Guardians vs Rays MLB Predictions, Odds, Total & Best Bets (7/12)

Today’s Guardians vs. Rays MLB predictions and best bets are brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from MLB odds to the NBA and everything in between.

Looking to strengthen their AL Central lead, the Cleveland Guardians (57-35) are set to start a three-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays (46-47) at Tropicana Field this Friday.

The Guardians are striving to prevent a third consecutive loss tonight, following a crushing 10-1 defeat by the Detroit Tigers. Concurrently, the Rays are riding high after a 5-4 victory against the New York Yankees, with Brad Lowe’s commendable performance of three hits and an RBI in four at-bats setting the pace.

Is it possible for Cleveland to overcome its decline? Or will Tampa Bay prolong the visitor’s difficulties?

We will address those queries, spotlighting the top MLB bets, as we delve into today’s predictions and picks for the Guardians vs. Rays game.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 54-58-1 (48.2%)

MLB Betting Today: Guardians vs Rays (7/12)

Guardians vs Rays Game Information

Matchup: Cleveland Guardians (57-35, 27-24 Away) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (46-47, 25-26 Home)
Venue & Location: Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, FL)
Date: Friday, July 12, 2024
Game Time: 6:50 p.m. ET
How to Watch Guardians vs. Rays: MLB.TV, Fubo, Apple TV+

Guardians vs Rays MLB Probable Pitchers

Guardians: Carlos Carrasco (16 starts — 3-6, 5.22 ERA)
Rays: Taj Bradley (11 starts — 3-4, 3.23 ERA)

Rays vs Guardians MLB Odds & Spread

Rays vs. Guardians MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Friday, July 12 at 9:44 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Guardians vs Rays Run Line

Cleveland Guardians +1.5 (-175)
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+155)

Rays vs Guardians Over/Under

Over 8 Runs (-105)
Under 8 Runs (-115)

Guardians vs Rays Moneyline

Cleveland Guardians (+126)
Tampa Bay Rays (-137)

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Guardians vs Rays MLB Betting Trends

In its last five road games, Cleveland has a straight up record of 1-4.
In its last 10 home games, Tampa Bay has a straight up record of 7-3.
In five of Cleveland’s last six games, the total score hit the Over.
In four of Tampa Bay’s last six games as the favorite, the total score was under the predicted amount.
In each of the last five matchups between Cleveland and Tampa Bay at Tropicana Field, the total score exceeded the Over.

Guardians vs Rays Predictions & MLB Picks Today (7/12)

The Guardians are heading into tonight’s game as leaders of the AL Central. However, their position is precarious as their recent slump could cost them their lead. They had a promising start to the season, but their recent record stands at a disappointing 6-9 SU in their last 15 games. Moreover, they have suffered losses in three of their last four games, with a score deficit of 24-15.

Recently, the Rays were struggling with a slump, but after their two victories out of three games against the Yankees, momentum has swung in their favor. They will now remain in town for another series at Tropicana Field, where they have a 7-3 straight-up record in their last 10 home games.

It’s important to highlight that the Guardians have a 12-7 straight-up (SU) record (63.2%) against teams from the AL East this season, despite both teams moving in opposite directions. On the other hand, the Rays have a less impressive 8-10 SU record (44.4%) against teams from the AL Central.

Despite the odds favoring them tonight, the Rays have only secured a victory 52.9% of the time as the home team favorites in 2024, making them the 12th worst in MLB. On the other hand, the Guardians have managed to win 55.6% of their games as road underdogs, ranking them 6th.

The Guardians thrive when they’re against the odds on the road.

Tampa Bay also has to grapple with its lack of recent success against Cleveland. Out of the last 15 games that these teams have played, the Guardians have emerged victorious 10 times, which includes winning three out of the last four encounters with the Rays.

However, the Guardians’ chance of winning hinges on which Carlos Carrasco shows up to pitch. The experienced right-handed pitcher has had an unstable performance with a 5.22 ERA in his initial 16 starts. But his recent performance has shown an improvement, especially with a 3.68 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 20 innings during his last four games.

That being said, he has also not won any of his last four games against Tampa Bay, with an ERA of 6.10.

If Carrasco wants to best Rays RHP Taj Bradley, he needs to continue his recent performance. The ex-2018 fifth-round pick has been delivering some of his best games this season lately. In his previous six starts, he’s recorded 1-2 with a 1.29 ERA, restricting rival hitters to a .184/.261/.264 batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage respectively.

Rays RHP Taj Bradley has been red-hot since the beginning of June. Can he maintain that momentum?

With the way the Guardians are struggling, let’s back the Rays to win. Tampa Bay is feeling good about itself after a series win over New York and is a good spot to keep things going as long as Bradley keeps up his strong play. It could wind up being close, however, the Rays are in a better position to win.

But no matter who wins, let’s take the Under on the 8-run total. A low-scoring affair is likely given that the Under is 16-10-1 when Cleveland is the road underdog and 19-15 when Tampa Bay is the home favorite. Additionally, Carrasco’s last 10 starts saw an average of 7.5 runs scored while all but one of Bradley’s 11 previous appearances featured seven or fewer total runs.

Guardians vs. Rays MLB Prediction: TB wins

Best Guardians vs. Rays Bet: u8 Total Runs (-115)

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Best Guardians vs Rays MLB Player Prop (7/12)

You can’t go wrong with a handful of Guardians vs. Rays player props, including Carlos Carrasco o2.5 earned runs (-102).

Despite the Under being the favored option in this prop, it seems more logical to support the Over. Carrasco has given up more than 2.5 earned runs in eight of his 16 appearances so far, with his last two starts allowing the Over. The Over has also been hit in three out of his last four games against the Rays, where he let in at least six earned runs each time.

Although the Rays aren’t known for scoring a lot of runs, history indicates that betting on the Over is the better option tonight.

Guardians vs Rays MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (7/12)

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 54-58-1 (48.2%)