletic restrictions make it challenging for him to consistently outpace and surpass NBA defenders.

His shooting percentages are predicted to rise again by March, based on the success he had last year and current observations.


47. LA Clippers (via Cavs): Bronny James

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 51
  • School/team: USC
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 210 lbs
  • Pro comparison: De’Anthony Melton

Bronny James persistently displays increased comfort and confidence in attacking in space, taking jump shots, and interpreting ball-screen reads.

It’s clear that there’s a deficiency in explosive speed and ball-handling skill for independent play. However, scouts will adjust their expectations to envision more of a linking player rather than a primary guard.

Based on his shooting ability, passing IQ, and defensive quickness, James possesses the ideal skill set and mindset for a supporting role.


48. Orlando Magic: Matthew Cleveland

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 53
  • School/team: Miami
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 208 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Otto Porter Jr.

Matthew Cleveland’s limited shooting in his two seasons at Florida State prevented him from generating any draft buzz.

After scoring three three-pointers against Clemson on Wednesday night, his record with Miami now stands at 16 out of 34 from the three-point line. His performance in mid-range shooting and athletic play-finishing have also been commendable.

Despite his efforts, he still hasn’t produced any notable creations, and his 47.1% accuracy from three-point range appears less impressive given his average of only 2.6 three-point attempts. For his improved shooting to seriously impact Cleveland’s performance, a second-round team would need to fully invest in him. This would potentially make him a competent offensive player in the future.


49. Boston Celtics (via Mavericks): Kobe Johnson

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 40
  • School/team: USC
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 200 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Kent Bazemore

Kobe Johnson finally overcame his shooting slump by successfully hitting 6 out of 12 three-pointers against Oregon State and California.

Despite needing to improve his shot, his proficient passing, defense, and cutting skills could potentially earn him a spot in the NBA, particularly considering his advantageous height of 6-foot-6 for a wing position.


50. Indiana Pacers: Judah Mintz

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 45
  • School/team: Syracuse
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 185 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jaden Ivey

Judah Mintz appeals to many because of his speed in open-floor, the pressure he applies on the rim in the half court, his ability to score in the paint, and his two-way playmaking skills.

Scouts are concerned about his suitability for the NBA due to questions about his limited frame, length, and shooting range.


51. Atlanta Hawks (via Heat): Harrison Ingram

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 57
  • School/team: North Carolina
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 235 lbs

Harrison Ingram, who has been invited to the 2022 NBA combine, is now back on scouts’ radar due to his impressive 42.9 percent shooting score from three.

His limited athleticism restricts him inside the arc, however, his enhanced jump shot and passing abilities, which he demonstrated more at Stanford, suggest promising linking prospects for the next level.


52. New Orleans Pelicans: Zvonimir Ivisic

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 48
  • School/team: Kentucky
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 20, Freshman
  • Size: 7-foot-2, 234 lbs

Updates are still pending on whether or when Zvonimir Ivisic will be approved to play for Kentucky. Regardless of his participation this season, his FIBA tape (showing 11.4 points, 3.4 blocks, 1.6 threes at the U20 European Championship) and workouts are expected to generate sufficient interest for a team to select him in the draft.

Until that time, he’ll simply be seen as a second-round gamble and a project, albeit one who has exhibited uncommon and alluring ball-handling and shooting abilities for a 7-foot-2 player.


53. Sacramento Kings: Branden Carlson

  • Stock status: Up
  • Former mock draft position: Not listed
  • School/team: Utah
  • Position: C
  • Age: 24
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 220 lbs

Despite being 24 years old, Branden Carlson is proving himself to be a potential late pick in the draft. The 7-foot tall player recently scored 34 points and made seven assists against Washington, bringing his shooting record from deep to 20 out of 50.


54. Los Angeles Lakers (via Clippers): Pacome Dadiet

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 57
  • Team/nationality: Ratiopharm Ulm/France
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 187 lbs
  • Last week, Pacome Dadiet delivered his best performance against Mitteldeutscher. With his excellent shotmaking, slashing, and finishing skills, he managed to score a season-high 17 points in just 17 minutes. Dadiet, who has the size of an NBA wing, also showed promise with his jumper, both off the catch and dribble.

Even though he won’t turn 19 until July, if he declares and remains in the draft, he still appears more like a draft-and-stash option.


55. Houston Rockets (via OKC): Pelle Larsson

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous position in the mock draft: Not listed
  • School/Team: Arizona
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 215 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Thomas Bryant

The argument for Pelle Larsson rests on his positional size, versatility, and his prowess in slashing, passing, transition finishing, and making clear shots. This year, he has a success rate of 45.9 percent on all jump shots.

The argument against him begins with his 24 attempts at three-point shots in 13 games. Despite being almost 23, he hasn’t shown a great deal of confidence in his shooting. This lack of assurance could be a problem in future for him, especially as a limited creator.


56. Indiana Pacers (via Bucks): Trentyn Flowers

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 49
  • Team/nationality: Adelaide 36ers/USA
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 205 lbs

Trentyn Flowers hasn’t made a three-pointer since November 17. Though there’s ample time for him to recover his form, it won’t be easy as his role isn’t consistent.

His best opportunity to impress teams with his positional size, athleticism, and shotmaking will be during pre-draft workouts.


57. Denver Nuggets (via Wolves): Nikola Djurisic

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 54
  • Team: Mega MIS, Serbian/Belgian
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 214 lbs

Nikola Djurisic scored a season-best 18 points in Mega’s initial game without Nikola Topic, a potential top-five pick who moved to Crvena Zvezda.

Despite another year of inconsistent shooting, tracking Djurisic’s progress and remaining patient is still worthwhile, considering his shooting, dribbling, and passing skills for a 6-foot-7 19-year-old.

Without Topic in the coming months, he will have the chance to become more aggressive and begin convincing scouts again with his scoring and shotmaking abilities.


58. Charlotte Hornets (via Celtics): Reece Beekman

  • Stock status:
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 47
  • School/team: Virginia
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 194 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jevon Carter

Reece Beekman continues to audition for a role as a defensive specialist. However, he has shown far greater efficiency this year when it comes to finishing inside the arc.

However, scouts have been eager to see improvements in his shooting, but he hasn’t demonstrated any progress so far in his senior year.

* * *

Jonathan Wasserman is the lead scout and NBA Draft analyst for Bleacher Report. You can follow him on  X, formerly known as Twitter. The views on this page do not necessarily reflect the views of the NBA, its clubs or Warner Brothers Discovery.

Stats courtesy of Synergy Sports and Sports Reference.

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