Bleacher Report: New 2-round Mock Draft, major competition for No. 1 pick

In the latest Bleacher Report mock draft, Rob Dillingham from the University of Kentucky is ranked No. 7.

Editor’s Note: Find more of Jonathan Wasserman’s coverage of the 2024 Draft on Bleacher Report or to read this article on BleacherReport.com, click here.

(B/R) — Conference play has begun and the 2024 NBA draft is still looking at roughly six No. 1 overall candidates.

The number might actually rise, as there is not a significant difference separating the perceived Tier 2 prospects from Tier 1.

International players are becoming increasingly popular at the top of the board. The first NCAA player might not be selected until the 4th, 5th, or 6th pick.

The theme of parity still prevails in this ongoing class. Without as many clear high-potential prospects, scouts are placing more value on those with a solid foundation. This year, they’re putting in extra effort to uncover hidden talents in unlikely places.

1. Detroit Pistons: Alexandre Sarr

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 4
  • Team/Nationality: Perth Wildcats/French
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 7-foot-1, 216 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jaren Jackson Jr.

In the absence of a clear front-runner for the top prospect in the draft, factors such as fit and needs could have a greater influence than usual at No. 1. Apart from Alexandre Sarr appearing equipped to fill the 4 position between Jalen Duren and Ausar Thompson, his size, agility, and adaptable defensive flexibility provide a degree of assurance that other prospects fail to offer.

Even if his development hits a roadblock early on, there is still a level of security attached to his 7-foot-1 height and swift, nimble feet that guarantee successful finishing, shot-blocking, and switching. However, glimpses of his ability to handle the ball and make shots in open play also suggest the potential for increased offensive prowess.

The number that has raised the most eyebrows so far reveals that he’s successfully made 10 out of 22 pull-up jumpers. In addition, he has scored 15 three-pointers and shown impressive ability in driving the ball down and challenging closeouts. Coupled with his effective rim protection and defensive maneuvering, the glimpses of face-up play that result in such impressive perimeter scoring statistics have led some scouts to see him as a potential No. 1 overall pick.

2. San Antonio Spurs: Nikola Topic

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 2
  • Team/Nationality: KK Crvena Zvezda
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 198 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Nikola Topic’s move from Mega MIS to Red Star means scouts will now get a chance to see the Adriatic League’s most successful teenager play against tougher competition in the EuroLeague.

In his two games, the results were inconsistent. We observed his passing and vision, adjustments in finishing, physical and athletic limitations, as well as questionable defensive abilities and awareness.

At this point, it’s more believable that his transition play, slashing, and playmaking would translate well. However, it’s harder to accept that he would be a top-tier NBA scorer due to his inconsistent shooting, slender build, and lack of explosive power.

Playing in the EuroLeague could potentially reveal some of the flaws that remain hidden in Adriatic League play, but it also presents an opportunity to bolster his draft prospects against some of the most seasoned professionals abroad.

3. Washington Wizards: Zaccharie Risacher

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 6
  • Team/Nationality: JL Bourg/French
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 204 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Michael Porter Jr.

LNB All-Star Zaccharie Risacher is currently at a 47.3 percent success rate on 91 three-point attempts, further bolstering his reputation as a competent shooter. This is aiding in fostering the image that he would seamlessly transition into the NBA, with a consistently high performance and a highly valued special skill. This is crucial in a draft that lacks compelling high-potential prospects.

Provided he doesn’t encounter obstacles that might suggest his initial success was a fluke or random streak of luck, his blend of size, athleticism, shooting, and perimeter defense should be sufficient to maintain his place among the top five.

While playing with JL Bourg, Risacher has obtained 86.4 percent of his possessions from spot-ups, transition, off-ball screens, offensive boards, and cuts. As a result, there is limited footage from this year displaying his on-ball skills or creative abilities.

This does prompt inquiries about his archetype and its benefits. However, he demonstrated improved ball-handling in France’s under-21 league last year, with an average of 4.4 assists. Considering the alternative options, it’s also hard to be overly critical.

4. Charlotte Hornets: Cody Williams

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 5
  • School/Team: Colorado
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 190 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jerami Grant

After successive 21-point performances and a 67.7 true shooting percentage over seven games, Cody Williams was sidelined due to a wrist injury.

Considering his efficiency/productivity and ownership of a highly sought-after, big-wing archetype, scouts have temporarily ranked him alongside the top projected NCAA picks until his return.

Williams does have more to establish due to the small sample size, lower level competition, and low three-point statistics (6-of-10). His handling can be careless, and as a projected perimeter player, he doesn’t take many jump shots.

Even if scouts discover that his shooting and creation skills may not be on par with a traditional top pick, his size, ability to slash and finish, passing skills, and defense still offer a reassuring versatility.

