Nationals vs Mets MLB Predictions, Odds, Total & Best Bets (7/11)

Today’s Nationals vs. Mets MLB predictions and best bets are brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from MLB odds to the NBA and everything in between.

The New York Mets (46-45) are aiming to sweep the Washington Nationals (42-51) in a showdown at Citi Field on Thursday, with the two clubs set to clash at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Yesterday, the Mets achieved a 6-2 victory over the Nationals, putting them ahead with a strong 2-0 lead in the series. Four of the New York players had multiple hits, including Jose Iglesias who produced an impressive 3-for-4 at the plate and drove in two runners.

Can Washington manage to conclude the series on a positive note? Or is it inevitable for New York to achieve a home sweep?

We don’t have a lot of time before the game kicks off, so let’s dive right into my predictions and top picks for the Nationals vs. Mets MLB match.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 51-57-1 (47.2%)

MLB Betting Today: Nationals vs Mets (7/11)

Nationals vs Mets Game Information

Matchup: Washington Nationals (42-51, 22-27 Away) vs. New York Mets (46-45, 23-25 Home)
Venue & Location: Citi Field (Queens, NY)
Date: Thursday, July 11, 2024
Game Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
How to Watch Nationals vs. Mets: MLB.TV, Fubo, SNY

Nationals vs Mets MLB Probable Pitchers

Nationals: MacKenzie Gore (18 starts — 6-7, 3.83 ERA)
Mets: David Peterson (7 starts — 3-0, 3.58 ERA)

Mets vs Nationals MLB Odds & Spread

Mets vs. Nationals MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Thursday, July 11 at 9:50 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Nationals vs Mets Run Line

Washington Nationals +1.5 (-165)
New York Mets -1.5 (+145)

Mets vs Nationals Over/Under

Over 8.5 Runs (-116)
Under 8.5 Runs (-104)

Nationals vs Mets Moneyline

Washington Nationals (+124)
New York Mets (-135)

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Nationals vs Mets MLB Betting Trends

In its last seven road games, Washington has a straight up record of 1-6.
In their last 18 games against the NL, the Mets have a straight up record of 13-5.
The Over was hit in four of Washington’s last six games.
The Over was hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight home games.
The Over hit in four of the last seven matchups between the Nationals and the Mets.

Nationals vs Mets Predictions & MLB Picks Today (7/11)

This series has so far been heavily skewed in favor. The Mets have dominated the Nationals in the first two games, with an aggregate score of 13-7 and a total of 23 hits compared to the Nationals’ 11. It’s fair to say that the series has been one-sided.

The main problem for The Nationals is their inability to deliver a comprehensive game. Their performance has been particularly lagging, with no scores until the eighth inning on Tuesday and no runs from the fifth inning onwards last night. This level of effort is simply not sufficient against the Mets, who have emerged as one of the most successful teams in the MLB since the start of June.

The Nationals aren’t faring as well, being at the tail end of the Majors with a mere 25.0% win rate since June 24. To add insult to injury, they are entering tonight’s game on a four-game losing streak, with an average loss margin of 4.3 runs per game.

Not to mention, the Nats have lost six out of their last seven games on the road. On the other hand, the Mets have a strong home game record with 11 wins and only 2 losses in their last 13 games.

The Mets have been red-hot at Citi Field throughout the last several weeks.

However, it’s not surprising that Washington is struggling in Queens. The Nationals haven’t found Citi Field very welcoming, losing six of their last seven away games against the Mets.

As the Mets aim to finish off a sweep this afternoon, they’re bringing in David Peterson. The 28-year-old southpaw appears to be improving with each start in 2024, boasting a 1-0 record and a 3.00 ERA in his most recent four starts. Over the same period, he’s struck out 21 batters in 21 innings. It’s also worth noting Peterson’s impressive career stats against Washington: a 4-1 record and a 3.44 ERA across 11 appearances, eight of which were starts.

The Nationals are now relying on MacKenzie Gore. The 2017 first-rounder has generally performed well this year, but his form has been shaky of late, as reflected in his 7.07 ERA over the last three starts. It’s also concerning that he hasn’t secured a win since June 14.

Nationals LHP MacKenzie Gore must break out of his slump if Washington is going to win today.

With the way this series has gone so far, I expect the Mets to win again. Again, Washington has been the worst team in the MLB in recent weeks whereas New York is looking like a legitimate playoff threat. Unless Gore pitches his greatest performance of the season, I see this uphill battle being too much for the Nats to handle.

As far as the best bet goes, let’s just stick with the Mets on the moneyline.

Nationals vs. Mets MLB Prediction: NYM wins

Best Nationals vs. Mets Bet: NYM ML (-135)

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Best Nationals vs Mets MLB Player Prop (7/11)

There are a few Nationals vs. Mets player props that stand out, including David Peterson o4.5 total strikeouts (-120)

Peterson has shown consistency with these props in his recent performances. Over his last four starts, he has averaged 5.3 strikeouts, and in three of those, he finished with the Over, including a game where he racked up five against the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 6. Peterson is now set to go up against the Nationals, a team currently tied for the 16th-highest number of strikeouts against left-handed pitchers this season.

I predict another strong performance from Peterson on the mound, given that Washington has a .229 batting average against left-handed pitchers (ranking 26th).

Nationals vs Mets MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (7/11)

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 51-57-1 (47.2%)