MLB Must Bet Props: Sides & Team Totals | July 10th, 2024
HUMP DAY!
Wishing you all a joyous Wednesday, you endearing rascals out there. The agenda is packed with mischief, and I stand ready to share some strategies that might potentially help you add some additional wealth to your pocket.
Top MLB Prop Bets for Wednesday’s Slate
Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.
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Tuesdays card went 4-3 (+2.3 Units)
Let’s keep it rolling!
Team Total: Braves F5 Team Total Over 2.5 (+100)
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Matt Olson and the Braves aim to maintain their winning streak.
The Stank:
If you’re not acquainted with my game style, I heavily focus on the first five innings, particularly when exploiting weak pitcher matchup ratings.
Today’s victim is Arizona Diamondbacks start, Slade Cecconi, fading a fellow Italian, which is typically not my cup of tea. However, all is fair in sports betting. Cecconi has the second-worst pitcher rating today on Batters-Box.com’s pitcher ratings. So far this season, the young right-hander is posting a 6.10 ERA and a WHIP of 1.31. He has allowed teams to go over 2.5 runs in seven of his 13 starts this season.
The Atlanta Braves present an excellent betting opportunity today, boasting the highest average hitter ratings. Their lineup holds an elite status, with six top-tier hitters and none considered poor. Despite not being the most consistent in terms of scoring in the initial five games, particularly during away matches this year, they have considerable potential.
This play is definitely worth a small bet, especially with the odds in our favor. Atlanta has managed an average of 2.67 runs in their past three games. Let’s keep our fingers crossed they can start scoring early and bring us some winnings.
Spread: Mets F5 (-0.5) vs Nationals (-145)
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The Stank:
Happy Patrick Corbin Day to all who celebrate.
As usual, the Nationals southpaw comes into today’s full slate of games with the worst pitcher rating, according to Batters-Box.com. He will be taking on the Mets, who have owned him over the last few years. They are batting .312 with an OPS of .926 as a team against Corbin. On top of that, the Mets have nine elite hitters today (four in default & five in current season ratings). Corbin has been doing very well with striking batters out this season. However, the Mets have zero hitters above the league-average strikeout rate in this matchup.
Happy Patrick Corbin BvP day pic.twitter.com/m0JJr3jAVk
— Jobu’s Rum (@Jobus_DFS) July 10, 2024
On the bump for the Mets is Luis Severino. He has been very serviceable for the Mets this season. The former Yankee stud has an ERA of 3.83 along with a WHIP of 1.20. While these stats may not be exceptional, they are good enough to hold the Nationals down for a few innings. This is crucial, as it allows the Mets offense to go to work against a pitcher with even worse stats.
Both teams are close in numbers regarding the first five scoring, but with the Mets’ success against Corbin, I will always lean towards it being an awful day for Mr. Corbin.
Mets F5 (-0.5)
Sprinkle of the Day: Pete Alonso Home Run (+340)
Where to find more advanced analytics
I always turn to Batters-Box.com to find the top matchup ratings for my daily MLB bets. While it’s not the ultimate solution, it’s a fantastic starting point for your daily baseball wagering activities. Last season, I was able to increase 98 units using Batters-Box.com. Skeptical? Check out my Action profile @cmarchio.
I also utilize FanGraphs, Statmuse, and ESPN for additional statistics to determine whether a player is worth my attention or not.
Good luck this season you psychos!
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