5. Portland Trail Blazers: Matas Buzelis

  • Stock: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 1
  • School/Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 209 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Franz Wagner

Even though Matas Buzelis’s performance at the G League Showcase was not impressive, his 6-foot-8 stature, agile athleticism, versatile shotmaking skills, and on-ball defensive potential appear to convince scouts to stay patient.

Heading into Orlando, he had an excellent stretch and since then, he has slightly bounced back.

Producing more jumpers could address some of Buzelis’ problems, and high school scouting indicates that his shooting percentages will likely increase. However, he does need to work on managing in confined spaces and dealing with contact. Nevertheless, at just 19-years-old, teams are expected to value his versatility and compatibility, and wager on him enhancing his control and physical strength.

6. Memphis Grizzlies: Ron Holland

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 3
  • School/Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 204 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Cam Whitmore

Ron Holland’s sales pitch hasn’t changed since he was a prominent number one candidate. He still demonstrates an innate ability to attack downhill with explosive speed and exhibits defensive nimbleness. His ball-handling and shot-making skills, evident even at 18 years old, suggest potential for growth and improvement as a scorer and shooter.

However, these signs haven’t been evident enough this season. His three-point shooting stands at 21.4 percent, he’s facing more difficulties within the arc recently, and the 61 turnovers to 47 assists underscore his limited playmaking abilities and inconsistent decision-making.

Holland’s potential contribution to a team, including speed in transition, rim pressure, and defensive energy, still depends on his natural talent and age.

He is simply making it challenging for teams to realistically envision a wing who can provide any creation or dependable shooting in the near future.

7. San Antonio Spurs (via Raptors): Rob Dillingham

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 10
  • School/Team: Kentucky
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 18, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 176 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Kemba Walker

Teams might still be uncertain about whether Rob Dillingham fits as a primary ball-handler or combo, but they aren’t going to scrutinize excessively. His creativity and shotmaking skills could potentially convince a top 10 team that’s keen on enhancing its rotation.

Despite his physical limitations affecting his performance within the arc, he is achieving a 44.7 percent rate from three and averaging 4.5 assists to 1.6 turnovers. His control, pull-up, and floater could greatly assist him in scoring during ball-screen scenarios. Moreover, he’s been showing selflessness in his play, making smart passing decisions.

Dillingham’s 44.1 percent success rate on catch-and-shoot opportunities indicates his potential to effectively play alongside another point guard, off the ball.

8. Chicago Bulls: Ja’kobe Walter

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 7
  • School/Team: Baylor
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 195 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Moses Moody

Ja’Kobe Walter’s place in the top-10 discussion seems solidified due to his positional tools and shotmaking versatility, which create a sturdy foundation and easy fit.

Walter’s skills are ideally suited for scoring off-ball in a plug-and-play style. He has a 40.0 percent success rate in shooting spot-up threes and has made 9 out of 16 shots off screens. Additionally, he has demonstrated effectiveness in scoring during ball-screen situations, primarily through aggressive downhill attacks, finishing despite contact, or securing opportunities to shoot free-throws.

Standing at 6-foot-5 and possessing both length and strength, he has the defensive skills that complement his jumper, forming a low-risk, widely-favored archetype.

9. Atlanta Hawks: Reed Sheppard

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 15
  • School/Team: Kentucky
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 187 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Donte DiVincenzo

The absence of promising high-potential prospects in this draft will cause teams to appreciate Reed Sheppard’s consistent performance. His strengths, including shooting, passing IQ, and defensive instincts, which are easily adaptable to different game scenarios, make him impactful in games without the necessity to create. These qualities also underpin his appeal.

The statistics and efficiency rates continue to be remarkably high. He’s achieving a conversion rate of 60.0 percent for his two-point shots, 56.0 percent for his three-point shots, and a massive 90.0 percent for his free throws. He’s also managed 52 assists to 19 turnovers, a highly impressive steal percentage of 5.6, and an uncommon block percentage of 3.9 for a guard.

Eventually in this draft, maybe even in the late lottery, teams will overlook the inch or two Sheppard lacks for a traditional 2-guard.

10. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Yves Missi

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 19
  • School/team: Baylor
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 235 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Mark Williams

In stronger drafts, Dereck Lively II and Mark Williams have been top 15 picks. So, Yves Missi is likely to attract the interest of teams in the 2024 lottery who are seeking to increase their frontcourt depth and rim protection.

Missi, shooting at 63.6 percent and averaging 4.6 blocks and 13.3 rebounds per 40 minutes, possesses the physique, athleticism, hand skills, and energy to effectively finish and maintain his presence inside. His ability to stop Duke’s Kyle Filipowski from creating space in several possessions has impressed scouts and boosted his profile.

11. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Jazz): Tidjane Salaun

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 11
  • Team/Nationality: Cholet/France
  • Position: PF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 212 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Obi Toppin

While certain teams might opt for players with a proven track record, others are willing to take a risk on potential. Tidjane Salaun is becoming increasingly attractive each week as a risk worth taking. The 18-year-old forward has an impressive record of making 17 out of 25 three-pointers in his last six games.

