NFL Week 4: Saints vs Falcons Predictions, Odds & Best Bet
Betting News has been covering the NFL Week 4 action throughout the last few days, and next up is Sunday’s New Orleans Saints (2-1) vs. Atlanta Falcons (1-2) clash. This NFC South rivalry never fails to bring excitement to the table and this weekend’s matchup will likely continue that trend.
This preview is here to help you start your betting journey, so let’s hop into my Saints vs. Falcons predictions and picks for NFL Week 4.
NFL 2024 Game Record: 3-1-0
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Saints vs Falcons NFL Week 4 Betting (9/29)
Saints vs Falcons Game Information
- Matchup: New Orleans Saints (2-1, 1-0 Away) vs. Atlanta Falcons (1-2, 0-2 Home)
- Venue & Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)
- Date: Sunday, Sept. 29, 2024
- Game Time: 1 p.m. ET
- How to Watch Saints vs. Falcons: FOX
DEN vs NYJ NFL Week 4 Odds
All NFL odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Friday, Sept. 27 at 10:22 a.m. ET. Odds from other sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
Saints vs Falcons Spread
- New Orleans Saints +1 (+105)
- Atlanta Falcons -1 (-125)
Falcons vs Saints Over/Under
- Over 42 Points (-108)
- Under 42 Points (-112)
Saints vs Falcons Moneyline
- New Orleans Saints (+110)
- Atlanta Falcons (-130)
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Saints vs Falcons NFL Week 4 Betting Trends
- New Orleans is 4-1 straight up in its last five games vs. Atlanta.
- Atlanta is 5-12 straight up in its last 17 games played in September.
- New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games vs. the NFC.
- Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last six games vs. New Orleans.
- The total hit the Under in 11 of New Orleans’ last 15 road games.
- The total hit the Under in four of Atlanta’s last five home games.
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Saints vs Falcons NFL Week 4 Predictions & Picks (9/29)
Both of these rivals could use a win on Sunday with the NFC South looking tighter than ever.
The Saints are hoping to rebound from a 15-12 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 3. New Orleans nearly picked up the victory, however, it couldn’t hold on as Saquon Barkley scored a touchdown with one minute remaining to give Philadelphia the comeback win.
Meanwhile, the Falcons fell 22-17 to the Kansas City Chiefs last weekend. Atlanta could’ve walked away with the win, however, some questionable play-calling decisions caused Raheem Morris’ team to fall below .500 for the second time this season.
When it comes to the rivalry between these teams, the Saints are 4-1 SU in their last five meetings with the Falcons. Having said that, it was Atlanta that notched a 24-15 home win over New Orleans last season before the latter got revenge with a 48-17 victory in Week 18.
Will the Falcons achieve rare success against the Saints in Week 4?
It’s going to be interesting to see if the Falcons can match the Saints’ offense this weekend. New Orleans is averaging 34.3 points (2nd) and 343.3 total yards (9th) per game and has already scored 40-plus points twice through three weeks. Meanwhile, the Falcons rank T-26th (16.3 PPG) and 20th (307.3 YPG) in those categories, respectively.
Defensively, the Saints are also among the top teams, only allowing 14.7 PPG (5th) and 335.3 YPG (21st). While the Falcons’ attack exactly struck fear into anyone’s heart, the defense is allowing a respectable 20.3 PPG (T-13th) and 326.7 YPG (18th).
Nevertheless, the Falcons struggle to stop the ball on the ground, which is an area where the Saints excel. Atlanta is allowing the fifth-most rushing yards per game ahead of Week 4, which is bad news given that New Orleans averages the sixth-most ground yards on the third-most carries per game.
In other words, don’t be surprised if Alvin Kamara and the rest of the Saints backfield feasts this weekend.
Will the Saints’ intimidating run game be the difference against the Falcons in Week 4?
After some thought, I predict that the Saints will defeat the Falcons this weekend. Atlanta’s offense hasn’t been anything to write home about thus far and I think that Kirk Cousins & Co. will struggle to keep up with the opposition’s attack — especially if the New Orleans defense remains consistent.
With the Saints being the clear-cut better team, I’m taking them on the moneyline before moving on to this game’s player prop pick.
Saints vs. Falcons NFL Week 4 Prediction: NO wins
Best Saints vs. Falcons Bet: NO ML (+110)
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Best Saints vs Falcons NFL Week 4 Player Prop
Based on how he’s played to begin the 2024 NFL season, it’s a no-brainer to back Alvin Kamara o66.5 rushing yards (-114) for the best Saints vs. Falcons player prop.
Kamara has crushed this prop, averaging 95.0 rushing yards while hitting the Over in each of his first three games to start the campaign. The 29-year-old running back is likely licking his chops at the thought of facing the Saints, who are a bottom-five team in terms of run defense this season.
Additionally, the Over is 3-1 in Kamara’s last four games against the Falcons — a span where he’s averaging 86.3 rushing yards per game.
Best Saints vs. Falcons Player Prop: Alvin Kamara o66.5 Total Rushing Yards (-114)
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