Guardians vs Yankees MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (8/21)
The Cleveland Guardians (73-52) and New York Yankees (73-53), two of the American League’s leading teams, are set to clash in the Bronx this Tuesday. If you’re keen on participating in today’s betting action for the Guardians vs. Yankees game, you’re in the right place.
Let’s stop wasting time, and get into my predictions and top MLB betting picks for tonight’s showdown.
2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 76-90-1 (45.8%)
MLB Betting Today: Guardians vs Yankees (8/21)
Guardians vs Yankees Game Information
- Matchup: Cleveland Guardians (73-52, 35-32 Away) vs. New York Yankees (73-53, 32-28 Home)
- Venue & Location: Yankee Stadium (Bronx, NY)
- Date: Wednesday, Aug. 21, 2024
- Game Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
- How to Watch Guardians vs. Yankees: MLB.TV, Fubo, Prime Video
Guardians vs Yankees MLB Probable Pitchers
- Guardians: Joey Cantillo (3 starts — 0-2, 6.23 ERA)
- Yankees: Nestor Cortes (25 starts — 6-10, 4.20 ERA)
Yankees vs Guardians MLB Odds & Spread
Yankees vs. Guardians MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Wednesday, Aug. 21 at 11:15 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
Guardians vs Yankees Run Line
- Cleveland Guardians +1.5 (-128)
- New York Yankees -1.5 (+108)
Yankees vs Guardians Over/Under
- Over 8 Runs (-120)
- Under 8 Runs (+100)
Guardians vs Yankees Moneyline
- Cleveland Guardians (+169)
- New York Yankees (-185)
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Guardians vs Yankees MLB Betting Trends
- In its last 20 games as the underdog, Cleveland has a straight up record of 6-14.
- In their last 12 games against Cleveland, the Yankees have a straight-up record of 8-4.
- In four of Cleveland’s last six games, the total hit the Under.
- The Over was hit in five out of the last six home games of the Yankees.
- The Under was hit in eight out of the last 12 matchups between the Guardians and the Yankees.
Guardians vs Yankees Predictions & MLB Picks Today (8/21)
This week’s series kicked off with a 9-5 victory by the Guardians over the Yankees. It took three extra innings to determine a winner, which resulted in Cleveland scoring an impressive six runs in the 12th inning. This marked their 73rd win of the 2024 season.
The win also signaled the conclusion of a three-match losing streak for the Guardians. However, Cleveland’s record stands at only 6-10 SU in their last 16 games and they have managed to secure consecutive away victories only once since the start of August. Therefore, it is unclear whether their recent victory was just a lucky break or a sign of improving form.
Concurrently, the Yankees seem to be on a downward spiral. Following a commendable 13-5 SU streak from July 27 to Aug. 16, the Bronx Bombers are currently on a three-game losing streak, having been outscored 16-7 overall. This underscores the necessity for enhancements in their offensive and defensive play.
Wednesday seems to be a fortunate day for New York, particularly for the Yankees. They have a solid 13-5 straight-up (SU) record in their last 18 Wednesday games. On the other hand, the Guardians are not so lucky, with a disappointing 2-5 SU track record in their most recent seven Wednesday matches.
Things haven’t gone well for the Guardians in their recent Wednesday matchups.
Another favorable statistic for the Yankees is their 8-4 SU record in their last 12 encounters with the Guardians. Moreover, New York has managed to defeat Cleveland in seven of their last 10 games at Yankee Stadium.
We will watch to see if the current trend will persist as LHP Nestor Cortes is scheduled to start for the Yankees. Following a rocky month, Cortes bounced back during his last game against the Chicago White Sox, striking out nine batters over seven innings without conceding a run, leading to a 4-1 win for New York. However, it’s important to highlight that he has also given up 12 earned runs on 17 hits in his recent nine innings at Yankee Stadium.
On the other hand, the Guardians are putting their faith in rookie left-handed pitcher Joey Cantillo. Cantillo, who was the 16th overall pick in the 2017 draft, has had a rocky start to his Major League Baseball career, with a 0-2 record and 6.23 ERA in his first three starts. He’s also given up four home runs in a mere 13 innings of play, which could prove detrimental against a Yankees team that ranks second in the MLB for average home runs per game.
Will veteran LHP Nestor Cortes lead the Yankees to victory?
Tonight, we’re taking the Yankees to beat the Guardians. New York is hungry for revenge and a juicy opportunity is on the horizon based on Cantillo’s early struggles. Both teams are capable of winning, however, the Yankees clearly know how to beat the Guardians at home and I fully expect that trend to resume this evening.
With that in mind, I fully expect the 8-run total to be surpassed. For starters, the Over is an impressive 5-1 across New York’s last six home games (12.2 total runs per game). The Over is also 3-0 in the last three Guardians-Yankees matchups as the AL juggernauts averaged 13.0 total runs in those contests and just combined for 14 less than 24 hours ago.
Given the unpredictability of both Cantillo and Cortes’ performances, it wouldn’t surprise me if we witness some fireworks in the Bronx tonight.
Guardians vs. Yankees MLB Prediction: NYY wins
Best Guardians vs. Yankees Bet: o8 Total Runs (-120)
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Best Guardians vs Yankees MLB Player Prop (8/21)
If we’re expecting a ton of runs tonight, it’s a no-brainer to back an anytime Aaron Judge home run (+150) as the best Guardians vs. Yankees player prop.
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Heading into tonight’s face-off, Judge leads the MLB with an impressive 45 home runs and there’s no sign of his batting pace slowing down. The six-time MLB All-Star has achieved four home runs with a .452 batting average in his recent eight games (31 at-bats) and has just hit another home run against the Guardians last night. Remarkably, he has managed to score a home run in consecutive games against Cleveland.
If you’re still not convinced, consider this: Judge has accumulated 12 HRs in 102 ABs against left-handed starters. Given that Cantillo is giving up a home run approximately every four innings, it’s clear why this prop bet is particularly enticing.
Best Guardians vs. Yankees MLB Prop Bet: Aaron Judge Home Run (+150)
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