Currently, Salaun’s appeal lies solely in his athleticism and ability to make shots. His dribbling skills are not yet impressive, and he has only managed to make 19 assists and five blocks in 26 games.

However, he is also one of the youngest prospects in the draft performing in France’s premier league. His physical stature, agility, and three-pointer ability make for a relatively transferable catch-and-score/finish skill set.

12. Portland Trail Blazers (via Warriors): Kyle Filipowski

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 16
  • School/Team: Duke
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 248 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Moritz Wagner

Although identifying a single signature strength or skill for Kyle Filipowski is challenging, he is establishing a reputation for versatility instead of scoring potential.

He may not be the sharpshooter or agile player that Lauri Markkanen is, but he does meet certain criteria, albeit not dominating any of them. He has developed into a more formidable low-post player. His three-point statistics are not significantly different from the previous year, yet he remains a threat in spot-up or pick-and-pop scenarios. Plus, he’s able to start fast breaks with his control in open-floor situations.

Filipowski, who averages 3.0 assists per game, demonstrates his ability to significantly influence games in various ways, serving as a valuable asset to teams.

13. New Orleans Pelicans (via Lakers): Isaiah Collier

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 8
  • School/Team: USC
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 210 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Ty Lawson

Isaiah Collier’s initial hype is diminishing as his shooting percentages are consistently decreasing, he continues to have a high turnover rate, and USC’s losses are persistently accumulating.

Instead of envisioning him as a franchise point guard to build a team around, it’s beginning to seem more prudent to see him as a rotational guard who can apply pressure on the defense and rim, and contribute some advantageous playmaking.

Although his shooting and decision-making skills have posed challenges, his agility, physical drives, tough finishes, and occasional impressive passes could still be harnessed for effective offensive plays in the right NBA role.

14. Phoenix Suns: Ryan Dunn

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 10
  • School/Team: Virginia
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 216 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Herbert Jones

Discussion exists regarding the extent to which scouts should consider Ryan Dunn’s offensive limitations. While he may not suit every team, some could find worth in recruiting a defensive expert and dynamic finisher like him in the middle of the first round of a supposedly weaker draft.

Although it seems improbable that he will maintain his current defensive playmaking rates, he is on track to be the only NCAA player in history to achieve a 10.0 block percentage and a 5.0 steal percentage.

However, it may be difficult for Dunn to justify starting minutes at the next level without a strong three-point shot.

15. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Donovan Clingan

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: 13th
  • School/Team: Connecticut
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 7-foot-2, 280 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Jakob Poeltl

In September, Donovan Clingan was sidelined for a month due to a foot strain. Now, he is facing another three to four weeks out of action due to a foot injury he incurred during a game against Seton Hall. This is likely to spark debate about his durability, especially considering his considerable weight of 280 lbs.

When in good health, his height, strength, mobility, and anticipation allow him to influence games defensively. NBA teams will be desiring these attributes, along with his knack for securing easy finishes and putbacks.

16. Orlando Magic: Stephon Castle

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 9
  • School/Team: Connecticut
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 215 lbs

Stephon Castle’s ability to build any rhythm has been affected by an early-season injury and a talented, deep rotation in Connecticut.

Scouts will need to pay more attention to his potential and brief moments of brilliance, considering his role in just 20.9 minutes. This could help them develop a valuable model for the 6-foot-6, 215-pound point wing.

On average, he achieves 6.2 assists and 1.9 steals every 40 minutes. His passing and defense skills distinguish him from others in his position, as they are his most prominent strengths.

However, Castle’s poor shooting performance (1-of-9 3PT) and significant misses are likely to deter most top 10 teams from showing interest.

17. New York Knicks: Kevin McCullar Jr.

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 15
  • School/Team: Kansas
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 214 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Austin Reaves

Kevin McCullar Jr. may not be an easily identifiable asset for teams, but his sought-after passing and defense skills, coupled with his improving slashing and shotmaking, could make him a highly desirable target outside the lottery.

Maintaining his current 37.7 three-point percentage and 85.2 free-throw percentage should assist the senior in further bolstering scouts’ trust in his shooting ability. Even an average or mildly threatening shot should suffice for him to fulfill a versatile Swiss Army knife role.

18. Cleveland Cavaliers: Tyler Smith

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 32
  • Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: PF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 224 lbs

Tyler Smith has recovered from a poor shooting performance in December, a positive indication for a player whose three-point shooting and touch are garnering NBA attention.

Standing at 6’11, he has a smooth stroke and has demonstrated his ability to effectively score around the basket using his physical skills.

Given Smith’s limited creativity and defensive capabilities, he won’t have much room for error in making his shots. However, if he continues to maintain his current 38.7 percent from three-point range, teams interested in a stretch, pick-and-pop 4 player could consider him as a first-round pick.

