Red Sox vs Yankees MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (9/12)
One of baseball’s most iconic rivalries will take center stage on Thursday when the Boston Red Sox (74-72) take on the New York Yankees (84-62) at 7:15 p.m. ET. And not only will this game be filled with bad blood but it also features a wide variety of attractive MLB betting opportunities.
Let’s highlight some of the best Red Sox vs. Yankees bets by diving into today’s odds, predictions, and picks.
2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 89-103-1 (46.4%)
MLB Betting Today: Red Sox vs Yankees (9/12)
Red Sox vs Yankees Game Information
- Matchup: Boston Red Sox (74-72, 39- Away) vs. New York Yankees (84-62, 39-32 Home)
- Venue & Location: Yankee Stadium (Bronx, NY)
- Date: Thursday, Sept. 12, 2024
- Game Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- How to Watch Red Sox vs. Yankees: MLB.TV, Fubo, FOX
Red Sox vs Yankees MLB Probable Pitchers
- Red Sox: Cooper Criswell (23 games/17 starts — 6-4, 4.11 ERA)
- Yankees: Nestor Cortes (29 games/28 starts — 9-10, 3.97 ERA)
Yankees vs Red Sox MLB Odds & Spread
Yankees vs. Red Sox MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Thursday, Sept. 11 at 9:38 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
Red Sox vs Yankees Run Line
- Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-128)
- New York Yankees -1.5 (+108)
Yankees vs Red Sox Over/Under
- Over 9 Runs (+104)
- Under 9 Runs (-128)
Red Sox vs Yankees Moneyline
- Boston Red Sox (+163)
- New York Yankees (-178)
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Red Sox vs Yankees MLB Betting Trends
- Boston is 0-5 straight up in its last five road games.
- The Yankees are 7-13 straight up in their last 20 games vs. Boston.
- The total hit the Under in 10 of Boston’s last 15 games.
- The total hit the Under in five of the Yankees’ last six games.
- The total hit the Over in four of the last five Red Sox-Yankees matchups.
Red Sox vs Yankees Predictions & MLB Picks Today (9/12)
Tonight’s showdown marks the 10th matchup of the 2024 season between these AL East rivals. It’s been a fairly even series thus far with the Red Sox having the slight edge with the 5-4 lead, however, it was the Yankees who most recently won two of three meetings at Fenway Park at the end of July.
The upcoming encounter could also have implications for the American League playoff race. The Yankees are currently just 1.5 games ahead of the Baltimore Orioles for the AL East lead whereas the Red Sox are four games out of the final AL wild card spot.
Speaking of Boston, Alex Cora’s club is looking for consecutive wins for just the fifth time since Aug. 7 following yesterday’s 5-4 win over the Orioles. Having said that, last night’s game was at home and the Red Sox must return to the road where they’re 0-5 SU across their last five away tilts — a stretch where they only averaged 1.6 runs per game.
Conversely, the Yankees are also struggling to string wins together. The Bronx Bombers are an uninspiring 17-16 SU since Aug. 6 and have only won back-to-back outings once in the last 16 days, leaving time to tell if they can capitalize on yesterday’s 4-3 win against the Kansas City Royals.
Will the Red Sox pick up a rare road victory tonight?
But even if the Red Sox haven’t seen much recent road success, they typically enjoy visiting Yankee Stadium. After all, Boston emerged victorious in six of its seven previous road games against New York, which includes outscoring the latter 37-28 on aggregate. Additionally, the Red Sox have a better win percentage against the AL East in 2024 (51.3%) than the Yankees (48.9%).
The Red Sox will have a solid chance at pulling off an upset if RHP Cooper Criswell continues his solid play. The former 2018 13th-rounder is 3-1 with a 2.12 ERA in four starts since returning to Boston’s rotation at the end of August.
Unfortunately, Criswell has pitched to an abysmal 5.40 ERA in five career innings against New York.
As for the Yankees, LHP Nestor Cortes has been electric lately. The former MLB All-Star southpaw hasn’t been defeated since Aug. 8, having gone 4-0 with a 1.86 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 29 innings across his last five starts. What’s even more impressive is that he finished three of those outings without having allowed a run.
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With the Red Sox struggling on the road, I’m predicting a Yankees victory in the Bronx. New York is starting to find its mojo again and another strong start from Cortes will only improve their chances of winning. Let’s also not forget that the Red Sox are just 17-24 SU against lefties this season.
As for the best bet, take the Yankees to cover the run line. Again, the Red Sox’s offense just isn’t producing runs on the road and I don’t see that changing tonight. Additionally, New York outscored Boston by an average of 4.5 runs in their last two meetings.
Red Sox vs. Yankees MLB Prediction: NYY wins
Best Red Sox vs. Yankees Bet: NYY -1.5 (+108)
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Best Red Sox vs Yankees MLB Player Prop (9/12)
A pitcher player prop worked for us yesterday, which is why Nestor Cortes u2.5 earned runs (-133) is my Red Sox vs. Yankees pick of the day.
Cortes has been extremely consistent regarding this prop bet, finishing with the Under in four of his last five starts. He limited opposing batters to a .186/.217/.304 slash line during that stretch while averaging 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The 29-year-old veteran lefty now gets to face the Red Sox, who he’s limited to fewer than 2.5 runs in four of his last six encounters with the franchise.
Considering how Boston has recorded two or fewer runs in four of its last five road games, I’m feeling good about this prop.
Best Red Sox vs. Yankees Prop Bet: Nestor Cortes u2.5 Earned Runs (-133)
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