Yankees vs Rays MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (7/10)

Today’s Yankees vs. Rays MLB predictions and best bets are brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from MLB odds to the NBA and everything in between.


Wednesday’s MLB schedule will see the New York Yankees (55-38) and Tampa Bay Rays (45-46) collide for the second encounter of their three-game series at 6:50 p.m. ET.

The series started on a positive note for the Rays, as they secured a 5-3 victory over the Yankees on Tuesday. The pivotal moment was an explosive first inning, including a three-run homer from Isaac Paredes which was enough for Tampa Bay to inflict another defeat on the struggling New York team.

Will New York be able to recover from yesterday’s defeat? Alternatively, can Tampa Bay strategize another win to secure the series?

While we explore my Yankees vs. Rays predictions and picks, let’s also answer those questions and check out some of the best MLB bets today.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 49-55-1 (47.1%)

MLB Betting Today: Yankees vs Rays (7/10)

Yankees vs Rays Game Information

  • Matchup: New York Yankees (55-38, 30-19 Away) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (45-46, 24-25 Home)
  • Venue & Location: Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, FL)
  • Date: Wednesday, July 10, 2024
  • Game Time: 6:50 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch Yankees vs. Rays: MLB.TV, Fubo, Amazon Prime Video

Yankees vs Rays MLB Probable Pitchers

  • Yankees: Marcus Stroman (18 starts — 7-4, 3.58 ERA)
  • Rays: Zach Eflin (16 starts — 5-5, 4.19 ERA)

Rays vs Yankees MLB Odds & Spread

Rays vs. Yankees MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Wednesday, July 10 at 11:50 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Yankees vs Rays Run Line

  • New York Yankees +1.5 (-195)
  • Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+170)

Rays vs Yankees Over/Under

  • Over 8 Runs (-120)
  • Under 8 Runs (+100)

Yankees vs Rays Moneyline

  • New York Yankees (+110)
  • Tampa Bay Rays (-120)

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Yankees vs Rays MLB Betting Trends

  • In their last seven games, the Yankees have a straight up record of 1-6.
  • In its last six home games against the Yankees, Tampa Bay has a straight up record of 4-2.
  • The Over was hit in eight out of the Yankees’ last nine road games.
  • In 13 out of Tampa Bay’s last 20 games played in July, the total hit the Under.

Yankees vs Rays Predictions & MLB Picks Today (7/10)

This evening’s game represents the eighth face-off of the 2024 season between the Yankees and the Rays. Following Tuesday’s game, the Yankees’ lead in the series has decreased to 4-3 with six more games remaining.

Despite the Yankees having a minor advantage over the Rays this year, lately it has been challenging to maintain confidence in them. The New York team began the season with a 50-22 record, but have since lost 16 of their last 21 games — six of these losses being from the last seven games. Additionally, during this period, the team experienced five separate losing streaks of multiple games.

The Yankees are struggling with their batting, which isn’t producing as expected. Since June 15, their performance has been poor with a .223/.315/.379 slash line, compared to their season’s average of .248/.329/.426. Also, they have been among the teams with the least runs, ranking 14th from the bottom during this period. Furthermore, they have scored three or fewer runs in seven of their last 12 games.

The Yankees’ bats must be more consistent if they hope to beat the Rays today. 

Only time will reveal if the Rays’ recent victory was just a stroke of luck. They did, after all, suffer a series of defeats at the hands of the Texas Rangers, losing 20-5 in total. However, it’s worth noting that these losses occurred away from home. Now, the Rays are back at Tropicana Field where they have a record of 6-2 in straight-up wins in their last eight home games.

Furthermore, Tampa Bay has a strong record of 4-2 SU in its recent six home games against the Yankees. It’s also significant to mention that New York has lost seven of its last 10 games against another AL East team.

The Yankees hope that RHP Marcus Stroman can overcome his recent struggles. The seasoned right-handed pitcher has been underperforming on the mound. Over his last four starts, Stroman has racked up a 6.43 ERA, having given up 15 earned runs on 20 hits along with 11 walks over a span of 21 innings.

Simultaneously, it will be intriguing to observe which form of Zach Eflin shows up. The Rays RHP has an impressive record of 3-0 with a 1.15 ERA in his previous five away starts. However, Eflin also gave up five earned runs on seven hits in five innings during his last start on Independence Day.

Rays RHP Zach Eflin has been electric at Tropicana Field. Will that trend continue tonight? 

In a game that could go either way, I’ll stick with the Rays tonight. I just can’t bring myself to back the Yankees until they prove that they can put their current struggles in the rearview. Tampa Bay is perfect, but last night’s win was enough to convince me to side with the home team.

I also recommend backing the Over on the 8-run total. Of this season’s seven Yankees-Rays tilts thus far, five of those finished with at least eight total runs. The Overa is also 8-1 in New York’s last nine road games as well as 7-3 in its 10 previous AL East tilts.

Bettors of MLB can anticipate some high-scoring action today, as the Over has been hit in 54.4% of Tampa Bay’s home games, ranking them 8th.

Yankees vs. Rays MLB Prediction: NYY wins

Best Yankees vs. Rays Bet: o8 Total Runs (-120)

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Best Yankees vs Rays MLB Player Prop (7/10)

If you’re looking for a Yankees vs. Rays player prop, I suggest taking Yandy Diaz o1.5 total bases (+117).

Throughout the 2024 campaign, Diaz has been performing impressively. However, his performance escalates to a new high at Tropicana Field. In his most recent 13 home games, Diaz, the 2023 batting leader, has posted a slash line of .352/.375/.426, recorded 19 hits, a double and one home run. Over this period, Diaz has accumulated a total of 23 bases (averaging 1.8 per game) and has exceeded his projected performance nine times.

If you’re still not convinced, the Over has come through 4 out of the last 6 times he faced the Yankees. Given Stroman’s ongoing challenges on the mound, Diaz is well-positioned to succeed with this prop once more.

Best Yankees vs. Rays MLB Prop Bet: Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+117)

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