19. New York Knicks (via Mavs): Tristan da Silva

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 22
  • School/Team: Colorado
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-9, 220 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jake LaRavia

Tristan da Silva’s athletic limitations should not overshadow his expertise in shotmaking. Teams must view him as a ready-to-use stretch 4, capable of making quick pull-up shots and movements.

Not only does he have a persuasive jump shot, but his gentle touch on his runners makes up for his limited burst. Additionally, his high IQ leads to sound decision-making in his passes.

20. Indiana Pacers: Ulrich Chomche

  • Stock status: Up
  • Prior mock draft position: Not available
  • School/Team: NBA Academy Africa/Cameroon
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 225 lbs

Ulrich Chomche has had an outstanding December, delivering notable performances at both the Sunrise Prep Showcase and G League Showcase for NBA Academy Africa.

NBA teams ought to recognize the significant defensive potential associated with his 6-foot-11 height, 7-foot-4 wingspan, vertical jump at the basket, agility, and recovery skills. Although his offensive abilities are still developing, he has shown unexpected prowess in three-point shooting, one-on-one maneuvers from the post or short corners, and passing, including some during live dribbles.

Considering Chomche hasn’t faced any high-level competition, it’s understandable if teams were reluctant to consider him in June. It seems like he is open to the prospect of playing college basketball in the 2024-25 season.

However, his birthday falls on December 30, just making him eligible for the 2024 draft. This draft is also the kind where teams might be inclined to take a risk early on potential.

Chomche could be a name to keep an eye on once the predraft process starts, depending on the feedback he receives and his determination to begin his NBA journey immediately.

Given his age, physical abilities, certain defensive adaptability, and some promising offensive moments, he would undoubtedly attract consideration for the first round.

21. Miami Heat: Dalton Knecht

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 20
  • School/Team: Tennessee
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 204 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Max Strus

Despite a recent slump for Dalton Knecht, there is no cause for concern with blowout victories not raising any alarms. Scouts maintain faith in the shooting ability of the 6-foot-6 wing. He has already demonstrated strong, efficient scoring in games against North Carolina (37 points, 13-17), Illinois (21 points, 7-14), Purdue (16 points, 6-13), and Wisconsin (24 points, 8-15).

Although his creative input may be limited, he compensates with his physical abilities and skills necessary for off-ball scoring. His ability to move and make shots is impressive (48.3 percent), as is his perfection in cutting (9-of-9).

22. New Orleans Pelicans: Kel’el Ware

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 20
  • School/Team: Indiana
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 242 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: Jarrett Allen

Despite his obvious talent, Kel’el Ware often defaults to difficult jumpers or fades into the background too often. However, his 7-foot-0 stature, effortless jumping, and shooting prowess have convinced scouts to overlook these occasional lapses in activity.

The 7-foot player is averaging 14.6 points, utilizing his exceptional skills in finishing lobs and putbacks. He’s also successfully scoring against defenders in the post using his high release and touch.

Indiana doesn’t have much confidence in his ability to space the floor as a spot-up or pick-and-pop shooter. However, predraft workouts could provide Ware with another opportunity to demonstrate some undiscovered range.

23. Atlanta Hawks (via Kings): Bobi Klintman

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 23
  • Team/Nationality: Cairns Taipans/Swedish
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 20
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 225 lbs
  • Pro Comparison: De’Andre Hunter

The inconsistency in Bobi Klintman’s performance throughout the season is understandable, given his major role as a spot-up player for a new team in a professional league.

His archetype as a 6-foot-8 combo forward who has demonstrated moments of shooting, touch shots, and live-dribble passing will attract NBA teams.

The notion that Klintman lacks a reliable strength carries some risk. However, his physical abilities and skill set make up for it with their attractive versatility.

24. OKC Thunder (via Clippers): Melvin Ajinca

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 36
  • Team/nationality: Saint-Quentin/France
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-7

Melvin Ajinca’s shotmaking and shooting versatility, showcased from the U19 World Cup to LNB Pro A in France, will attract the attention of teams in the 20s and 30s.

He’s only 19 years old, but he’s already made 34 three-pointers in 18 games, playing 23 minutes each. Standing at 6-foot-7, he possesses a robust frame suitable for either wing position.

He simply hasn’t displayed much more, and analytics departments could potentially see his frighteningly low assist and steal rates as red flags.

25. Denver Nuggets: Ajay Mitchell

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 25
  • School/Team: Santa Barbara
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 190 lbs

Ajay Mitchell has scored at least 25 points for the fourth time this season in 10 games, recently marking a 39-point eruption.

While he’s dominating without relying heavily on three-pointers, which could concern scouts who think he’ll need to improve his jump shot for the next level, he’s also averaging 20.9 points on only 2.2 three-point attempts. This demonstrates his effectiveness in utilizing speed changes, body control, finishing moves, and touch.

