MLB Must Bet Props: First Five Innings & Home Runs | August 31, 2024
Happy Saturday!
I understand that everyone is focused on college football right now, and we have plenty of coverage on those exciting matchups. However, I keep betting on Major League Baseball until the World Series concludes.
So, without further ado, here are a couple of plays to get us started on this MLB slate.
#19 Miami (FL) vs Florida: Odds, Predictions & Key Insights | August 31, 2024
__
Week 1 of college football is here! With both coaches on the hot seat, who will rise to the challenge? @C_Marchio2 has everything you need for…https://t.co/2uCCw8vTCk— Betting News (@YourBettingNews) August 27, 2024
Top MLB Prop Bets for Saturday’s Slate
Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.
5/5 Review Rating 50% up to $1,000
Bonus Details »
$10 Cash Bonus with code “BNEWS”
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook
Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio. Picks are always free.
Yesterday’s write up went 1-2. Giants did not do anything, while Snell threw a gem.
Orioles F5 Team Total Over 2.5 (-145)
Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ Bovada
Jackson Holliday walking back to the dugout after striking out
The Stank:
The Baltimore Orioles might soon end up on my “Banned Teams” list. Despite being in favorable situations like today, they often fall short of their first-five innings team total.
Here’s why today could be different:
The Orioles are playing at Coors Field against the Colorado Rockies, a hitter’s paradise. They feature four elite-rated hitters, no poor-rated hitters, and only three hitters with strikeout rates above the league average, according to Batters-Box.com. Recently, their offense has been on fire in the first five innings, averaging 3.33 runs over their last three games. For the season, they rank fifth in first-five innings scoring with an average of 2.85 runs.
Rockies starting pitcher Ryan Feltner has struggled at home this season, posting a 5.96 ERA in 11 home starts. He has allowed teams to exceed 2.5 runs in six of those starts. The 27-year-old right-hander faces a tough challenge against the Orioles, who have the second-highest average hitter matchup rating today.
Considering the Orioles’ recent strong performance, the favorable hitting conditions at Coors Field, and Feltner’s poor home pitching, this should be a big game for Baltimore’s bats. They should be able to capitalize early and often.
Yankees F5 Team Total Over 2.5 (-130)
Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ BetOnline
The Stank:
I generally avoid betting on my favorite team unless I’m really confident in their situation.
Today, the Yankees are hosting the St. Louis Cardinals and facing starting pitcher Kyle Gibson, who has one of the worst matchups on the slate. This season, Gibson has a 4.54 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. The 36-year-old right-hander has allowed opponents to score over 2.5 runs in 14 of his 25 starts. On the road, he has given up more than 2.5 runs in six of his 12 starts.
Gibson will be up against six elite-rated hitters from the Yankees. According to Batters-Box.com, New York has the highest average hitter matchup rating this season.
The Yankees’ lineup is one of the most dangerous, ranking in the top three for first-five innings scoring with an average of 2.93 runs per game. At home, they increase that average to 3.15 runs in the first five innings and lead the league in first-inning runs.
With such a potent offense and Gibson’s tendency to allow over 2.5 runs in half of his starts, I expect the Bronx Bombers to have a fantastic day.
Sprinkle of the Day: Juan Soto Home Run (+490)
NUKE ALERT
Jhonkensy Noel HR (+350) ✅ pic.twitter.com/JxHpYDjIpU
— Colby Marchio (@C_Marchio2) August 31, 2024
Where to find more Advanced Analytics
Batters-Box.com is my go-to website to find the best matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers. It is not the end all be all, but it is always a great place to start your journey into your daily baseball bets. Last season using Batters-Box.com I went up 98 units. Don’t believe me? Check my Action profile @cmarchio.
I also use FanGraphs, Statmuse and ESPN for other stats to help me decide if a player is worth my time or not.
Good luck this season you psychos!
Interested in More Content?
Get FREE Picks and Props Weekly
Sign up for
THE WEEKENDER NEWSLETTER
Follow me on X @C_marchio2 for all of my picks and sports opinions!
Be sure to check out all things Betting News on X and Twitch!
While you are at it go get some merch at our Betting News Store!
In need of a sportsbook? Check out one of our favorites below and sign-up for a bonus!
5/5 Review Rating 50% up to $1,000
Bonus Details »
$10 Cash Bonus with code “BNEWS”
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook
4.2/5 Review Rating 50% up to $1,000
Bonus Details »
Watch Live Games
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook
4.4/5 Review Rating 125% Deposit Bonus or $25 Free Bet
Bonus Details »
Best Deposit & Free Play Bonuses
Largest Selection of Sports & Games
4.4/5 Review Rating 50% up to $1,000
Bonus Details »
Odds Open Very Early
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook
4/5 Review Rating 50% up to $750
Bonus Details »
Very Fast Payout Times
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook
Interested in Learning More About Betting on the MLB?
We have tons of MLB betting resources, ranging from daily predictions to expert picks and you can find them below to help you get started.
- MLB Betting Articles
- MLB Betting Odds
- MLB Picks Page
Also, follow Betting News on X/Twitter, Twitch, and TikTok to get more daily sports betting insight and more from the Betting News team.
- Betting News on “X”/Twitter
- Betting News on Twitch
- Betting News on TikTok