Considering the recent surge in successful NBA guards succeeding without superior athleticism, it’s plausible that a team would gamble a first-round pick on his consistent performance, careful ball-handling and challenging shot-making abilities at the next level.

26. Philadelphia 76ers: Jared McCain

  • Stock status: Up
  • Former mock draft position: No longer available
  • School/Team: Duke
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 197 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Landry Shamet

Jared McCain is now shooting 46.9 percent from three, propelling himself into the first-round discussion for 2024. His catch-and-shoot threes are at 50.0 percent, while his two-point dribble jumpers are at 43.8 percent. This demonstrates his skill in handling the ball and separating into pull-ups inside the arc.

It’s clear to see his limitations: he doesn’t have the burst or strength for quick moves, finishing plays, or drawing fouls. Ultimately, NBA teams will recognize him as a specialist in making shots who also has the ability to move the ball effectively and make wise decisions.

27. Indiana Pacers (via Thunder): Hunter Sallis

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 55
  • School/team: Wake Forest
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 185 lbs

Hunter Sallis continues to impress with his three-level shotmaking and athletic finishing, following three consecutive 20-point games. His scoring ability could potentially convince scouts that his skills are transferable.

He has proven himself as a successful slasher and is one of the country’s most proficient pull-up shooters with a 48.3 percent efficiency. He also poses a considerable threat from the three-point line, making 2.0 per game at a rate of 36.1 percent.

His lack of playmaking ability limits his versatility and increases his margin for error, making it crucial that he is comfortable playing without the ball.

28. Milwaukee Bucks: D.J. Wagner

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 18
  • School/Team: Kentucky
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 18, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 192 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Collin Sexton

D.J. Wagner had to overcome initial doubts regarding his physique, athleticism, playmaking instincts, and range. Despite this, he’s currently averaging 11.9 points and 3.5 assists, but with a disappointing true shooting percentage of 49.5%.

Wagner’s inconsistent contributions can be attributed to Kentucky’s stacked backcourt, where he has clearly been the least effective compared to his fellow Wildcats’ backcourt teammates – Rob Dillingham, Reed Sheppard, and Antonio Reaves.

Wagner’s ability to create drives and apply rim pressure with his handling skills, rapid dribbling, and knack for finding routes to the basket is still exceptional. His potential to excel in a bench-spark role, which values his straight-ahead scoring and potential to contribute additional shotmaking and assist passes, should pique interest.

29. Minnesota Timberwolves: Trevon Brazile

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 24
  • School/Team: Arkansas
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 220 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Thomas Bryant

When Trevon Brazile starts sinking three-pointers, his game may seem less intriguing. However, statistics show a steady improvement in his shooting skills, a significant evolution for a dynamic 6-foot-10 jumper.

Even though he may not be advancing up the boards, he’s still keeping his name in the discussion for the first round.

30. Boston Celtics: Tyrese Proctor

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 29
  • School/Team: Duke
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 183 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Shake Milton

Tyrese Proctor has shown efficiency in his two games since his injury, especially when coming off the bench. Even if his speed isn’t quite up to par to outmaneuver opponents and apply pressure on the rim, his shooting skills and intelligent passing could still earn him significant game time.

His draft stock will ultimately depend on his ability to consistently knock down threes, given his athletic limitations.

31. Toronto Raptors (via Pistons): Oso Ighodaro

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 26
  • School/team: Marquette
  • Position: C
  • Age: 21, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 225 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jaylin Williams

Oso Ighodaro’s capacity for handling and passing as a 5 could be where teams see the most value. He also has the potential to be a scoring threat with his unique touch and push shots. Impressively, he has already turned 25 out of 41 one-handed attempts into points around the key – a remarkable achievement for a 6-foot-11 player.

Ighodaro is likely to be utilized more as a specialized center due to his inability to provide substantial rim protection or floor spacing. His unique skill set at the position could provide a team with a distinctive approach.

32. San Antonio Spurs: Wooga Poplar

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 27
  • School/team: Miami
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 197 lbs

Wooga Poplar may miss games due to an ankle injury, but he remains solidly on the scouts’ radar with ample time left to leverage the attention.

His athleticism consistently stands out, given that he successfully completes 77.4 percent of his finishes. Moreover, his shot-making skills have significantly improved, as evidenced by his current stats: 44.0 percent successful shots off the catch and 42.9 percent on pull-ups.

The clear criticism of Poplar is that for a guard who is too petite to defend most forwards, there is a lack of creation and playmaking.

33. Detroit Pistons (via Wizards): Justin Edwards

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 28
  • School/team: Kentucky
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 203 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Olivier Maxence-Prosper

Justin Edwards has demonstrated efficiency and moderate productivity. However, he has not yet exhibited any specific skill that appears beneficial or dependable for advancement.

His size, athleticism, defensive potential, and some shooting skills will afford him some leeway. However, at this point, his on-ball creation and off-ball shooting are not convincing enough to assure NBA teams of his offensive fit.

34. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hornets): Izan Almansa

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 39
  • Team: G League Ignite
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 230 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jabari Walker

Izan Almansa recently delivered a season-high 24 points, showcasing his gentle touch and well-timed maneuvers near the basket. His game may not be particularly thrilling, but his efficiency and effectiveness are undeniable, especially when he’s used to finish plays.

Teams might consider previous instances of face-up drives and three-pointers in FIBA games, indicating potential hidden versatility in his play.

35. Milwaukee Bucks (via Blazers): Adem Bona

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 34
  • School/team: UCLA
  • Position: C
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 245 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Isaiah Jackson

Adem Bona’s athleticism and motor continue to be his key selling points, even with his increased post scoring this season. His defensive potential became evident in his last two games against UCLA and Oregon State, where he recorded eight blocks and four steals in total.

His finishing skills and ability to block shots near the basket will be desirable to NBA teams. However, his extremely high turnover rate of 21.1%, questionable decision-making, and average of 5.1 fouls every 40 minutes imply that he may not be ready for consistent full-time play in the higher level.

36. Minnesota Timberwolves (via Grizzlies): Devin Carter

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 36
  • School/team: Providence:
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 195 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jose Alvarado

Scouts are paying attention to Devin Carter due to his unique, relentless defense and enhanced shooting skills. His intense ball pressure and high energy are evoking comparisons to Jose Alvarado. Moreover, he has increased his three-point attempts per game to 6.5, hitting 39.7 percent of them.

In the second round, teams will be less concerned about his creation or decision-making. Instead, they will appreciate his knack for making things tough for rival ball-handlers, his competence in taking enough open shots, and his capacity to occasionally produce a scoring streak once he gains confidence.

37. Los Angeles Clippers (via Raptors): Jaxson Robinson

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 46
  • School/team: BYU
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 21, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 190 lbs

Jaxson Robinson’s impressive three-point shots and percentages have drawn attention to BYU games. His performance, backed by his 6-foot-7 stature and powerful stroke, easily passes the eye test. Additionally, he has showcased other skills including transition offense, self-creation, and a touch around the key, further enhancing his game.

Scouts will need to see a substantial amount of both accuracy and shotmaking versatility to believe that there is first-round value. This is particularly considering that he didn’t show much potential as a professional prospect during his three years in college.

38. Boston Celtics (via Bulls): Mantas Rubstavicius

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 52
  • Team/nationality: New Zealand Breakers, Lithuanian
  • Size: 6-foot-5, 196 lbs
  • Age: 21

Since being included in the starting lineup of the New Zealand Breakers four games ago, Mantas Rubstavicius has been averaging 17.3 points and has emerged as a player to watch for in the upcoming draft.

He’s shooting 14-of-29 from three with a strong positional wing size, and he’s converting his spot-up drives and transition finishes at an impressive rate.

39. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hawks): Baba Miller

  • Stock status: Down
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 26
  • School/team: Florida State
  • Position: SF/PF
  • Age: 19, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-11, 204 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jonathan Isaac

Despite the intriguing glimpses of talent and potential shown by Baba Miller, his continued secondary role in his sophomore year makes it challenging for scouts to envision him as a contributor in the NBA.

The 6-foot-11 wing’s skill set should maintain interest. He shows finesse in open space, completes plays effectively, and displays some defensive versatility due to his size and agility.

However, Miller’s limited aggression, creativity, low shooting volume, and 42.9% free-throw percentage in his second year may deter teams from using a first-round pick on him.

40. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Aaron Bradshaw

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 37
  • School/team: Kentucky
  • Position: C
  • Age: 19, Freshman
  • Size: 7-foot-1, 226 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Mohamed Bamba

At first glance, Aaron Bradshaw appears to be a proficient shooter and effective in the paint, but lacks passing skills, advanced post moves or exceptional athletic abilities.

The concept of a 7-foot-1 big man, who could possibly extend the court, block shots, and secure offensive rebounds, continues to generate interest. However, his high center of gravity appears to disadvantage him near the basket, and it’s premature to consider his jump shot a dependable asset.

After a few weeks of conference play, scouts will gain a better understanding of Bradshaw. The recent games have been dominated by Kentucky, with their freshman center playing a minimal offensive role.

41. New York Knicks (via Jazz): PJ Hall

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 56
  • School/team: Clemson
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 21
  • Size: 6-foot-10, 238 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jeremiah Robinson-Earl

Although PJ Hall continues to be a dominant post-up player, he appears more dynamic and assured in shooting three-pointers this year.

Scouts will regard him more seriously in 2024 as a possible stretch 4 or 5, due to improvements in his dunk, block, three-point, and assist rates.

42. Houston Rockets (via Warriors): Tyler Kolek

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 44
  • School/team: Marquette
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 22, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 195 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Malachi Flynn

NBA teams in need of additional playmaking might consider targeting Tyler Kolek, who is a specialist in pick-and-roll with an innate understanding and high-level passing IQ in ball-screen scenarios.

His 43.3 percent accuracy as a catch-and-shooter gives him some versatility in providing off-ball shotmaking. However, his athletic and physical limitations could impact his ability to create separation, finish plays, and defend.

43. San Antonio Spurs (via Lakers): Zach Edey

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 43
  • School/team: Purdue
  • Position: C
  • Age: 21, Senior
  • Size: 7-foot-4, 300 lbs

Most teams still appear to favor betting on a guard, wing, or forward instead of a 300-pound big who lacks shooting and off-the-basket defense skills. However, it only takes one front office to believe that Zach Edey’s dominant performance in college and his 7-foot-4 size can translate into a high-percentage post offense, finishing, and shot-blocking.

Players similar to him often have a low success rate, but his skill and ability to handle the ball with his back to the basket cannot be denied.

44. Washington Wizards (via Suns): Alex Karaban

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 42
  • School/team: Connecticut
  • Position: PF
  • Age: 21, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 220 lbs

Alex Karaban’s shotmaking ability at 6-foot-8, 220 lbs should secure him a draft spot, but he’s also demonstrated effectiveness as a cutter and a superior defender.

Even though he doesn’t offer much in terms of creation or athletic ability, he meets the requirements for an NBA stretch 4 due to his size, shooting skills, and quick footwork for guarding beyond the basket.

45. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Dillon Jones

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous position in the mock draft: Not listed
  • School/Team: Weber State
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 235 lbs
  • Pro comparison: David Roddy

The versatility and unconventional suitability of Dillon Jones have left scouts feeling uncertain. There are legitimate questions about whether his skills on the ball are threatening enough, or if he is a proficient enough shooter to play without the ball.

However, a team in the second round is likely to be attracted by the potential versatility of his ball-handling, passing, rebounding and shot-making skills, similar to a Swiss Army knife.

46. Philadelphia 76ers (via Knicks): Trey Alexander

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 38
  • School/team: Creighton
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 190 lbs
  • Pro comparison: E’Twaun Moore

Although Trey Alexander’s three-point statistics have declined this year, he has exhibited progress in crucial aspects such as enhancing rim pressure and additional playmaking.

Improved ball handling creates increased versatility, but his success in the NBA will still largely depend on his ability to make shots. This is assuming that his lean physique and athletic constraints make it challenging for him to consistently outmaneuver and surpass NBA defenders.

The eye test and last year’s success indicate that his shooting percentages should increase again by March.

47. LA Clippers (via Cavs): Bronny James

  • Stock status: Up
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 51
  • School/team: USC
  • Position: SG
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 210 lbs
  • Pro comparison: De’Anthony Melton

Bronny James keeps appearing more at ease and confident when attacking in space, initiating jump shots, and making decisions with ball-screen reads.

The absence of explosive speed and deft ball-handling skills for self-play is noticeable, but scouts will adjust their expectations to envision more of a linking player rather than a primary guard.

James possesses the appropriate skills and mindset for a supporting role, considering his combination of shooting capabilities, passing intelligence, and defensive agility.

48. Orlando Magic: Matthew Cleveland

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 53
  • School/team: Miami
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 208 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Otto Porter Jr.

Matthew Cleveland’s limited shooting in his two seasons at Florida State prevented any draft buzz from being generated.

After scoring three three-pointers against Clemson on Wednesday night, his record now stands at 16-of-34 from deep with Miami. His mid-range shooting and athletic finishing abilities have also continued to shine.

He continues to lack significant creativity, and the 47.1% three-point percentage becomes less impressive with only 2.6 three-point attempts. For his improved shooting to be truly convincing, a second-round team will need to show confidence in him. Only then will he appear as a viable offensive player for Cleveland at the next level.

49. Boston Celtics (via Mavericks): Kobe Johnson

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 40
  • School/team: USC
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 20, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 200 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Kent Bazemore

Kobe Johnson managed to overcome a difficult shooting slump by successfully hitting 6 out of 12 threes against Oregon State and California.

Despite needing to improve his shot, he has the potential to compete for an NBA role due to his passing, defense and cutting abilities, especially for someone who is a 6-foot-6 wing.

50. Indiana Pacers: Judah Mintz

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 45
  • School/team: Syracuse
  • Position: PG/SG
  • Age: 20, Sophomore
  • Size: 6-foot-4, 185 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jaden Ivey

Judah Mintz attracts attention due to his speed on the open floor, his ability to put pressure on the rim in the half court, his scoring in the paint, and his two-way playmaking skills.

Questions from scouts about his limited size, reach, and shooting range are raising concerns about his suitability for the NBA.

51. Atlanta Hawks (via Heat): Harrison Ingram

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 57
  • School/team: North Carolina
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 21, Junior
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 235 lbs

Harrison Ingram, who has been invited to the 2022 NBA combine, has piqued the interest of scouts again due to his impressive 42.9 percent shooting from the three-point line.

His limited athleticism hinders his performance within the arc. However, his enhanced jump shot and passing abilities, which were more evident during his time at Stanford, offer intriguing potential for advancement to the next level.

52. New Orleans Pelicans: Zvonimir Ivisic

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 48
  • School/team: Kentucky
  • Position: PF/C
  • Age: 20, Freshman
  • Size: 7-foot-2, 234 lbs

There are yet no updates on whether or if Zvonimir Ivisic will be given the green light to play for Kentucky. Regardless, his performance in FIBA tape (scoring 11.4 points, blocking 3.4 shots, and making 1.6 three-pointers in the U20 European Championship) and his workout efforts should generate sufficient interest for a team to consider him for a draft, even if he doesn’t play this season.

Until that time, he will simply be regarded as a second-round prospect and project. However, he is one who has demonstrated unusual and attractive ball-handling and shot-making skills for a 7-foot-2 player.

53. Sacramento Kings: Branden Carlson

  • Stock status: Up
  • Former mock draft position: Not listed
  • School/team: Utah
  • Position: C
  • Age: 24
  • Size: 7-foot-0, 220 lbs

Despite being 24 years old, Branden Carlson is proving his worth for consideration in the late draft. The 7-foot tall player recently scored 34 points and seven assists against Washington, improving his shooting record to 20-out-of-50 from the deep.

54. Los Angeles Lakers (via Clippers): Pacome Dadiet

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 57
  • Team/nationality: Ratiopharm Ulm/France
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 187 lbs
  • Pacome Dadiet had an impressive performance last week against Mitteldeutscher, where he exhibited his best shotmaking, slashing, and finishing skills to score a season-high 17 points in 17 minutes. With his NBA wing size, his promising jumper, both off the catch and dribble, also stood out.

Despite not turning 19 until July, he still appears more as a potential draft-and-stash option if he decides to declare and remain in the draft.

55. Houston Rockets (via OKC): Pelle Larsson

  • Stock status: Up
  • Former mock draft position: Not listed
  • School/Team: Arizona
  • Position: SF
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-6, 215 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Thomas Bryant

The argument in favor of Pelle Larsson is based on his positional size, adaptability, and proficiency in slashing, passing, and finishing in transition, as well as shooting open shots. This year, he has a success rate of 45.9 percent on all jump shots.

The case against him begins with his 24 three-point attempts over 13 games. Despite being 22 years old (and turning 23 next month), he has not shown much confidence in his shooting abilities. This could be an issue at the next level, especially for someone with limited creative skills.

56. Indiana Pacers (via Bucks): Trentyn Flowers

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 49
  • Team/nationality: Adelaide 36ers/USA
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 18
  • Size: 6-foot-8, 205 lbs

Trentyn Flowers hasn’t made a three-pointer since November 17. Although there’s plenty of time for him to recover his form, his inconsistent role won’t make it any easier.

His best opportunity to impress teams with his size, athleticism, and shotmaking will be during pre-draft workouts.

57. Denver Nuggets (via Wolves): Nikola Djurisic

  • Stock status: Steady
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 54
  • Team: Mega MIS, Serbian/Belgian
  • Position: SG/SF
  • Age: 19
  • Size: 6-foot-7, 214 lbs

In Mega’s first game without potential top-five pick Nikola Topic, who moved to Crvena Zvezda, Nikola Djurisic scored a season-high 18 points.

Even with another year of inconsistent shooting, it’s still valuable to continue monitoring Djurisic and remain patient, considering his shooting, dribbling, and passing abilities for a 6-foot-7 19-year-old.

Without Topic in the coming months, he’ll have the chance to be more assertive and begin to re-impress scouts with his scoring and shotmaking abilities.

58. Charlotte Hornets (via Celtics): Reece Beekman

  • Stock status:
  • Previous mock draft spot: No. 47
  • School/team: Virginia
  • Position: PG
  • Age: 22, Senior
  • Size: 6-foot-3, 194 lbs
  • Pro comparison: Jevon Carter

Reece Beekman will continue to vie for a role as a defensive specialist, but his performance inside the arc has been significantly more efficient this year.

However, scouts have been eager to see improvements in his shooting, but he hasn’t demonstrated any as a senior.

* * *

Jonathan Wasserman is the lead scout and NBA Draft analyst for Bleacher Report. You can follow him on  X, formerly known as Twitter. The views on this page do not necessarily reflect the views of the NBA, its clubs or Warner Brothers Discovery.

Stats courtesy of Synergy Sports and Sports Reference.

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